A Very Good Fantasy Season for Marc-Andre Fleury

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Marc-Andre Fleury had a good fantasy season and was a 'second tier' fantasy star. He is the number #6 ranked goalie. Even though he missed his fair share of games, had played enough to make his overall fantasy rank better than what it is based on average fantasy points where he is the #14 goalie. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 21 games he averaged 6.7 fantasy points which was higher than his start (5.8 FP) and his ending average (5.5 FP). A late season drop-off might be expected given his age. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.75 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Fleury when he 'goes off' is 15 fantasy points (his average is 6FPs).

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

Getting older predictably resulted in a drop in production. His fantasy average dropped by 13 percent.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points374317202
FP Average66.95.3
Regular Season GP624638
WIN0.60.60.5
LOSS0.40.30.3
GA2.52.22.8
SAVES26.127.728.3
SO0.10.10.0

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 14.9 fantasy points per week and had 9 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 8 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL14.9 FP per Week98
Week 110 (2 games 5 per game)-4.9
Week 212.6 (3 games 4.2 per game)
Week 317.1 (2 games 8.6 per game)
Week 49.6 (3 games 3.2 per game)-5.3
Week 514 (2 games 7 per game)
Week 68.4 (3 games 2.8 per game)-6.5
Week 723.8 (3 games 7.9 per game)+8.9
Week 835.2 (3 games 11.7 per game)+20.3
Week 919.2 (3 games 6.4 per game)+4.3
Week 1021.4 (4 games 5.4 per game)+6.5
Week 1117.4 (3 games 5.8 per game)
Week 1213 (3 games 4.3 per game)
Week 1320 (2 games 10 per game)+5.1
Week 1419.4 (2 games 9.7 per game)+4.5
Week 1516.7 (3 games 5.6 per game)
Week 1614.4 (2 games 7.2 per game)
Week 173.6 (2 games 1.8 per game)-11.3
Week 182.4 (1 games)-12.5
Week 1918.8 (3 games 6.3 per game)+3.9
Week 201.6 (2 games 0.8 per game)-13.3
Week 212.6 (2 games 1.3 per game)-12.3
Week 2235.2 (3 games 11.7 per game)+20.3
Week 2319.4 (2 games 9.7 per game)+4.5
Week 2412 (1 games)
Week 274.8 (2 games 2.4 per game)-10.1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 18.1 FD points and 4.5 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -2.8 and on FanDuel it was -11.2 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 8.4 and on FanDuel it was 33.6 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All18.1 ($8.6K)21 G, 22 B4.5 ($7.9K)21 G, 22 B
4/6 @LA5.6 ($8.4K)-12.51.4 ($8.1K)-3.1
4/4 ARI13.6 ($8.7K)-4.53.4 ($8.3K)-1.1
3/15 @DAL40 ($8.9K)+21.910 ($7.6K)+5.5
3/9 @VAN27.2 ($8.2K)+9.16.8 ($8K)+2.3
3/6 CGY34.4 ($8.2K)+16.38.6 ($7.8K)+4.1
3/3 VAN35.2--8.8--
3/1 @ANA47.2 ($7.9K)+29.111.8 ($8.1K)+7.3
2/26 DAL26.4 ($7.8K)+8.36.6 ($8K)+2.1
2/22 WPG-1.6 ($8K)-19.7-0.4 ($7.8K)-4.9
2/20 BOS12 ($7.9K)-6.13 ($7.9K)-1.5
2/14 TOR5.6 ($8.4K)-12.51.4 ($8K)-3.1
2/12 ARI0.8 ($8.6K)-17.30.2 ($8.2K)-4.3
2/9 CLB7.2 ($8.7K)-10.91.8 ($8.1K)-2.7
2/7 @DET28.8 ($8.5K)+10.77.2 ($7.8K)+2.7
2/5 @TB23.2 ($8.6K)+5.15.8 ($7.5K)+1.3
2/2 @FLA9.6 ($9.1K)-8.52.4 ($8K)-2.1
1/23 NSH12 ($9.1K)-6.13 ($8K)-1.5
1/21 MIN2.4 ($9.3K)-15.70.6 ($8.3K)-3.9
1/19 PIT27.2 ($9.2K)+9.16.8 ($8K)+2.3
1/15 @WPG10.4 ($9.2K)-7.72.6 ($7.4K)-1.9
1/12 @CHI16 ($9.2K)--4 ($8.2K)--
1/10 SJ7.2 ($9.2K)-10.91.8 ($8.1K)-2.7
1/8 NYR25.6 ($9K)+7.56.4 ($8.2K)+1.9
1/4 @ANA24 ($9.2K)+5.96 ($7.6K)+1.5
1/1 LA33.6 ($9.1K)+15.58.4 ($8.3K)+3.9
12/30 @ARI31.2--7.8--
12/27 COL32.8 ($8.9K)+14.78.2 ($7.4K)+3.7
12/23 LA6.4 ($9K)-11.71.6 ($8.3K)-2.9
12/22 MON18.4--4.6--
12/20 NYI19.2 ($8.8K)--4.8 ($8K)--
12/16 @NYR21.6--5.4--
12/14 @NJ9.6 ($8.9K)-8.52.4 ($7.6K)-2.1
12/12 @NYI22.4 ($8.9K)+4.35.6 ($7.6K)+1.1
12/9 DAL21.6 ($8.9K)--5.4 ($8.1K)--
12/8 @LA-4---1--
12/6 CHI25.6 ($8.9K)+7.56.4 ($8.3K)+1.9
12/4 WAS18.4 ($8.8K)--4.6 ($7.8K)--
12/1 @EDM17.6 ($8.7K)--4.4 ($7.6K)--
11/29 @VAN26.4 ($8.6K)+8.36.6 ($8.1K)+2.1
11/27 @CHI16.8 ($8.4K)--4.2 ($7.7K)--
11/24 SJ46.4 ($8.4K)+28.311.6 ($7.7K)+7.1
11/23 CGY43.2--10.8--
11/21 @ARI19.2 ($8.4K)--4.8 ($7.5K)--
11/18 @EDM23.2 ($8.4K)+5.15.8 ($7.4K)+1.3
11/16 STL8.8 ($8.4K)-9.32.2 ($8.4K)-2.3
11/14 ANA43.2 ($8.4K)+25.110.8 ($7.7K)+6.3
11/10 @MON-2.4 ($8.5K)-20.5-0.6 ($7.5K)-5.1
11/8 @OTT21.6 ($8.5K)--5.4 ($7.8K)--
11/6 @TOR6.4 ($8K)-11.71.6 ($7.1K)-2.9
11/3 CAR47.2 ($8K)+29.111.8 ($8.2K)+7.3
11/1 @STL-3.2 ($8K)-21.3-0.8 ($7.8K)-5.3
10/28 OTT15.2 ($8.1K)--3.8 ($8.4K)--
10/26 TB4--1--
10/24 VAN11.2 ($8.1K)-6.92.8 ($8.4K)-1.7
10/20 ANA21.6 ($8.4K)--5.4 ($8.3K)--
10/16 BUF28.8 ($8.4K)+10.77.2 ($8.3K)+2.7
10/13 @PHI40.8--10.2--
10/10 @WAS3.2 ($8.7K)-14.90.8 ($7.5K)-3.7
10/8 @BUF-5.6 ($8.9K)-23.7-1.4 ($8.1K)-5.9
10/6 @MIN31.2 ($8.9K)+13.17.8 ($7.9K)+3.3
10/4 PHI-11.2 ($8.9K)-29.3-2.8 ($8.2K)-7.3