It Was a Solid Fantasy Season for Alex Tuch

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Alex Tuch is not a fantasy star but was worth starting most weeks. He is the number #57 ranked wing and the #183 ranked skater overall. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 24 games he averaged 2.6 FPs and that declined to 1.3 in his final 25 games. He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.51 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 1.9 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 11 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His average Fantasy points increased by 46% this season.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points142103-3
FP Average1.91.3-0.5
Regular Season GP75786
PTS0.70.50.0
GOALS0.30.20.0
ASSISTS0.40.30.0
SOG2.42.21.3
BS0.50.51.2

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 5.9 fantasy points per week and had 12 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 10 weeks where he was +20% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL5.9 FP per Week1012
Week 410 (3 games 3.3 per game)+4.1
Week 56 (3 games 2 per game)
Week 610 (4 games 2.5 per game)+4.1
Week 79 (3 games 3 per game)+3.1
Week 814 (4 games 3.5 per game)+8.1
Week 99.5 (3 games 3.2 per game)+3.6
Week 104 (4 games 1 per game)-1.9
Week 119 (3 games 3 per game)+3.1
Week 120 (4 games 0 per game)-5.9
Week 1316 (3 games 5.3 per game)+10.1
Week 1410 (3 games 3.3 per game)+4.1
Week 1511 (3 games 3.7 per game)+5.1
Week 160 (2 games 0 per game)-5.9
Week 175 (2 games 2.5 per game)
Week 18-2 (2 games -1 per game)-7.9
Week 19-1 (3 games -0.3 per game)-6.9
Week 203 (3 games 1 per game)-2.9
Week 210 (3 games 0 per game)-5.9
Week 224 (4 games 1 per game)-1.9
Week 2313 (3 games 4.3 per game)+7.1
Week 244 (2 games 2 per game)-1.9
Week 250.5 (3 games 0.2 per game)-5.4
Week 264 (4 games 1 per game)-1.9
Week 273 (3 games 1 per game)-2.9

