Ilya Kovalchuk Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

REST OF SEASON VALUE

His latest projection based rank among left wings is #52. As of 1/18, Ilya Kovalchuk is the #37 ranked left wing based on ownership percentage (55%). The market is higher on Ilya Kovalchuk than the projections are so we consider him to be overvalued. He is projected for 54 fantasy points in 33 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #49 highest average. The market ranks Ilya Kovalchuk behind Marleau and above DeBrusk but the projections rank DeBrusk over Ilya Kovalchuk.

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Lower Own%I. Kovalchuk ROSHigher Own%
A. Duclair (63 FP)54 FPT. Tatar (51 FP)
N. Foligno (65 FP)#37 Left WingN. Ehlers (28 FP)
T. Pearson (57 FP) 
A. Svechnikov (48 FP)
A. Galchenyuk (58 FP) 
 
A. Killorn (60 FP) 
 
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
54 (#50) 
Points22 (#36) 
 
Goals 
8 (#52) 
Assists14 (#23) 
 
SOG 
68 (#50) 
PIM 
 
8 (#112)
Blocks 
 
17 (#62)
+/- 
 
-5 (#124)

His higher assist ranking vs goals ranking makes him a better facilitator.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other left wings in week 17 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Alexander Steen (3.1 FP), Sven Baertschi (2.4 FP), Robby Fabbri (2.1 FP), Richard Panik (2.5 FP), and Ryan Hartman (2 FP). Starting in 23% of leagues he is expected to produce 1.7 fantasy points (WK 17). Week 17 market expectations match his projection. He is expected to be the #40 left wing (projected to be #40).

Lower Start%I. Kovalchuk WK 17Higher Start%
A. Steen (3 FP)1.7 FPP. Marleau (1.5 FP)
S. Baertschi (2.4 FP)#40 Left Wing 
R. Fabbri (2.1 FP) 
 
R. Panik (2.5 FP) 
 
R. Hartman (2 FP) 
 

He is projected for 1.73 fantasy points in week 17 (#40 LW) in 1 1 game.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
1.73 (#40) 
Points0.66 (#25) 
 
Goals 
0.25 (#35) 
Assists0.41 (#18) 
 
SOG 
1.94 (#34) 
PIM 
 
0.2 (#74)
Blocks 
0.5 (#44) 
+/- 
 
-0.03 (#49)

  • Ilya Kovalchuk last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/17 @DAL0 FP, 6 FD, 2 DK15 TOI, 2 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/15 @MIN3 FP, 17 FD, 4 DK18 TOI, 3 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/12 vs PIT2 FP, 10 FD, 2 DK20 TOI, 1 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PIM
    1/10 vs OTT-1 FP, 2 FD, 0 DK19 TOI, 1 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM
    1/7 @SJ1 FP, 10 FD, 2 DK17 TOI, 1 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, -1 PIM

    Kovalchuk is not in the 1/18 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline projection model optimal lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings is Johnny Gaudreau.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 1/17 VS DAL

    • 15 TOI, 0 G, 0 A, 2 SOG, 2 BS
    • FanDuel: $4500, 6.4 FPs (-$1190 value, -2.3 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $4800, 2 FPs (-$1381 value, -0.8 FPs)