Alex DeBrincat's Rest of Season Value is Surprising

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (93%), Alex DeBrincat is expected to be the #21 right wing for the rest of the season. The market expects more than the projections do. His projection based right wing rank is #32. Most owners expect to start DeBrincat every active week, but we think they might have to bench him in certain situations. He is the lowest rated of the 3 right wings (Mikael Granlund, T.J. Oshie) with this market rank (93% Owned). He is projected for 67 fantasy points in 32 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Alex DeBrincat behind Oshie and above Voracek but the projections rank Voracek over Alex DeBrincat.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
67 (#32) 
Points 
23 (#35) 
Goals14 (#17) 
 
Assists 
 
9 (#55)
SOG 
80 (#40) 
PIM 
 
7 (#105)
Blocks 
 
12 (#102)
+/- 
 
0 (#71)

He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Alex DeBrincat is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #21 while his projection (rest of week 16) rank is #62. When compared to other right wings in week 17 instead of DeBrincat consider these better options at lower start percentages: Patrick Maroon (3.2 FP), Teuvo Teravainen (4.4 FP), Brandon Pirri (6.7 FP), Reilly Smith (4.8 FP), and Brendan Gallagher (2.7 FP). Starting in 71% of leagues he is expected to produce 3.2 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #20 right wing of the week, but he is projected to be the #27 right wing. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 0.6 short of expectations. In addition to being projected for fewer FP than normal, he is only playing in 1 games.

Lower Start%A. DeBrincat WK 17Higher Start%
P. Maroon (3 FP)2.6 FPJ. Bailey (2.4 FP)
T. Teravainen (4 FP)#20 Right Wing 
B. Pirri (7 FP) 
 
R. Smith (5 FP) 
 
B. Gallagher (2.7 FP) 
 

He is projected for 2.57 fantasy points in week 17 (#27 RW) in 1 1 game.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
2.57 (#27) 
Points0.82 (#15) 
 
Goals0.5 (#5) 
 
Assists 
0.32 (#30) 
SOG 
2.5 (#21) 
PIM 
 
0.2 (#64)
Blocks 
 
0.34 (#70)
+/- 
0.21 (#20) 

  • Alex DeBrincat last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/17 @NYR2 FP, 16 FD, 4 DK21 TOI, 2 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, -2 PIM
    1/14 @NJ-1 FP, 5 FD, 2 DK20 TOI, 3 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM
    1/12 vs LV7 FP, 36 FD, 10 DK19 TOI, 5 SOG, 2 PTS, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/9 vs NSH4 FP, 24 FD, 6 DK17 TOI, 7 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/7 vs CGY3 FP, 18 FD, 5 DK14 TOI, 4 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PIM

    DeBrincat is not in the 1/18 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline FanDuel optimal lineup is Johnny Gaudreau, and Brock Boeser is in the DraftKings optimal lineup.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 1/17 VS NYR

    • 21 TOI, 1 G, 0 A, 2 SOG, 0 BS
    • FanDuel: $6500, 15.7 FPs (+$1604 value, +3.1 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $5800, 4 FPs (+$1036 value, +0.6 FPs)