Aho FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 20.1 FanDuel pts Sebastian Aho is the #2 ranked center. He is the #12 highest priced center ($6600). Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Aho is worth $9.3K. Jack Eichel (17.5 FP), Sean Monahan (20.1 FP), Matt Duchene (14.3 FP), Dylan Larkin (14.8 FP), and Aleksander Barkov (17.9 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Aho but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 14.2 FPs, a value reached in 24 of 46 games (52%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

  • 1/18 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CAR 3.6 (#2 Most Today) vs OTT 2.9 (#9 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 20.08 Fantasy Points (#2), 1.35 points (#4), 0.58 goals (#5), 0.77 assists (#5), 3.72 shots on goal (#2), 0.4 PIM (#18 most), 0.34 blocked shots (#50)

Aho is in the SportsLine FanDuel optimal lineup based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He is not in the DraftKings optimal lineup but Henrik Borgstrom is.

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Sebastian Aho is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 5.4 DK pts (#1 among centers). At $7100 he is expected to be the #5 center. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Aho is worth $8.2K. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Jack Eichel (4.8 FP), John Tavares (5.2 FP), Sidney Crosby (5.4 FP), and Auston Matthews (5.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.7 FPs, a value reached in 17 of 46 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among centers for the rest of week 16 is #8, which is better than his market rank of #9. When compared to other centers in week 17 these are 2 better options at lower start percentages: Ryan O'Reilly (6.1 FP) and Nathan MacKinnon (7.3 FP). He is projected for more points than 2 other centers starting in more leagues: John Tavares (3.5 FP) and Auston Matthews (3.4 FP). Starting in 95% of leagues he is expected to produce 5.9 fantasy points (WK 17). Week 17 market expectations match his projection. He is expected to be the #3 center (projected to be #3).

He is projected for 5.85 fantasy points in week 17 (#3 C) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
5.85 (#3) 
Points 
1.11 (#9) 
Goals 
0.48 (#8) 
Assists 
0.64 (#11) 
SOG3.5 (#2) 
 
PIM 
 
0.4 (#24)
Blocks 
 
0.36 (#80)
+/- 
 
0.07 (#34)

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Sebastian Aho is valued behind Matthews and above Rantanen but the projections rank Rantanen over Sebastian Aho in week 17.
  • Jan 22Jan 23
    2.8 FP @CGY3.1 FP @VAN

    Sebastian Aho last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/15 @NYR-1 FP, 3 FD, 1 DK17 TOI, 2 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM
    1/13 vs NSH14 FP, 55 FD, 16 DK18 TOI, 6 SOG, 4 PTS, 3 G, 1 A, 0 PIM
    1/11 vs BUF10 FP, 27 FD, 7 DK21 TOI, 2 SOG, 2 PTS, 2 G, 0 A, 4 PIM
    1/10 @TB-1 FP, 5 FD, 2 DK21 TOI, 2 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM
    1/8 @NYI0 FP, 6 FD, 2 DK20 TOI, 3 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM

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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 1/18, Sebastian Aho is the #9 ranked center based on ownership percentage (100%) and fantasy rankings. Our projections indicate that Sebastian Aho is overrated by the market. His fantasy center projection rank is #14. Of the 12 100% owned centers, he is ranked #11. There are 12 centers that are owned in all leagues and Sebastian Aho is projected to be the least productive for the rest of the season. He can be considered overvalued and expect his ranking among 100% owned centers to go down. He is projected for 110 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#15) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Sebastian Aho behind Bergeron and above Stamkos but the projections rank Stamkos over Sebastian Aho.

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    110 (#14) 
    Points 
    40 (#13) 
    Goals 
    17 (#11) 
    Assists 
    23 (#14) 
    SOG127 (#5) 
     
    PIM 
     
    13 (#58)
    Blocks 
     
    14 (#108)
    +/- 
     
    2 (#49)

    His projected shooting percentage is lower than you would like.