headshot
Jake
Muzzin
College None
Team Toronto Maple Leafs
8D
6'3"Height
213Weight
30Age
0Exp
Jake Muzzin's Fantasy Scouting Report

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Most already consider Jake Muzzin to be a good starting defenseman, but the projections indicate he is an elite fantasy option. Ranking by ownership percentage (90%), Jake Muzzin is expected to be the #30 defenseman for the rest of the season. His projection based defenseman rank is #5. Even if he is highly owned, he is still undervalued and if you act quickly there is a clear buy low opportunity. Unless someone offers an even better defenseman value, we advise you to hold on to him. Of the 3 defensemen (Rasmus Ristolainen, Charlie McAvoy) with this market rank (90% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 22 fantasy points in 10 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#6) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Jake Muzzin behind Chabot and above McAvoy but the projections rank Jake Muzzin over Chabot.

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He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Jake Muzzin is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #30 while his projection rank (rest of week 25) is #6. When compared to other defensemen in week 26, Oliver Ekman-Larsson (4.8 FP), Tyson Barrie (4 FP), John Klingberg (6.4 FP), Jared Spurgeon (3.7 FP), and Ryan Suter (4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Muzzin but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 78% of leagues he is expected to produce 5.4 fantasy points (WK 26). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #22 defenseman of week 26. He is projected to be better than that (the #8 defenseman). His per game projected FP average is 2.3 which is better than his actual per game average (2.1).

He is projected for 6.84 fantasy points in week 26 (#7 D) in 3 games.


  • Based on 3/19 start percentages, Jake Muzzin is valued behind Trouba and above Ekholm but the projections rank Jake Muzzin over Trouba in week 26.
  • Jake Muzzin last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (3/19): Jake Muzzin is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 12.7 FD pts (#11 among defensemen). He is the #20 highest priced defenseman ($5100). Based on 3/19 salaries and projected points per dollar, Muzzin is worth $6.3K. Ryan Suter is also priced at $5100, and Muzzin is a better option at this price. Torey Krug (6.3 FP), Justin Faulk (11.9 FP), Aaron Ekblad (10.1 FP), P.K. Subban (11.4 FP), and Ryan Ellis (11.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Muzzin but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 10.2 FPs, a value reached in 26 of 73 games (36%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 3.6 DraftKings pts Jake Muzzin is the #11 ranked defenseman. At $5200 he is expected to be the #17 defenseman. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Muzzin is worth $5.5K. Oscar Klefbom is also priced at $5200, and Muzzin is a better option at this price. Torey Krug (1.7 FP), Justin Faulk (3.4 FP), Keith Yandle (3.4 FP), Darnell Nurse (3.1 FP), and Shayne Gostisbehere (3.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Muzzin but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.4 FPs, a value reached in 23 of 73 games (32%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

    Muzzin is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Jake Muzzin had a good, but not elite, year in fantasy. He was the number #19 ranked defender and the #121 ranked skater overall. His high ranking was definitely helped by his number of games played (73). Based on average fantasy points he is the #37 defender. He trended up as the season went on. In his first 24 games he averaged 1.1 FPs. He improved to 2.5 in the next 24 games. In his final stretch of games he improved to 2.7 per game. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.7 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Muzzin when he 'goes off' is 14 fantasy points (his average is 2.1FPs).

    SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

    CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

    His per game fantasy average is up 75 percent from two seasons ago.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 24 fantasy weeks, he was +20% above his weekly average of 6.4 FPs in 10 of them. He had 10 bad weeks where he was 20% below average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 9.9 points and on DraftKings it was 2.8 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 5.5 and 20 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018TOR73827350-011000
    2017LA74834420-041000
    2016LA82919280-041000
    2015LA82832400-011000
    2014LA761031410-043000
    2013LA76519240-010000
    2012LA4579160-031000
    2010LA110110-000000
    Career (8 Seasons)5195517222730188000
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018TOR1246.521:05199182.22130.48471021
    2017LA1545.221:392032166.40173.60400020
    2016LA1844.922:172472199:25176:39460022
    2015LA2033.923:032507189:50206:56640127
    2014LA1735.822:412240194:0969:57220011
    2013LA1752.919:012028183:0833:55580028
    2012LA779.117:531084101:202:06351110
    2010LA80.013:3819915:190:030000
    Career (8 Seasons)10985.021:10145531131:48793:4131222139
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October11033-40000140233:1630511103
    Games in November1511240000205322:2541512006
    Games in December143811900002313308:344024002
    Games in January1005510000210212:092596003
    Games in February1516751000254285:343828004
    Games in March8347100102114.3178:112286003
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won3352126341010539.4686:13918271011
    Games Lost40369-180000714.2853:561073200010
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games3751722141000707.1774:181005311013
    Road Games363101320010545.6765:5198616008
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break5041721100000785.11076:241381331014
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    American Airlines Center2000000004043:38550000
    Bell Centre2011400002043:21552001
    Bell MTS Place1000-100001023:22292001
    Bridgestone Arena1011200001018:30272001
    Canadian Tire Centre2011000005043:54510000
    Enterprise Center2000100002041:18542001
    Gila River Arena1000000000017:18210000
    KeyBank Center11121000025030:35350000
    Little Caesars Arena2000000001043:06530000
    Madison Square Garden1000-100001018:08220000
    NYCB Live1000-200000017:50260000
    Nationwide Arena1000-200000019:37260000
    PPG Paints Arena11122000042522:37280000
    Pepsi Center3011200004058:23780000
    Rogers Arena2000000002044:59582001
    Rogers Place2101-10010616.743:37602001
    SAP Center at San Jose2011-200005043:18572001
    STAPLES Center2621012100000424.8551:5171223109
    Scotiabank Arena12371031000319.7242:323198004
    Scotiabank Saddledome2022-100000045:17540000
    T-Mobile Arena3011200004059:47832001
    United Center1000000003021:57290000
    Xcel Energy Center2000-100004045:14590000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break234101461010468.7463:4561014007
    vs Anaheim Ducks212341000333.341:23540000
    vs Arizona Coyotes31012000025057:18752001
    vs Buffalo Sabres413430000616.790:271144002
    vs Carolina Hurricanes1011100002021:18260000
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets2000-100001040:51544002
    vs Calgary Flames3022-100000067:36790000
    vs Chicago Blackhawks2000000004046:51560000
    vs Colorado Avalanche4011100007080:251072001
    vs Dallas Stars2000000004043:38550000
    vs Detroit Red Wings3011100001064:13835100
    vs Edmonton Oilers512300010128.3104:551434002
    vs Minnesota Wild310100000616.767:57870000
    vs Montreal Canadiens3022400003062:04824002
    vs New Jersey Devils1011100002020:37310000
    vs Nashville Predators1011200001018:30272001
    vs New York Islanders2000-200002038:24500000
    vs New York Rangers2000-200002038:57530000
    vs Ottawa Senators40220000014084:001010000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers221300000922.244:23590000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins313460000714.362:37830000
