Boston Bruins Have a 51.1% Chance of Winning the Championship

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PLAYOFF FORECAST

In their current series vs the Hurricanes, they have a 97.8% chance of advancing. They have 51.1% chance of winning the championship.

PLAYOFF FORECAST

The Boston Bruins are up 3-0 in their series against the Hurricanes. They are -120 to win based on the money line which carries a 'juice adjusted' implied probability of 52.2%. The oddsmakers have set the over/under at 5.5 goals. The Sportsline game simulations favor the Bruins.

Series BreakdownWin/LoseIn 4In 5In 6In 7
Win97.8%56.6%27.6%9.6%4.1%
Lose2.2%------2.2%

ADVANCING IN EACH ROUND

In their current series vs the Hurricanes, they have a 97.8% chance of advancing. They have 51.1% chance of winning the championship.

The following is the percentage of series simulations the Bruins win against the rest of the remaining playoff teams.

  • Underdog vs the Sharks winning 49.4%
  • Favored vs the Blues by 62.4%

TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.66 which ranks #3 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #2. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #2 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #6 in road games. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +2.5 which ranks them #1 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationGoalsGoal%Shots on Goal
All 98 Games3.16 (#10)9.6% (#12)32.9 (#7)
Road2.9 (#13)8.9% (#19)32.6 (#8)
Home3.42 (#7)10.3% (#7)33.3 (#10)
Last 6 Games4 (#1)12.3% (#1)32.5 (#3)

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

SituationGoals AllowedSave%Shots Against
All2.5 (#3)91.7% (#3)30 (#8)
Road2.6 (#5)91.7% (#431.4 (#10)
Home2.4 (#4)91.6% (#6)28.7 (#7)
Last 6 Games1.5 (#1)95.6% (#1)34.2 (#5)

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Bruins in all of their games would have earned a +508 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the puck line, they have delivered a +161 profit risking 100 units on each game (40-42 PL). They are profitable against the puck line at home and on the road.

Season RecapGS-GAMoney LinePuck Line RecordO/U RecordSOGSOG Allowed
All Games3.2 - 2.649-24-9, +50840-42, +16135-44 55.7% Under32.729.5
On Road2.9 - 2.820-15-6, -34522-19, +4417-23 57.5% Under3230.6
At Home3.4 - 2.529-9-3, +50818-23, +11718-21 53.8% Under33.328.3
4/6 TB3-6Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 6.53322
4/4 @MIN3-0Win +110Covered +1.5Under 5.53526
4/2 @CLB6-2Win +115Covered +1.5Over 5.52834
3/31 @DET3-6Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 5.53428
3/30 FLA1-4Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 6.53123
3/27 NYR6-3Win +28Covered -1.5Over 63223
3/25 @TB4-5Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 61728
3/23 @FLA7-3Win +68Covered -1.5Over 63934
3/21 @NJ5-1Win +31Covered -1.5Over 5.52722
3/19 @NYI5-0Win +86Covered -1.5Under 5.53913
3/16 CLB2-1Win +57Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 63325
3/14 @WPG3-4Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 63924
3/12 @CLB4-7Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 63135
3/10 @PIT2-4Loss -100Puck Line Loss +1.5Under 6.54137
3/9 OTT3-2Win +22Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 63119
3/7 FLA4-3Win +45Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 62825
3/5 CAR4-3Win +76Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 5.53837
3/2 NJ1-0Win +28Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 63020
2/28 TB4-1Win +80Covered -1.5Under 6.54121
2/26 SJ4-1Win +95Covered +1.5Under 6.53220
2/23 @STL1-2 OTLoss -100Covered +1.5Under 5.53229
2/20 @LV3-2Win +122Covered +1.5Under 5.52733
2/18 @SJ6-5Win +127Covered +1.5Over 62038
2/16 @LA4-2Win +74Covered -1.5Over 5.52425
2/15 @ANA3-0Win +51Covered -1.5Under 5.52930
2/12 CHI6-3Win +51Covered -1.5Over 6.53726
2/10 COL2-1Win +50Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 63536
2/9 LA5-4Win +40Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 5.53329
2/6 @NYR3-4 OTLoss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 63039
2/5 NYI3-1Win +61Covered -1.5Under 5.52729
2/3 @WAS1-0Win +95Covered +1.5Under 63924
1/31 PHI2-3 OTLoss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 62541
1/29 WPG3-4 OTLoss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 63927
1/19 NYR2-3Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 62920
1/17 STL5-2Win +62Covered -1.5Over 5.52730
1/16 @PHI3-4Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 64219
1/14 MON2-3 OTLoss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 5.54322
1/12 @TOR3-2Win +110Covered +1.5Under 6.52932
1/10 WAS2-4Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Push 64122
1/8 MIN4-0Win +54Covered -1.5Under 5.52724
1/5 BUF2-1Win +45Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 5.54132
1/3 CGY6-4Win +63Covered -1.5Over 62737
1/1 @CHI4-2Win +60Covered -1.5Push 63638
12/29 @BUF3-2Win +87Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 5.54228
12/27 NJ2-5Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 64233
12/23 @CAR3-5Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 5.53037
12/22 NSH5-2Win +70Covered -1.5Over 5.53230
12/20 ANA3-1Win +64Covered -1.5Under 5.53125
12/17 @MON4-0Win +125Covered +1.5Under 63522
12/16 BUF2-4Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 5.53727
12/14 @PIT3-5Loss -100Puck Line Loss +1.5Over 65128
12/11 ARI4-3Win +56Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 5.52633
12/9 @OTT2-1Win +62Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 6.54428
12/8 TOR6-3Win +115Covered +1.5Over 63232
12/6 @TB2-3Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 63530
12/4 @FLA0-5Loss -100Puck Line Loss +1.5Under 5.53344
12/1 DET2-4Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 5.54027
11/29 NYI2-1Win +61Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 5.53629
11/26 @TOR2-4Loss -100Puck Line Loss +1.5Over 5.54031
11/24 @MON3-2Win +83Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 5.53533
11/23 PIT2-1Win +100Covered +1.5Under 63737
11/21 @DET2-3 OTLoss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 5.53627
11/17 @ARI2-1Win +96Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 5.52333
11/16 @DAL0-1 OTLoss -100Covered +1.5Under 5.52337
11/14 @COL3-6Loss -100Puck Line Loss +1.5Over 62325
11/11 LV4-1Win +58Covered -1.5Under 5.53738
11/10 TOR5-1Win +69Covered -1.5Push 63441
11/8 VAN5-8Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Over 5.52833
11/5 DAL2-1Win +62Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 5.53525
11/3 @NSH0-1Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 5.52640
10/30 @CAR3-2Win +120Covered +1.5Under 63144
10/27 MON0-3Loss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 5.53323
10/25 PHI3-0Win +62Covered -1.5Under 62526
10/23 @OTT4-1Win +59Covered -1.5Under 63239
10/20 @VAN1-2 OTLoss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 63122
10/18 @EDM2-3 OTLoss -100Puck Line Loss -1.5Under 62922
10/17 @CGY2-5Loss -100Puck Line Loss +1.5Over 62629
10/13 DET8-2Win +38Covered -1.5Over 63934
10/11 EDM4-1Win +59Covered -1.5Under 63226
10/8 OTT6-3Win +37Covered -1.5Over 63031
10/4 @BUF4-0Win +74Covered -1.5Under 62632
10/3 @WAS0-7Loss -100Puck Line Loss +1.5Over 5.52537