Elias Pettersson is a Strong DFS Play and Karlsson is One to Fade

Elias Pettersson

Elias Pettersson is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 4.5 DK pts (#2 among centers). At $6100 he is expected to be the #6 center. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Pettersson is worth $6.8K. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Claude Giroux (4.3 FP), Sean Couturier (4.4 FP), Tomas Hertl (4.1 FP), and Evgeny Kuznetsov (4.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.1 FPs, a value reached in 20 of 45 games (44%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

Elias Pettersson is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 17.2 FD pts (#2 among centers). At $6700 he is expected to be the #6 center. Based on the projection, Pettersson is worth $8.1K. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Claude Giroux (16.4 FP), Sean Couturier (16.1 FP), Evgeni Malkin (8.7 FP), and Evgeny Kuznetsov (16.6 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 14.3 FPs, a value reached in 23 of 45 games (51%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

Alec Martinez and Matt Murray are also good values on both FanDuel and DraftKings on 2/11.

Erik Karlsson

Projected for 2.3 DraftKings pts Karlsson is the #18 ranked defenseman. At $5800 he is expected to be the #3 defenseman. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Karlsson is worth $3.2K. Instead of Karlsson consider these better options at lower salaries: Alec Martinez (2.7 FP), Drew Doughty (3.2 FP), Radko Gudas (2.5 FP), Kris Letang (4.4 FP), and Olli Maatta (2.3 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.2 FPs, a value reached in 20 of 47 games (43%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

Karlsson is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 8.3 FD pts (#13 among defensemen). At $7000 he is expected to be the #3 defenseman. Based on 2/11 salaries and projected points per dollar, Karlsson is worth $4.1K. Instead of Karlsson consider these better options at lower salaries: Alec Martinez (9.3 FP), Drew Doughty (11.4 FP), Radko Gudas (8.4 FP), Marc-Edouard Vlasic (8.8 FP), and John Carlson (16.7 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 14.2 FPs, a value reached in 21 of 47 games (45%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

Evgeni Malkin and Jakub Voracek are also bad values on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

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This information was last updated at 2/11/2019 7:28:36 AM. SportsLine has a Daily Fantasy Cheat Sheet and Optimal Lineups based on the latest computer projections. It also features lineups from DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine for more.

TODAY'S GAMES (AVG O/U 6.2) AND PROJECTED FANTASY LEADERS

PITTSBURGH PENGUINS VS PHILADELPHIA FLYERS O/U 6.5 (o-111, u-111)

  • Sidney Crosby (C) 18.6 FD $8.5K, 4.9 DK $7.3K
  • Matt Murray (G) 17.1 FD $8.3K, 4.3 DK $7.5K
  • Claude Giroux (C) 16.4 FD $7.3K, 4.3 DK $6.7K
  • Phil Kessel (W FD, RW DK) 16.3 FD $7.4K, 4.3 DK $5.3K
  • Sean Couturier (C) 16.1 FD $7K, 4.4 DK $7K

SAN JOSE SHARKS VS VANCOUVER CANUCKS O/U 6.5 (o112, u-137)

  • Brent Burns (D) 19 FD $7.8K, 5.3 DK $6.8K
  • Elias Pettersson (C) 17.2 FD $6.7K, 4.5 DK $6.1K
  • Evander Kane (W FD, LW DK) 16.8 FD $7.7K, 4.7 DK $7.1K
  • Joe Pavelski (W FD, RW DK) 15.6 FD $7.3K, 4.3 DK $6.7K
  • Brock Boeser (W FD, RW DK) 15.6 FD $6.8K, 4.2 DK $6K

LOS ANGELES KINGS VS WASHINGTON CAPITALS O/U 5.5 (o-112, u-109)

  • Braden Holtby (G) 21.5 FD $8.4K, 5.4 DK $8.3K
  • Alex Ovechkin (W FD, LW DK) 21.1 FD $8.7K, 5.7 DK $7.4K
  • John Carlson (D) 16.7 FD $6.5K, 4.6 DK $6K
  • Evgeny Kuznetsov (C) 16.6 FD $7.6K, 4.4 DK $6.3K
  • Nicklas Backstrom (C) 14.4 FD $6.1K, 3.8 DK $5.6K