A Very Good Fantasy Season for Seth Jones

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Seth Jones had a good, but not elite, year in fantasy. He is the number #17 ranked defender and the #124 ranked skater overall. His high ranking is definitely helped by his number of games played (76). Based on average fantasy points he is the #28 defender. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 25 games he averaged 2.7 FPs and that declined to 1.6 in his final 26 games. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. He averaged 2.2 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 12 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

It is not a good sign to see a drop-off in production in a young player. His average fantasy points decreased by 24% this season.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points169228163
FP Average2.22.92.2
Regular Season GP767875
PTS0.60.70.6
GOALS0.10.20.2
ASSISTS0.50.50.4
SOG2.43.22.0
BS1.81.61.6

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 7.1 fantasy points per week and had 8 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 7 weeks where he was +20% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL7.1 FP per Week78
Week 48 (3 games 2.7 per game)
Week 58 (4 games 2 per game)
Week 614 (3 games 4.7 per game)+6.9
Week 75.5 (3 games 1.8 per game)-1.6
Week 81 (3 games 0.3 per game)-6.1
Week 910 (3 games 3.3 per game)+2.9
Week 1012.5 (3 games 4.2 per game)+5.4
Week 118.5 (3 games 2.8 per game)
Week 1210.5 (4 games 2.6 per game)+3.4
Week 136 (2 games 3 per game)
Week 1413 (3 games 4.3 per game)+5.9
Week 153 (4 games 0.8 per game)-4.1
Week 166.5 (3 games 2.2 per game)
Week 183.5 (3 games 1.2 per game)-3.6
Week 1910.5 (3 games 3.5 per game)+3.4
Week 208 (3 games 2.7 per game)
Week 212 (4 games 0.5 per game)-5.1
Week 226.5 (4 games 1.6 per game)
Week 233.5 (3 games 1.2 per game)-3.6
Week 248 (4 games 2 per game)
Week 25-3 (3 games -1 per game)-10.1
Week 2617.5 (4 games 4.4 per game)+10.4
Week 271 (3 games 0.3 per game)-6.1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 12.7 FD points and 3.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1.5 and on FanDuel it was 3.2 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 5.5 and on FanDuel it was 21.3 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), but on DraftKings he has had more good than bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All12.7 ($5.6K)26 G, 27 B3.6 ($5.9K)26 G, 25 B
4/6 @OTT3.2 ($6.2K)-9.51 ($6K)-2.6
4/5 @NYR4.8 ($6.2K)-7.91.5 ($5.9K)-2.1
4/2 BOS18.1 ($6.1K)+5.45 ($6K)+1.4
3/31 @BUF14.4 ($5.9K)--4 ($6.1K)--