    vs San Jose Sharks3011-200005067:21872001
    vs St. Louis Blues3011200002063:22794002
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning2000-300005039:21502001
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs2000-100004041:01530000
    vs Vancouver Canucks3000000005066:02844002
    vs Washington Capitals1000-100002019:56242001
    vs Winnipeg Jets2000-100004042:30574002
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights50333000090104:121382001
    vs Western Conference Tms4141317101010646.3872:001128260013
    vs Own Division2517870000342.9525:5967814007
    vs Eastern Conference Tms324141860000606.7668:0986321108
    Outside Own Division487202791010907.81014:101313331014
    Overall73827351610101246.51540:091991471021
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/05vsL3-200000000.000024:054:921:37
    10/07vsW4-201110000.000521:121:871:58
    10/09@L2-1000-10010.000223:370:882:22
    10/11@W3-001130000.000221:221:952:68
    10/13@L5-1011-10020.000020:220:220:60
    10/15@L4-1000-10030.000020:080:001:22
    10/18vsL7-200000020.000020:570:003:13
    10/20vsL5-1000-10020.000219:350:130:00
    10/23@L4-2000-10020.000020:801:220:12
    10/25@L4-1000-20010.000021:680:455:40
    10/28vsW4-3000-10010.000020:820:332:02
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/01vsL5-2000-10020.000022:481:220:75
    11/03vsW4-100010010.000421:232:902:53
    11/06vsW4-100030000.000023:370:003:53
    11/08vsL3-110110020.500022:720:682:00
    11/10vsL1-000000000.000022:320:080:70
    11/13vsL5-100000010.000020:930:174:18
    11/16@W2-100000030.000021:950:003:00
    11/17@L5-301120010.000218:500:202:68
    11/19@W2-000020010.000221:580:000:55
    11/21vsL7-3000-10030.000222:030:032:12
    11/24vsL4-200000030.000221:050:450:00
    11/25vsW5-200000010.000018:830:502:28
    11/27@W2-100000000.000021:030:622:12
    11/29@L3-2000-10020.000020:880:831:43
    11/30@L4-1000-20000.000023:500:571:18
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/02vsW2-001110020.000021:303:101:97
    12/04vsL2-100010000.000218:800:771:88
    12/06vsL6-301110020.000020:620:271:25
    12/08vsW5-102220000.000020:920:702:57
    12/10@L3-100000010.000024:971:021:47
    12/11@L4-311210020.500030:582:536:72
    12/13@L4-1000-20000.000019:621:922:17
    12/15@L4-311220040.250022:621:221:72
    12/18vsW4-100000030.000219:131:250:65
    12/22@W3-201100010.000022:480:931:28
    12/23@W4-300020010.000021:580:631:02
    12/27vsW2-110110020.500021:201:571:32
    12/29vsL4-1000-10050.000023:501:350:87
    12/31@W3-201110000.000021:251:572:98
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/01@L2-0000-10000.000020:501:402:50
    01/03vsL6-2000-10020.000020:433:632:45
    01/05vsW4-001110010.000220:922:001:35
    01/07@L3-1000-20040.000220:820:002:85
    01/10vsL4-1011-10060.000021:971:931:20
    01/12vsW5-202230010.000020:132:173:32
    01/15@L3-200010030.000023:550:752:82
    01/17@W2-100010020.000022:830:001:48
    01/19@L7-1000-10020.000018:932:921:68
    01/21vsW4-301110000.000222:072:730:00
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/01@L3-200000000.000018:130:852:30
    02/02vsW3-200010020.000019:871:220:13
    02/04vsW6-112311030.333018:021:630:62
    02/06vsW5-400010030.000018:131:001:78
    02/09@W4-300010020.000022:132:355:67
    02/10@L4-1000-10010.000018:132:180:88
    02/12@W5-200020020.000018:200:651:82
    02/14@W6-301110030.000217:700:331:80
    02/16@L2-000000000.000017:300:120:72
    02/19@L3-2000-10010.000019:720:002:72
    02/21vsL3-2000-10020.000219:930:281:62
    02/23vsW6-301100010.000218:720:001:63
    02/25vsW5-301130010.000220:200:132:40
    02/27vsW6-201100040.000021:552:670:77
    02/28@L6-1000-20000.000017:831:130:85
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/02vsW5-201100010.000020:321:251:47
    03/04@W6-202210000.000021:781:430:00
    03/06@L3-200000020.000223:951:751:67
    03/09@W3-210100040.250222:731:571:78
    03/11vsL6-2000-20030.000218:921:500:00
    03/13vsL5-400000010.000024:900:000:00
    03/15vsW7-621310070.286021:902:280:17
    03/16@L6-200010030.000023:681:322:80