It Was a Solid Fantasy Season for Jonathan Marchessault

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Jonathan Marchessault had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He is the number #39 ranked wing and the #142 ranked skater overall. Avoiding serious injury and playing 83 games helped him maintain his value. Based on average fantasy points he is the #51 wing. His fantasy production did not rise or fall significantly as the season went on. If you break up his season into 3 equal segments (start, middle, end) his average started at 2.2 FPs, ended at 2.3 FPs, and was 1.3 FPs in between. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.62 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 1.9 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 14 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

His season average dropped measurably from last season. His fantasy average dropped by 34 percent.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points162227128
FP Average1.92.91.7
Regular Season GP837775
PTS0.71.00.7
GOALS0.30.40.4
ASSISTS0.40.60.3
SOG3.43.52.6
BS0.30.30.2

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 6 fantasy points per week and had 12 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 11 weeks where he was +20% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL6 FP per Week1112
Week 17.5 (2 games 3.8 per game)+1.5
Week 212 (4 games 3 per game)+6
Week 315.5 (2 games 7.8 per game)+9.5
Week 41 (3 games 0.3 per game)-5
Week 52 (3 games 0.7 per game)-4
Week 67 (4 games 1.8 per game)
Week 710 (3 games 3.3 per game)+4
Week 87.5 (4 games 1.9 per game)+1.5
Week 9-0.5 (3 games -0.2 per game)-6.5
Week 107 (4 games 1.8 per game)
Week 1110.5 (3 games 3.5 per game)+4.5
Week 123 (4 games 0.8 per game)-3
Week 135.5 (3 games 1.8 per game)
Week 141 (3 games 0.3 per game)-5
Week 151 (3 games 0.3 per game)-5
Week 169.5 (2 games 4.8 per game)+3.5
Week 17-1 (2 games -0.5 per game)-7
Week 18-5 (2 games -2.5 per game)-11
Week 1913 (3 games 4.3 per game)+7
Week 20-1.5 (3 games -0.5 per game)-7.5
Week 214.5 (3 games 1.5 per game)-1.5
Week 2212 (4 games 3 per game)+6
Week 233.5 (3 games 1.2 per game)-2.5
Week 246.5 (2 games 3.2 per game)
Week 2518.5 (3 games 6.2 per game)+12.5
Week 268.5 (4 games 2.1 per game)+2.5
Week 274.5 (3 games 1.5 per game)-1.5

