SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
They are one of 4 teams with 25/1, 3.8% odds to win the Cup. Even with the juice, the Penguins are a good betting value. Their 4% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #11 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the East at 12/1, 7.7%. Their sim chance is 8.4%. The Penguins are averaging 98.5 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 96.5. At -190 the Penguins are a good value to make the playoffs with a 81.9% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 9/2, 18.2%. They win the division in 29% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NHL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
They were expected to win 56% of their games last season so their 44-26-12 met expectations. Money Line bettors lost -522 on them. They went 39-43 on puck lines (-157 loss). More of their games came in under (41) than went over (35). They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Buffalo Sabres. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
|10/3 BUF||69%||1-0-2, -138||2-1|
|10/5 CLB||52%||3-1, +185||1-3|
|10/8 WPG||57%||2-0, +201||1-1|
|10/10 ANA||67%||1-1, -29||1-0-1|
|10/12 MIN||61%||2-0, +176||0-2|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be better. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is +0.29 (includes playoff games) which ranks #8 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #12. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #3 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #19 in home games.
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|Situation||Goals||Goal%||Shots on Goal|
|All 86 Games||3.22 (#8)||9.7% (#12)||33.3 (#4)|
|Road||3.26 (#3)||9.9% (#5)||33 (#3)|
|Home||3.19 (#12)||9.5% (#16)||33.6 (#7)|
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
|Situation||Goals Allowed||Save%||Shots Against|
|All||2.93 (#15)||91.2% (#7)||33.2 (#25)|
|Road||2.79 (#8)||91.4% (#7||32.4 (#16)|
|Home||3.07 (#25)||91% (#14)||34 (#29)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Sidney Crosby who is projected to be the #3 Center. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Sidney Crosby||100||3||Steven Stamkos||Nathan MacKinnon|
|Kris Letang||99||5||Morgan Rielly||John Carlson|
|Jake Guentzel||96||10||Teuvo Teravainen||Elias Lindholm|
|Evgeni Malkin||98||14||Dylan Larkin||Jonathan Toews|
|Alex Galchenyuk||32||20||Chris Kreider||Zach Parise|
|Justin Schultz||69||25||Darnell Nurse||Filip Hronek|
|Matt Murray||85||28||Mike Smith||Anders Nilsson|
|Casey DeSmith||28||32||Jonathan Quick||Alex Stalock|
|Sam Lafferty||0||45||Dustin Brown||Alexander Nylander|
|Anthony Angello||0||46||Ryan Poehling||Brock Nelson|