SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
There are 4 teams who have 25/1, 3.8% odds to win the Stanley Cup. They win the championship in less than 0.1% of simulations. They are not a good value to win the East either at 12/1, 7.7%. The Devils are averaging 83.9 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 90.5. At -110 the Devils are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 19.2% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 6/1, 14.3%. They win the division in 1.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the East.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NHL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Oddsmakers expected them to win 35.5 based on their money line game odds. Their 31-41-10 record last season failed to meet expectations. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-1392) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good on puck lines going 44-38 (-335 loss). They went over 40 times and came in under 39 times. Their next game vs the Jets should be close. The Devils are winning 51 percent of computer simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
|10/4 WPG||51%||0-1-1, -200||2-0|
|10/5 BUF||47%||2-1, +97||1-2|
|10/9 PHI||42%||2-2, +21||2-2|
|10/10 EDM||54%||2-0, +363||2-0|
|10/12 BOS||31%||1-2, -10||2-1|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be slightly better. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is -0.63 (includes playoff games) which ranks #28 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #29. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #18 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #30 in road games.
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|Situation||Goals||Goal%||Shots on Goal|
|All 82 Games||2.67 (#25)||8.8% (#22)||30.3 (#22)|
|Road||2.49 (#25)||8.2% (#25)||30.4 (#19)|
|Home||2.85 (#22)||9.4% (#18)||30.2 (#23)|
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
|Situation||Goals Allowed||Save%||Shots Against|
|All||3.3 (#25)||89.5% (#28)||31.6 (#15)|
|Road||3.88 (#30)||88.5% (#28||33.7 (#27)|
|Home||2.73 (#11)||90.7% (#18)||29.5 (#9)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Cory Schneider who is projected to be the #22 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Cory Schneider||29||22||Jacob Markstrom||Corey Crawford|
|Taylor Hall||88||4||Alex Ovechkin||Johnny Gaudreau|
|Kyle Palmieri||86||24||Evgenii Dadonov||Anthony Mantha|
|Nico Hischier||61||38||Ryan Getzlaf||Dylan Strome|
|Jesper Bratt||13||36||Tyler Johnson||Patrik Laine|
|Blake Coleman||12||46||Jake DeBrusk||Danick Martel|
|Travis Zajac||7||51||Cody Eakin||Nazem Kadri|
|Damon Severson||48||29||Cody Ceci||Seth Jones|
|MacKenzie Blackwood||20||52||Alexandar Georgiev||Linus Ullmark|
|Pavel Zacha||5||77||Derek Stepan||Colin White|