Critical Start/Sit Advice for Teravainen in Week 17

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Teuvo Teravainen is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #32 while his projection rank (rest of week 16) is #9. When compared to other right wings in week 17 instead of Teravainen consider these better options at lower start percentages: Brandon Pirri (6.7 FP) and Reilly Smith (4.8 FP). Elias Lindholm (3.5 FP), Patrick Kane (3.7 FP), Mikael Granlund (4.4 FP), Brendan Gallagher (2.7 FP), and Josh Bailey (2.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Teravainen but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 60% of leagues he is expected to produce 2.7 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #25 right wing of week 17. He is projected to be better than that (the #8 right wing).

Lower Start%T. Teravainen WK 17Higher Start%
B. Pirri (7 FP)4 FPE. Lindholm (4 FP)
R. Smith (5 FP)#25 Right WingP. Kane (4 FP)
 
 
M. Granlund (4 FP)
 
 
B. Gallagher (2.7 FP)
 
 
J. Bailey (2.4 FP)

He is projected for 4.45 fantasy points in week 17 (#8 RW) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
4.45 (#8) 
Points 
0.88 (#11) 
Goals 
 
0.27 (#35)
Assists 
0.62 (#8) 
SOG 
2.72 (#15) 
PIM 
 
0.2 (#64)
Blocks 
 
0.31 (#76)
+/- 
 
0.1 (#29)

  • Jan 22Jan 23
    2 FP @CGY2.4 FP @VAN

    Teuvo Teravainen last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/15 @NYR-2 FP, 3 FD, 1 DK17 TOI, 2 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -2 PIM
    1/13 vs NSH5 FP, 20 FD, 5 DK17 TOI, 2 SOG, 2 PTS, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PIM
    1/11 vs BUF7 FP, 19 FD, 5 DK18 TOI, 2 SOG, 2 PTS, 0 G, 2 A, 3 PIM
    1/10 @TB0 FP, 3 FD, 1 DK19 TOI, 2 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM
    1/8 @NYI0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK19 TOI, 0 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE (1/18): Projected for 4.2 DraftKings pts Teuvo Teravainen is the #7 ranked right wing. He is the #11 highest priced right wing ($5400). Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Teravainen is worth $6.2K. Sam Reinhart is also priced at $5400, and Teravainen is a better option at this price. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Brendan Gallagher (3.5 FP), Mark Stone (4.2 FP), Patric Hornqvist (2.2 FP), and Tom Wilson (3.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.6 FPs, a value reached in 16 of 46 games (35%). The combined 'cover percentage' for right wing priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

    FANDUEL VALUE: There are 2 other options at $5800 (Josh Bailey, T.J. Oshie) and Teravainen is the best option of these 3. Evgenii Dadonov (15.7 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Sam Reinhart (12.1 FP), Jeff Skinner (14.3 FP), Tomas Tatar (10 FP), Gustav Nyquist (11.6 FP), and Brendan Gallagher (12.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Teravainen but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 12.6 FPs, a value reached in 17 of 46 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

    Teravainen is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

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    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Many would be surprised to see Teuvo Teravainen projected as an elite fantasy right wing. As of 1/18, Teuvo Teravainen is the #32 ranked right wing based on ownership percentage (77%). His projection based right wing rank is #20. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better right wing option available. He is projected for 85 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#23) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Teuvo Teravainen behind Reinhart and above Kapanen but the projections rank Teuvo Teravainen over Reinhart.

    Lower Own%T. Teravainen ROSHigher Own%
    B. Pirri (105 FP)85 FPS. Reinhart (71 FP)
     
    #32 Right WingR. Smith (74 FP)
     
     
    M. Granlund (83 FP)
     
     
    B. Gallagher (63 FP)
     
     
    J. Bailey (79 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    85 (#20) 
    Points 
    32 (#14) 
    Goals 
     
    10 (#37)
    Assists22 (#9) 
     
    SOG 
    98 (#20) 
    PIM 
     
    6 (#112)
    Blocks 
     
    12 (#102)
    +/- 
     
    2 (#46)

    His projected shooting percentage is lower than you would like.