SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
There are 4 teams who have 20/1, 4.8% odds to win the Stanley Cup. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.8% chance is #16 in the league. In simulations, they win the East 2.1% of the time and are not a good value at 9/1, 10%. The Panthers are averaging 90.5 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 95.5. At -220 the Panthers are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 47.8% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/1, 12.5%. They win the division in 1.5% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the East.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NHL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 36-32-14 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 49%. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1114 units. They were not good on puck lines going 45-37 (-450 loss). They went over 47 times and came in under 29 times. In their next game vs the Lightning they are only winning 30% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
|10/3 TB||30%||0-2-2, -400||3-1|
|10/5 TB||44%||0-2-2, -400||3-1|
|10/8 CAR||56%||0-2-1, -300||2-1|
|10/11 BUF||52%||3-1, +132||2-1-1|
|10/12 NYI||42%||2-0-1, +47||0-2-1|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is -0.11 (includes playoff games) which ranks #18 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #13 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #23 in road games.
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|Situation||Goals||Goal%||Shots on Goal|
|All 82 Games||3.22 (#9)||9.8% (#10)||33 (#6)|
|Road||3.07 (#7)||9.4% (#13)||32.7 (#7)|
|Home||3.37 (#7)||10.1% (#8)||33.3 (#9)|
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
|Situation||Goals Allowed||Save%||Shots Against|
|All||3.33 (#28)||89.1% (#30)||30.7 (#10)|
|Road||3.73 (#27)||87.9% (#31||30.9 (#8)|
|Home||2.93 (#18)||90.4% (#21)||30.5 (#15)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Sergei Bobrovsky who is projected to be the #20 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Sergei Bobrovsky||85||20||Carey Price||Jacob Markstrom|
|Aleksander Barkov||99||6||Brayden Point||Patrice Bergeron|
|Jonathan Huberdeau||95||6||Johnny Gaudreau||Gabriel Landeskog|
|Mike Hoffman||94||16||Timo Meier||Chris Kreider|
|Evgenii Dadonov||91||24||Reilly Smith||Cory Conacher|
|Keith Yandle||96||13||John Klingberg||Roman Josi|
|Dominic Toninato||0||50||Sven Baertschi||Patrick Maroon|
|Owen Tippett||10||51||Nino Niederreiter||Kristian Vesalainen|
|Frank Vatrano||17||63||Jason Zucker||Milan Lucic|
|Vincent Trocheck||69||69||Alex Kerfoot||Nick Bjugstad|