headshot
Patrik
Nemeth
College None
Team Colorado Avalanche
12D
6'3"Height
219Weight
27Age
0Exp
Patrik Nemeth's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

There are 6 other options at $2600 (Andrej Sekera, Erik Gudbranson, Robert Bortuzzo, Brooks Orpik, Markus Nutivaara, Madison Bowey) and Nemeth is the best option of these 7. Instead of Nemeth consider these better options at lower salaries: Thomas Hickey (1.9 FP) and Justin Holl (1.9 FP). Torey Krug (1.7 FP), Zach Trotman (1.8 FP), Nikita Zadorov (1.8 FP), Niklas Kronwall (1.9 FP), and Johnny Boychuk (1.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Nemeth but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 1.7 FPs, a value reached in 19 of 64 games (30%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

  • 3/19 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: COL 2.6 (#16 Most Today) @ MIN 2.9 (#13 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 1.88 Fantasy Points (#84), 0.15 points (#118), 0.02 goals (#124), 0.13 assists (#108), 0.85 shots on goal (#123), 0.7 PIM (#20 most), 2.23 blocked shots (#7)

FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 6.3 FanDuel pts Patrik Nemeth is the #91 ranked defenseman. He is the #82 highest priced defenseman ($3500). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $3.1K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Nikita Zadorov (6.1 FP), Johnny Boychuk (4.6 FP), Jake Gardiner (4.7 FP), Martin Marincin (5.8 FP), and Mike Reilly (3.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Nemeth but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7 FPs, a value reached in 11 of 64 games (17%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

Nemeth is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other defensemen in week 26 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Michael Stone (2.6 FP), Adam McQuaid (3.2 FP), Zach Trotman (2.3 FP), Trevor Daley (2 FP), and Jonathan Ericsson (1.6 FP). He is starting in just 1% of leagues and with a projected defenseman rank of #189 in week 26 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

He is projected for 1.3 fantasy points in week 26 (#192 D) in 2 games.


  • Based on 3/19 start percentages, Patrik Nemeth is valued behind Bouwmeester and above Biega but the projections rank Biega over Patrik Nemeth in week 26.
  • Patrik Nemeth last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 3/19, Patrik Nemeth is the #173 ranked defenseman based on ownership percentage (1%). Our projections indicate that Patrik Nemeth is underrated by the market. His fantasy defenseman projection rank is #160. While there is value and likely a clear opportunity to acquire him via trade or waiver wire pick up it is probably not worth the roster spot at this time. He is projected for 5 fantasy points in 11 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#192) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Patrik Nemeth behind Bortuzzo and above Bouwmeester but the projections rank Bouwmeester over Patrik Nemeth.

    He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    He was the #495 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #145 defender. His defender ranking drops to #188 when basing it on average fantasy points. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 21 games he averaged 0.9 FPs and that declined to 0.8 in his final 22 games. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. Our projected ceiling for Nemeth when he 'goes off' is 8 fantasy points (his average is 0.8FPs).

    SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

    STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

    His season average dropped measurably from last season. His fantasy average dropped by 38 percent.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 2 fantasy points per week and had 12 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 11 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 5.3 FD points and 1.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 3.5 and 11.2 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018COL641780-000000
    2017COL68312150-000003
    2016DAL400330-000000
    2015DAL380880-000000
    2014DAL220330-000000
    2013DAL80000-000000
    Career (6 Seasons)240433372800003
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018COL482.116:4413261.88217.22511118
    2017COL734.119:5116772.88225.85411017
    2016DAL460.015:468391:3840:5014007
    2015DAL360.015:378332:5341:0414007
    2014DAL160.016:104851:4425:106003
    2013DAL30.013:451570:005:596003
    Career (6 Seasons)2221.817:08531711:01556:071322155
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October90112000060162:232084002
    Games in November12112200001010205:502618004
    Games in December14022-20000120223:5327211103
    Games in January70002000030101:0912714012
    Games in February140335000080258:232996003
    Games in March80000000090119:381598004
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won28156180000214.8497:5760129117
    Games Lost36022-90000270573:19725220011
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games3403370000240565:54693300110
    Road Games3014520000244.2505:2263321108
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break4214540000313.2693:15868371111
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena1000000001015:48190000
    American Airlines Center1000-100002012:42180000
    BB&T Center1011100002018:25200000
    Barclays Center1000100000024:16250000
    Bell MTS Place3000-100000047:33612001
    Bridgestone Arena2000100000035:35382001
    Capital One Arena1000000000021:07220000
    Enterprise Center1000100001015:46220000
    Gila River Arena2000-300003034:04410000
    Honda Center2011-100005029:06372001
    KeyBank Center1000000000019:29240000
    Little Caesars Arena1000000001017:29185100
    Madison Square Garden1000000000017:35242001
    PNC Arena1000200000020:32260000
    PPG Paints Arena1000000001013:02192001
    Pepsi Center3403370000240565:54693300110
    Prudential Center1000-100001020:24270000
    Rogers Arena1000-200000017:22260000
    Rogers Place1000000000015:25232001
    SAP Center at San Jose1000000000012:45192001
    STAPLES Center110120000110017:10200000
    Scotiabank Saddledome100000000109:10140000
    T-Mobile Arena1000000002018:08190000
    TD Garden1000-100001019:56250000
    United Center1022200001018:17220000
    Wells Fargo Center1000200001014:16242001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break2203350000170378:0145814007
    vs Anaheim Ducks3011000006043:43574002
    vs Arizona Coyotes2000-300003034:04410000
    vs Boston Bruins1000-100001019:56250000
    vs Buffalo Sabres2000100000036:13430000
    vs Carolina Hurricanes2000100002035:10460000
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets1000-100000013:41190000
    vs Calgary Flames2000-100002028:59370000
    vs Chicago Blackhawks3033400003053:57654002
    vs Dallas Stars3000-100004045:06570000
    vs Detroit Red Wings2000-100002033:56437101
    vs Edmonton Oilers2000-100000027:35382001
    vs Florida Panthers2022200004038:18460000
    vs Los Angeles Kings31014000025050:34580000
    vs Minnesota Wild2011000004035:27412001
    vs Montreal Canadiens1000000000018:53220000
    vs New Jersey Devils2000100002036:33470000
    vs Nashville Predators4000100000072:14882001
    vs New York Islanders2000100000037:22420000
    vs New York Rangers2000100000028:543812011
    vs Ottawa Senators1000-100000016:51200000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers1000200001014:16242001
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins2000200001033:02424002
    vs San Jose Sharks2000000001025:21404002
    vs St. Louis Blues3000100002048:21652001
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning2000000001029:52350000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs1000000002017:59170000
    vs Vancouver Canucks3000-300002052:31690000
    vs Washington Capitals2000000001039:15420000
    vs Winnipeg Jets4000100000065:06796003
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights2000000002038:07400000
    vs Western Conference Tms3815620000313.2621:05775260013
    vs Own Division1904460000130320:1139516008
    vs Eastern Conference Tms2602270000170450:1155125115
    Outside Own Division4513430000352.9751:05931351110
    Overall6417890000482.11071:161326511118
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/04vsW4-101110030.000019:380:003:63
    10/11@W6-100000000.000019:480:005:40
    10/13vsL3-2000-10010.000019:820:684:83
    10/16@L3-200000000.000217:580:005:38
    10/18@W5-3000-10010.000020:400:933:77
    10/20@W3-100020000.000020:530:005:55
    10/22@W4-100020010.000214:270:000:95
    10/24vsL1-000000000.000014:070:001:62
    10/26vsW6-3000-10000.000016:850:003:05
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/02@L7-6000-20000.000017:370:003:93
    11/07vsL4-100000000.000019:450:001:63
    11/09@L5-2000-10000.000214:350:003:27
    11/11@W4-100000000.000215:420:001:90
    11/16vsL3-200000010.000018:130:003:60
    11/18@W4-301100030.000013:500:001:95
    11/21@W7-310120011.000017:170:003:43
    11/23@W5-100010020.000018:370:004:32
    11/24vsW3-200010020.000014:420:001:12
    11/27@W3-2000-10000.000217:770:002:30
    11/28vsW6-300020000.000220:000:002:52
    11/30vsL3-200000010.000019:900:003:30
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/02@W2-000000010.000517:480:001:95
    12/04@L6-300000010.000213:030:001:55
    12/06@W5-201110020.000018:420:004:93
    12/08@L7-100000010.000015:800:000:52
    12/11vsL6-4000-10000.000012:170:001:27
    12/14@L4-300010010.000015:770:003:08
    12/15vsW6-4000-10000.000017:980:003:83
    12/17vsL4-100000000.000013:100:004:25
    12/19vsW2-100000000.000018:880:024:78
    12/21vsL2-100010020.000415:720:102:00
    12/22@L6-4000-40010.000015:700:002:68
    12/27@L2-100000020.000018:130:005:92
    12/29vsL3-201110000.000019:950:004:47
    12/31vsL3-200000010.000011:750:002:28
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/02vsL5-400000010.000212:600:001:43
    01/04vsW6-100010000.0001011:320:003:17
    01/08@L7-400000000.000013:150:003:93
    01/09@L5-300000010.00009:170:001:45
    01/19vsW7-100020000.000021:650:005:73
    01/21vsL4-100000000.000017:200:005:18
    01/23vsL5-2000-10010.000216:070:005:73
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/02vsL5-100000000.000013:500:001:98
    02/05vsL6-3000-10000.000013:680:002:03
    02/07@L4-300000000.000021:120:009:12
    02/09@L4-300010000.000024:270:002:33
    02/10@L2-1000-10010.000019:930:005:32
    02/12vsL5-200000020.000017:980:004:12
    02/14@W4-100000000.000020:050:153:55
    02/16vsL3-000000000.000212:680:002:90
    02/18vsW3-000000000.000019:980:007:03
    02/20vsW7-100020000.000417:550:004:40
    02/22@W5-302220010.000018:280:005:47
    02/23@W5-000020000.000017:820:005:95
    02/25vsL4-301110020.000019:880:002:60
    02/27vsW3-2000-10020.000021:650:006:50
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/01@L4-300000000.000212:750:001:72
    03/03@L2-1000-10020.000215:600:003:80
    03/05vsW4-3000-10010.000216:450:001:95
    03/07@L4-0000-10020.000012:700:001:25
    03/09vsW3-000010000.000016:730:001:47
    03/11vsL3-0000-10020.000014:630:001:45
    03/15vsL5-300010010.000214:620:000:37
    03/17vsW3-000020010.000016:150:004:32