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 10.9 FD points and 3 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 6.5 and on FanDuel it was 24.8 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All10.9 ($4.9K)19 G, 35 B3 ($5.6K)19 G, 32 B
4/6 @LA3.2 ($4.1K)-7.71 ($5.2K)-2
4/4 ARI3.2 ($4.1K)-7.71 ($5.2K)-2
4/1 EDM12.8 ($4.3K)--3.5 ($5.2K)--
3/30 @SJ6.4 ($4.3K)-4.52 ($5.8K)-1
3/29 MIN6.4 ($4.3K)-4.52 ($5.7K)-1
3/27 @COL28 ($4.2K)+17.17.5 ($5.2K)+4.5
3/25 @STL8 ($4.2K)-2.92.5 ($4.9K)--
3/23 DET3.2 ($4.4K)-7.71 ($5.3K)-2
3/21 WPG6.4 ($4.4K)-4.52 ($5K)-1
3/18 @SJ1.6 ($4.6K)-9.30.5 ($4.7K)-2.5
3/17 EDM15.2 ($4.6K)+4.34 ($5K)+1
3/15 @DAL4.8 ($4.6K)-6.11.5 ($4.9K)-1.5
3/10 @CGY11.2 ($4K)--3 ($4.6K)--
3/9 @VAN39.2 ($4.1K)+28.310.5 ($4.9K)+7.5
3/6 CGY1.6 ($4.1K)-9.30.5 ($4.8K)-2.5
3/3 VAN0--0--
3/1 @ANA20 ($4.1K)+9.15.5 ($4.9K)+2.5
2/28 FLA1.6 ($4.1K)-9.30.5 ($4.9K)-2.5
2/26 DAL6.4 ($4.1K)-4.52 ($5.1K)-1
2/22 WPG9.6 ($4.2K)--2.5 ($5K)--
2/20 BOS1.6 ($4.2K)-9.30.5 ($5.1K)-2.5
2/18 @COL1.6 ($4.2K)-9.30.5 ($5.4K)-2.5
2/16 NSH25.6 ($4.2K)+14.77 ($5.1K)+4
2/14 TOR1.6 ($4.4K)-9.30.5 ($5.3K)-2.5
2/12 ARI4.8 ($4.5K)-6.11.5 ($5.7K)-1.5
2/9 CLB4.8 ($5.1K)-6.11.5 ($5.6K)-1.5
2/7 @DET1.6 ($5.4K)-9.30.5 ($5.9K)-2.5
2/5 @TB6.4 ($5.7K)-4.52 ($6K)-1
2/2 @FLA0 ($5.9K)-10.90 ($6.1K)-3
2/1 @CAR8 ($5.9K)-2.92.5 ($6.1K)--
1/23 NSH12.8 ($5.9K)--3.5 ($6.1K)--
1/21 MIN15.7 ($5.8K)+4.84 ($6K)+1
1/19 PIT12.8 ($5.7K)--3.5 ($6K)--
1/15 @WPG9.6 ($5.8K)--3 ($6.1K)--
1/12 @CHI31.2 ($5.8K)+20.38.5 ($6.2K)+5.5
1/10 SJ8 ($5.8K)-2.92 ($6.4K)-1
1/8 NYR9.6 ($5.8K)--2.5 ($6.3K)--
1/6 NJ14.4--4--
1/4 @ANA9.6 ($5.8K)--2.5 ($6.3K)--
1/1 LA18.4 ($5.5K)+7.55 ($6.7K)+2
12/30 @ARI9.6--2.5--
12/29 @LA26.4--7--
12/27 COL11.2 ($5K)--3 ($5.9K)--
12/23 LA3.2 ($5.3K)-7.71 ($6K)-2
12/22 MON22.4--6.5--
12/20 NYI1.6 ($5.5K)-9.30.5 ($5.6K)-2.5
12/17 @CLB6.4 ($5.5K)-4.52 ($5.3K)-1
12/16 @NYR24.8--6.5--
12/14 @NJ15.2 ($5.2K)+4.34 ($5.8K)+1
12/12 @NYI3.2 ($5.5K)-7.71 ($5.2K)-2
12/9 DAL16.8 ($5.4K)+5.94.5 ($5.9K)+1.5
12/8 @LA4.8--1.5--
12/6 CHI18.4 ($5.4K)+7.55 ($6.3K)+2
12/4 WAS0 ($5.4K)-10.90 ($6K)-3
12/1 @EDM1.6 ($5.4K)-9.30.5 ($6.3K)-2.5
11/29 @VAN16 ($5.4K)+5.14.5 ($6.1K)+1.5
11/27 @CHI24.8 ($5.3K)+13.96.5 ($5.7K)+3.5
11/24 SJ21.6 ($5K)+10.75.5 ($5.9K)+2.5
11/23 CGY25.3--6.5--
11/21 @ARI11.2 ($5.1K)--3 ($6.1K)--
11/19 @CGY1.6 ($5.1K)-9.30.5 ($5.9K)-2.5
11/18 @EDM8 ($5.1K)-2.92 ($6.3K)-1
11/16 STL4.8 ($4.9K)-6.11.5 ($6.2K)-1.5
11/14 ANA26.9 ($4.9K)+167 ($5.6K)+4
11/11 @BOS12.8 ($4.8K)--3.5 ($5.1K)--
11/10 @MON18.4 ($4.8K)+7.55 ($6.1K)+2
11/8 @OTT21.3 ($4.8K)+10.45.5 ($5.6K)+2.5
11/6 @TOR3.2 ($4.8K)-7.71 ($6.1K)-2
11/3 CAR6.4 ($4.7K)-4.52 ($5.8K)-1
11/1 @STL30.1 ($4.5K)+19.28 ($5.6K)+5
10/30 @NSH4.8 ($4.5K)-6.11.5 ($5.4K)-1.5
10/28 OTT36.8 ($4.4K)+25.910 ($5.3K)+7
10/26 TB16.5--4.5--
10/24 VAN8 ($4.5K)-2.92.5 ($4.9K)--