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 13.6 points and on DraftKings it was 3.8 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 7 and on FanDuel it was 26.9 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All13.6 ($7K)21 G, 33 B3.8 ($6.2K)19 G, 40 B
4/6 @LA14.4 ($7.3K)--4 ($5.9K)--
4/4 ARI4.8 ($7.4K)-8.81.5 ($6K)-2.3
4/1 EDM15.2 ($6.9K)--4 ($6.2K)--
3/30 @SJ11.2 ($7.1K)--3 ($6.5K)-0.8
3/29 MIN4.8 ($7.1K)-8.81.5 ($6.5K)-2.3
3/27 @COL17.6 ($7K)+45 ($6K)+1.2
3/25 @STL13.3 ($7K)--3.5 ($5.9K)--
3/23 DET4.8 ($7K)-8.81.5 ($6K)-2.3
3/21 WPG11.2 ($6.9K)--3 ($5.7K)-0.8
3/18 @SJ48.5 ($6.2K)+34.912.5 ($5.5K)+8.7
3/17 EDM28.8 ($6.2K)+15.27.5 ($5.6K)+3.7
3/15 @DAL9.6 ($6.3K)-43 ($5.7K)-0.8
3/10 @CGY3.2 ($6.6K)-10.41 ($5.9K)-2.8
3/9 @VAN11.2 ($6.6K)--3 ($6.2K)-0.8
3/6 CGY0 ($6.6K)-13.60 ($6K)-3.8
3/3 VAN11.2--3--
3/1 @ANA9.6 ($6.4K)-42.5 ($5.7K)-1.3
2/28 FLA25.6 ($6.4K)+127 ($5.7K)+3.2
2/26 DAL4.8 ($6.4K)-8.81.5 ($5.7K)-2.3
2/22 WPG15.2 ($6.4K)--4 ($5.6K)--
2/20 BOS11.2 ($6.3K)--3 ($5.3K)-0.8
2/18 @COL11.2 ($6.2K)--3.5 ($5.6K)--
2/16 NSH6.4 ($6.3K)-7.22 ($5.8K)-1.8
2/14 TOR11.2 ($5.7K)--3 ($6.2K)-0.8
2/12 ARI8 ($6.9K)-5.62.5 ($6.1K)-1.3
2/9 CLB11.2 ($7K)--3 ($6K)-0.8
2/7 @DET30.9 ($6.9K)+17.38 ($6.3K)+4.2
2/5 @TB9.6 ($7.3K)-42.5 ($6.3K)-1.3
2/2 @FLA1.6 ($7.6K)-120.5 ($6.5K)-3.3
2/1 @CAR3.2 ($7.6K)-10.41 ($6.4K)-2.8
1/23 NSH14.4 ($7.6K)--4.5 ($6.5K)--
1/21 MIN19.7 ($7.5K)+6.15.5 ($6.1K)+1.7
1/19 PIT42.4 ($7K)+28.812.5 ($5.6K)+8.7
1/15 @WPG9.6 ($7K)-43 ($5.7K)-0.8
1/12 @CHI11.2 ($7K)--3.5 ($5.8K)--
1/10 SJ9.6 ($7K)-43 ($5.5K)-0.8
1/8 NYR16.8 ($6.8K)+3.24.5 ($5.8K)--
1/6 NJ3.2--1--
1/4 @ANA3.2 ($6.8K)-10.41 ($5.9K)-2.8
1/1 LA12.8 ($6.7K)--4 ($6.4K)--
12/30 @ARI12.8--3.5--
12/29 @LA3.2--1--
12/27 COL8 ($6.7K)-5.62.5 ($5.7K)-1.3
12/23 LA14.4 ($6.8K)--4 ($6.2K)--
12/22 MON16.8--4.5--
12/20 NYI6.4 ($6.8K)-7.22 ($6.4K)-1.8
12/17 @CLB4.8 ($6.8K)-8.81.5 ($6.6K)-2.3
12/16 @NYR13.3--3.5--
12/14 @NJ21.3 ($6.8K)+7.75.5 ($6K)+1.7
12/12 @NYI22.1 ($7K)+8.56 ($6.1K)+2.2
12/9 DAL4.8 ($7K)-8.81.5 ($6.2K)-2.3
12/8 @LA3.2--1--
12/6 CHI26.9 ($7K)+13.37 ($5.6K)+3.2
12/4 WAS4.8 ($7K)-8.81.5 ($5.5K)-2.3
12/1 @EDM4.8 ($7K)-8.81.5 ($6K)-2.3
11/29 @VAN10.1 ($7K)-3.52.5 ($6K)-1.3
11/27 @CHI3.2 ($7.3K)-10.41 ($6.2K)-2.8
11/24 SJ9.6 ($7.3K)-42.5 ($6.1K)-1.3
11/23 CGY6.4--2--
11/21 @ARI3.2 ($7.3K)-10.41 ($6K)-2.8
11/19 @CGY14.9 ($7.1K)--4 ($6.1K)--
11/18 @EDM40.5 ($7.1K)+26.910.5 ($6.4K)+6.7
11/16 STL6.4 ($7.2K)-7.22 ($6.3K)-1.8
11/14 ANA3.2 ($7.2K)-10.41 ($6.2K)-2.8
11/11 @BOS8 ($7.1K)-5.62.5 ($6K)-1.3
11/10 @MON16.8 ($7.1K)+3.24.5 ($6.8K)--
11/8 @OTT20.5 ($7.1K)+6.95.5 ($7.1K)+1.7
11/6 @TOR4.8 ($7.1K)-8.81.5 ($7.1K)-2.3
11/3 CAR3.2 ($7.3K)-10.41 ($7.2K)-2.8
11/1 @STL21.3 ($7.3K)+7.76 ($7.2K)+2.2
10/30 @NSH11.7 ($7.3K)--3 ($7.3K)-0.8
10/28 OTT24.8 ($7.2K)+11.27 ($7.1K)+3.2
10/26 TB1.6--0.5--
10/24 VAN6.4 ($7.3K)-7.22 ($7.1K)-1.8
10/20 ANA34.9 ($7.3K)+21.39.5 ($7K)+5.7
10/16 BUF35.7 ($7.1K)+22.19.5 ($7.1K)+5.7
10/13 @PHI6.4--2--
10/11 @PIT20.8 ($7.3K)+7.25.5 ($6.6K)+1.7
10/10 @WAS3.2 ($7.3K)-10.41 ($7.1K)-2.8
10/8 @BUF28 ($7.3K)+14.47.5 ($6.8K)+3.7
10/6 @MIN16 ($7.3K)--4.5 ($6.6K)--
10/4 PHI18.4 ($7.3K)+4.85 ($7K)+1.2