3/30 @NSH8 ($5.9K)-4.72.5 ($5.8K)-1.1
3/28 MON16 ($5.8K)+3.34.5 ($5.8K)+0.9
3/26 NYI11.2 ($5.7K)--3 ($5.8K)--
3/24 @VAN11.2 ($5.9K)--3.5 ($5.7K)--
3/21 @EDM9.6 ($5.9K)-3.13 ($5.8K)--
3/19 @CGY11.2 ($5.9K)--3.5 ($5.5K)--
3/16 @BOS8 ($5.8K)-4.72.5 ($5.6K)-1.1
3/15 CAR14.4 ($5.8K)--4 ($5.7K)--
3/12 BOS16 ($5.6K)+3.34.5 ($5.6K)+0.9
3/11 @NYI1.6 ($5.6K)-11.10.5 ($5.7K)-3.1
3/9 PIT17.6 ($5.6K)+4.95 ($5.6K)+1.4
3/7 @PIT9.6 ($5.6K)-3.13 ($5.8K)--
3/5 @NJ6.4 ($5.8K)-6.32 ($5.8K)-1.6
3/3 WPG16.8 ($5.6K)+4.14.5 ($5.7K)+0.9
3/2 EDM6.4--2--
2/28 PHI21.6 ($5.3K)+8.96 ($5.9K)+2.4
2/26 PIT1.6 ($5.4K)-11.10.5 ($5.8K)-3.1
2/23 SJ4.8-7.91.5 ($6.1K)-2.1
2/22 @OTT17.6 ($5.5K)+4.95 ($6.2K)+1.4
2/19 @MON9.6 ($5.6K)-3.13 ($5.9K)--
2/18 TB4.8 ($5.6K)-7.91.5 ($5.9K)-2.1
2/16 @CHI16 ($5.7K)+3.34.5 ($5.9K)+0.9
2/14 NYI6.4 ($5.8K)-6.32 ($5.8K)-1.6
2/12 WAS11.2 ($5.7K)--3 ($5.8K)--
2/9 @LV11.2 ($5.6K)--3 ($5.8K)--
2/7 @ARI10.1 ($5.8K)-2.62.5 ($6.2K)-1.1
2/5 @COL18.1 ($5.7K)+5.45 ($6.1K)+1.4
2/2 STL4.8 ($5.7K)-7.91.5 ($6.4K)-2.1
1/31 @WPG21.3 ($5.6K)+8.65.5 ($6.2K)+1.9
1/29 BUF4.8 ($5.7K)-7.91.5 ($5.9K)-2.1
1/19 @MIN14.9 ($5.7K)--4 ($5.7K)--
1/18 MON12.8 ($5.7K)--3.5 ($5.8K)--
1/15 NJ6.4 ($5.7K)-6.32 ($5.9K)-1.6
1/13 NYR4.8 ($5.8K)-7.91.5 ($5.8K)-2.1
1/12 @WAS16.5 ($5.8K)+3.84.5 ($5.7K)+0.9
1/10 NSH14.9 ($6K)--4 ($5.9K)--
1/8 @TB3.2 ($6K)-9.51 ($5.7K)-2.6
1/5 @FLA16.8 ($6K)+4.14.5 ($5.8K)+0.9
1/4 @CAR14.4 ($6K)--4 ($5.9K)--
12/31 OTT17.6 ($5.9K)+4.95 ($5.9K)+1.4
12/28 TOR11.2 ($5.8K)--3 ($6.1K)--
12/27 @NYR17.6 ($5.8K)+4.95 ($6.2K)+1.4
12/23 @NJ3.2--1--
12/22 @PHI1.6--0.5--
12/20 NJ16 ($5.7K)+3.34.5 ($6.4K)+0.9
12/17 LV12.8 ($5.7K)--3.5 ($6.2K)--
12/15 ANA1.6 ($5.7K)-11.10.5 ($6.4K)-3.1
12/13 LA16.5 ($5.7K)+3.84.5 ($6.4K)+0.9
12/11 VAN24.8 ($5.7K)+12.17 ($6.1K)+3.4
12/8 WAS17.6 ($5.5K)+4.95.5 ($6K)+1.9
12/6 @PHI30.4 ($5.5K)+17.78 ($6.2K)+4.4
12/4 CGY20.8 ($5.4K)+8.15.5 ($5.6K)+1.9
12/1 @NYI17.6 ($5.3K)+4.95 ($6.1K)+1.4
11/29 MIN9.6 ($5.3K)-3.12.5 ($5.9K)-1.1
11/26 @DET23.2 ($5.2K)+10.56.5 ($6K)+2.9
11/24 @PIT11.2 ($5.1K)--3.5 ($5.9K)--
11/23 TOR4.8 ($5.1K)-7.91.5 ($5.8K)-2.1
11/19 @TOR11.2 ($5.1K)--3.5 ($5.9K)--
11/17 @CAR8 ($5.2K)-4.72.5 ($6.2K)-1.1
11/15 FLA6.4 ($5.4K)-6.32 ($6.4K)-1.6
11/12 @DAL13.3 ($5.4K)--3.5 ($6.4K)--
11/10 NYR34.1 ($5.4K)+21.49 ($6K)+5.4
11/9 @WAS6.4 ($5.4K)-6.32 ($5.6K)-1.6
11/6 DAL17.6 ($5.3K)+4.95 ($5.7K)+1.4
11/4 @ANA24 ($5.2K)+11.36.5 ($5.3K)+2.9
11/3 @LA4.8 ($5.2K)-7.91.5 ($5.5K)-2.1
11/1 @SJ13.6 ($5.2K)--3.5 ($5.7K)--
10/30 DET8 ($5.2K)-4.72.5 ($6.3K)-1.1
10/27 BUF4.8 ($5.2K)-7.91.5 ($6.3K)-2.1
10/25 @STL21.6 ($5.1K)+8.96 ($6.3K)+2.4
10/23 ARI11.2 ($5K)--3.5 ($6.2K)--