As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE
Elias Pettersson is someone to keep in the lineup and he is a good value this week. He has a market rank of #18 while his projection rank for week 20 is #5. When compared to other centers in week 20, Patrice Bergeron (11 FP), Jack Eichel (10 FP), Sean Monahan (7 FP), Nathan MacKinnon (10 FP), and Tyler Seguin (7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Pettersson but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 82% of leagues he is expected to produce 9.8 fantasy points (WK 20). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #18 center of week 20. He is projected to be better than that (the #5 center). Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing 4 games.
He is projected for 12.61 fantasy points in week 20 (#5 C) in 4 games.
|Projected Stat||Relative Strength||WK Overall||Relative Weakness|
|Fantasy Points|| ||12.61 (#5)|| |
|Points|| || ||1.06 (#15)|
|Goals|| ||0.52 (#8)|| |
|Assists|| || ||0.54 (#30)|
|SOG|| || ||1.92 (#51)|
|PIM|| || ||0.1 (#129)|
|Blocks|| ||0.91 (#13)|| |
|+/-|| || ||-0.32 (#123)|
|Feb 11||Feb 13||Feb 14||Feb 16|
|3.3 FP vs SJ||3.7 FP @ANA||3.1 FP @LA||2.5 FP @SJ|
Elias Pettersson last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.
|2/9 vs CGY||4 FP, 21 FD, 6 DK||21 TOI, 2 SOG, 2 PTS, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PIM|
|2/7 @CHI||5 FP, 22 FD, 6 DK||18 TOI, 5 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PIM|
|2/5 @WAS||3 FP, 17 FD, 4 DK||18 TOI, 3 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PIM|
|2/4 @PHI||0 FP, 2 FD, 0 DK||16 TOI, 1 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM|
|2/2 @COL||2 FP, 10 FD, 2 DK||13 TOI, 1 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PIM|
DAILY FANTASY VALUE
FANDUEL VALUE (2/11): Elias Pettersson is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 17.2 FD pts (#2 among centers). At $6700 he is expected to be the #6 center. Based on the projection, Pettersson is worth $8.1K. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Claude Giroux (16.4 FP), Sean Couturier (16.1 FP), Evgeni Malkin (8.7 FP), and Evgeny Kuznetsov (16.6 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 14.3 FPs, a value reached in 23 of 45 games (51%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.
Pettersson is in the SportsLine FanDuel optimal lineup based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He is not in the DraftKings optimal lineup but Bo Horvat is.
DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Elias Pettersson is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 4.5 DK pts (#2 among centers). At $6100 he is expected to be the #6 center. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Pettersson is worth $6.8K. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Claude Giroux (4.3 FP), Sean Couturier (4.4 FP), Tomas Hertl (4.1 FP), and Evgeny Kuznetsov (4.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.1 FPs, a value reached in 20 of 45 games (44%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.
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REST OF SEASON VALUE
Based on ownership percentage (98%), Elias Pettersson has a market rank of #18 among centers. Elias Pettersson's projection rank is better than their market rank. His fantasy center projection rank is #10. Even if he is highly owned, he is still undervalued and if you act quickly there is a clear buy low opportunity. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better center option available. He is projected for 86 fantasy points in 25 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #8 highest average. The market ranks Elias Pettersson behind Monahan and above O'Reilly and the projections agree.
|Projected Stat||Relative Strength||Overall||Relative Weakness|
|Fantasy Points|| ||86 (#9)|| |
|Points|| ||30 (#9)|| |
|Goals|| ||15 (#4)|| |
|Assists|| ||15 (#17)|| |
|SOG|| || ||51 (#52)|
|PIM|| || ||3 (#134)|
|Blocks|| || ||21 (#20)|
|+/-|| ||5 (#15)|| |
His rank in goals is better than his SOG rank indicating a relatively high shooting %.