Cam Atkinson is Good, but Not Elite, in Fantasy

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Cam Atkinson had a good fantasy season and was a 'second tier' fantasy star. He is the #81 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #23 wing. His solid ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #25 wing. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 3.7 FPs in his first 26 games and 1.6 FP in his final 27 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.55 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 2.5 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 15 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

Based on his fantasy point average, he is on a clear upward swing. His average Fantasy points increased by 14% this season.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points203144194
FP Average2.52.22.4
Regular Season GP816582
PTS0.90.70.8
GOALS0.50.40.4
ASSISTS0.30.30.3
SOG3.73.62.9
BS0.30.40.4

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 7.8 fantasy points per week and had 13 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 12 weeks where he was +20% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL7.8 FP per Week1213
Week 13 (2 games 1.5 per game)-4.8
Week 24.5 (3 games 1.5 per game)-3.3
Week 32.5 (2 games 1.2 per game)-5.3
Week 415 (3 games 5 per game)+7.2
Week 5-1.5 (4 games -0.4 per game)-9.3
Week 67 (2 games 3.5 per game)
Week 731.5 (3 games 10.5 per game)+23.7
Week 814 (3 games 4.7 per game)+6.2
Week 910 (3 games 3.3 per game)+2.2
Week 1010.5 (3 games 3.5 per game)+2.7
Week 115 (3 games 1.7 per game)-2.8
Week 1218 (4 games 4.5 per game)+10.2
Week 131 (2 games 0.5 per game)-6.8
Week 1410 (3 games 3.3 per game)+2.2
Week 159.5 (4 games 2.4 per game)+1.7
Week 164.5 (3 games 1.5 per game)-3.3
Week 185 (2 games 2.5 per game)-2.8
Week 1912 (3 games 4 per game)+4.2
Week 205 (3 games 1.7 per game)-2.8
Week 2110 (4 games 2.5 per game)+2.2
Week 221.5 (4 games 0.4 per game)-6.3
Week 2311 (3 games 3.7 per game)+3.2
Week 240 (4 games 0 per game)-7.8
Week 25-1 (3 games -0.3 per game)-8.8
Week 2615 (4 games 3.8 per game)+7.2
Week 270 (3 games 0 per game)-7.8

