Duncan Keith Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations


As of 1/18, Duncan Keith is the #58 ranked defenseman based on ownership percentage (60%). The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of high market expectations. The projections have him 61 spots lower in the rankings. This is not necessarily a player you would start every active week. He is projected for 29 fantasy points in 32 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #100 highest average. The market ranks Duncan Keith behind Niskanen and above Klefbom but the projections rank Klefbom over Duncan Keith.

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Lower Own%D. Keith ROSHigher Own%
S. Vatanen (45 FP)29 FPM. Dumba (5 FP)
M. Stone (31 FP)#58 Defenseman 
J. Morrow (29 FP) 
J. Faulk (40 FP) 
R. Hainsey (41 FP) 
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
29 (#106) 
Points13 (#70) 
1 (#158)
Assists12 (#49) 
SOG60 (#69) 
PIM24 (#42) 
Blocks68 (#47) 
-5 (#208)

He does not score as many goals as you might expect given his shots on goal projection.


If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Duncan Keith is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #58 while his projection (rest of week 16) rank is #157. When compared to other defensemen in week 17 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Justin Faulk (2 FP), Kris Russell (1.2 FP), Brent Seabrook (1.3 FP), Erik Johnson (1.7 FP), and Nick Holden (1.9 FP). Starting in 39% of leagues he is expected to produce 1.4 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #52 defenseman of the week, but he is projected to be the #73 defenseman. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 0.2 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 1.2 which is less than his actual per game average (1.4). In addition to a below average projected FP average, he also is expected to play just once in the week.

Lower Start%D. Keith WK 17Higher Start%
J. Faulk (2 FP)1.2 FPJ. Muzzin (1.2 FP)
K. Russell (1.2 FP)#52 Defenseman 
B. Seabrook (1.3 FP) 
E. Johnson (1.7 FP) 
N. Holden (1.9 FP) 

He is projected for 1.21 fantasy points in week 17 (#73 D) in 1 1 game.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
1.21 (#73) 
Points0.44 (#41) 
0.03 (#113)
Assists0.42 (#23) 
SOG1.89 (#39) 
PIM0.7 (#17) 
Blocks1.9 (#44) 
+/-0.07 (#58) 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Duncan Keith is valued behind Niskanen and above Faulk but the projections rank Faulk over Duncan Keith in week 17.
  • Duncan Keith last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    1/17 @NYR-1 FP, 2 FD, 0 DK24 TOI, 1 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM
    1/14 @NJ-5 FP, 3 FD, 1 DK21 TOI, 0 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -5 PIM
    1/12 vs LV1 FP, 11 FD, 4 DK25 TOI, 5 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 1 PIM
    1/9 vs NSH3 FP, 18 FD, 5 DK26 TOI, 1 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PIM
    1/7 vs CGY2 FP, 15 FD, 4 DK24 TOI, 3 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, -1 PIM

    Keith is not in the 1/18 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline projection model optimal lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings is Alexander Edler.


    • 24 TOI, 0 G, 0 A, 1 SOG, 0 BS
    • FanDuel: $4700, 1.6 FPs (-$3880 value, -7.5 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $4600, 0.5 FPs (-$3798 value, -2.2 FPs)