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 15.2 FD points and 4.2 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1 and on FanDuel it was 3.2 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 8 and on FanDuel it was 30.4 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All15.2 ($7.1K)26 G, 39 B4.2 ($7K)23 G, 37 B
4/6 @OTT11.2 ($7.1K)-43.5 ($7.5K)--
4/5 @NYR3.2 ($7.1K)-121 ($7.3K)-3.2
4/2 BOS14.9 ($7.1K)--4 ($7K)--
3/31 @BUF4.8 ($7K)-10.41.5 ($6.9K)-2.7
3/30 @NSH33.6 ($7K)+18.49 ($6.9K)+4.8
3/28 MON1.6 ($7.1K)-13.60.5 ($7.2K)-3.7
3/26 NYI23.2 ($7K)+86 ($7.2K)+1.8
3/24 @VAN4.8 ($7.1K)-10.41.5 ($6.8K)-2.7
3/21 @EDM1.6 ($7.3K)-13.60.5 ($6.8K)-3.7
3/19 @CGY4.8 ($7.3K)-10.41.5 ($6.8K)-2.7
3/16 @BOS3.2 ($7.3K)-121 ($6.8K)-3.2
3/15 CAR11.2 ($7.4K)-43 ($6.9K)-1.2
3/12 BOS1.6 ($7.7K)-13.60.5 ($6.9K)-3.7
3/11 @NYI4.8 ($7.4K)-10.41.5 ($6.9K)-2.7
3/9 PIT35.2 ($7.4K)+209.5 ($6.8K)+5.3
3/7 @PIT3.2 ($7.5K)-121 ($6.9K)-3.2
3/5 @NJ16.8 ($7.3K)--4.5 ($7.1K)--
3/3 WPG13.3 ($7.2K)--3.5 ($6.8K)--
3/2 EDM0--0--
2/28 PHI9.6 ($7.3K)-5.63 ($7.5K)-1.2
2/26 PIT18.9 ($7.1K)+3.75 ($7.2K)--
2/23 SJ26.9+11.77 ($7.1K)+2.8
2/22 @OTT16.8 ($7.1K)--4.5 ($7.4K)--
2/19 @MON1.6 ($7.2K)-13.60.5 ($6.8K)-3.7
2/18 TB9.6 ($7.3K)-5.63 ($7K)-1.2
2/16 @CHI18.4 ($7.1K)+3.25 ($7.6K)--
2/14 NYI6.4 ($7.2K)-8.82 ($7.4K)-2.2
2/12 WAS11.2 ($7.3K)-43.5 ($7.2K)--
2/9 @LV35.7 ($7.1K)+20.59.5 ($7K)+5.3
2/7 @ARI6.4 ($7.2K)-8.82 ($7.6K)-2.2
2/5 @COL20 ($7.2K)+4.85.5 ($7.8K)+1.3
2/2 STL12.8 ($7.3K)--3.5 ($7.5K)--
1/29 BUF31.2 ($7.4K)+168.5 ($7.7K)+4.3
1/19 @MIN1.6 ($7.4K)-13.60.5 ($7.4K)-3.7
1/18 MON9.6 ($7.4K)-5.63 ($7.5K)-1.2
1/15 NJ26.4 ($7.2K)+11.27 ($7.5K)+2.8
1/13 NYR26.4 ($7.2K)+11.27 ($7.4K)+2.8
1/12 @WAS18.4 ($7.2K)+3.25 ($7.5K)--
1/10 NSH13.3 ($7.2K)--3.5 ($7.4K)--
1/8 @TB6.4 ($7.3K)-8.82 ($7.7K)-2.2
1/5 @FLA6.4 ($7.5K)-8.82 ($7.7K)-2.2
1/4 @CAR8 ($7.5K)-7.22.5 ($7.9K)-1.7
12/31 OTT31.2 ($7.4K)+168 ($7.8K)+3.8
12/28 TOR8 ($7.4K)-7.22.5 ($7.5K)-1.7
12/27 @NYR11.2 ($7.4K)-43 ($7.6K)-1.2
12/23 @NJ18.4--5--
12/22 @PHI36.8--10--
12/20 NJ21.6 ($7.2K)+6.46 ($7.6K)+1.8
12/17 LV8 ($7.2K)-7.22.5 ($7.4K)-1.7
12/15 ANA8 ($7.1K)-7.22.5 ($7.5K)-1.7
12/13 LA26.1 ($7.1K)+10.97 ($7.2K)+2.8
12/11 VAN22.4 ($7.1K)+7.26.5 ($6.8K)+2.3
12/8 WAS3.2 ($7.3K)-121 ($7K)-3.2
12/6 @PHI11.2 ($7.3K)-43 ($7.3K)-1.2
12/4 CGY44 ($7.2K)+28.813 ($6.6K)+8.8
12/1 @NYI12.8 ($7.2K)--3.5 ($7.2K)--
11/29 MIN17.3 ($7.2K)--4.5 ($7.2K)--
11/26 @DET11.2 ($7.2K)-43 ($7.1K)-1.2
11/24 @PIT23.2 ($6.9K)+86.5 ($7.5K)+2.3
11/23 TOR15.2 ($6.9K)--4 ($7K)--
11/19 @TOR31.2 ($6.9K)+168.5 ($6.7K)+4.3
11/17 @CAR52.5 ($6.3K)+37.315 ($6.5K)+10.8
11/15 FLA29.6 ($6.3K)+14.48 ($6.2K)+3.8
11/12 @DAL28.5 ($6.3K)+13.37.5 ($6K)+3.3
11/10 NYR15.7 ($6.3K)--4 ($6K)--
11/6 DAL3.2 ($6.6K)-121 ($6.1K)-3.2
11/4 @ANA6.4 ($6.8K)-8.82 ($6.2K)-2.2
11/3 @LA3.2 ($6.8K)-121 ($6K)-3.2
11/1 @SJ4.8 ($6.8K)-10.41.5 ($6.1K)-2.7
10/30 DET8 ($7.1K)-7.22.5 ($6.9K)-1.7
10/27 BUF46.4 ($6.9K)+31.212.5 ($5.6K)+8.3
10/25 @STL9.6 ($7K)-5.62.5 ($6.2K)-1.7
10/23 ARI16 ($7.1K)--4.5 ($6.6K)--
10/20 CHI6.4 ($7.1K)-8.82 ($6.7K)-2.2
10/18 PHI30.4 ($7K)+15.28 ($6K)+3.8
10/13 @TB6.4 ($7.1K)-8.82 ($5.7K)-2.2
10/11 @FLA26.9 ($7.1K)+11.77 ($6K)+2.8
10/9 COL19.7 ($7.1K)+4.55.5 ($6.5K)+1.3
10/5 CAR6.4 ($7.1K)-8.82 ($6.1K)-2.2
10/4 @DET18.9 ($7K)+3.75 ($6.5K)--