It Was a Solid Fantasy Season for Matt Duchene

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Matt Duchene is not a fantasy star but was worth starting most weeks. He is the number #28 ranked center and the #115 ranked skater overall. His value would have been slightly higher if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he is the #26 center. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 24 games he averaged 3 FPs and that declined to 1.3 in his final 25 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.44 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Duchene when he 'goes off' is 11 fantasy points (his average is 2.4FPs).

SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

He has improved his fantasy point average for the past two seasons. His three season trend show an increase of 140% in fantasy points per game.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points17713674
FP Average2.41.71
Regular Season GP748277
PTS0.90.70.5
GOALS0.40.30.2
ASSISTS0.50.40.3
SOG2.42.32.1
BS0.50.60.5

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 7.1 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 9 weeks where he was +20% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL7.1 FP per Week911
Week 13 (2 games 1.5 per game)-4.1
Week 22 (3 games 0.7 per game)-5.1
Week 313 (2 games 6.5 per game)+5.9
Week 47 (3 games 2.3 per game)
Week 50 (4 games 0 per game)-7.1
Week 622.5 (4 games 5.6 per game)+15.4
Week 715 (2 games 7.5 per game)+7.9
Week 88 (3 games 2.7 per game)
Week 913 (4 games 3.2 per game)+5.9
Week 101.5 (2 games 0.8 per game)-5.6
Week 126 (2 games 3 per game)
Week 131 (2 games 0.5 per game)-6.1
Week 1412.5 (4 games 3.1 per game)+5.4
Week 1613 (3 games 4.3 per game)+5.9
Week 174 (1 games)-3.1
Week 181 (2 games 0.5 per game)-6.1
Week 1915 (3 games 5 per game)+7.9
Week 208 (3 games 2.7 per game)
Week 2110 (3 games 3.3 per game)+2.9
Week 22-1 (4 games -0.2 per game)-8.1
Week 232 (3 games 0.7 per game)-5.1
Week 247 (4 games 1.8 per game)
Week 250.5 (3 games 0.2 per game)-6.6
Week 2614 (4 games 3.5 per game)+6.9
Week 270 (3 games 0 per game)-7.1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 14.2 points and on DraftKings it was 3.8 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 0 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 7.5 and 29 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All14.2 ($6.5K)22 G, 33 B3.8 ($6.1K)23 G, 33 B
4/6 @OTT1.6 ($6.3K)-12.60.5 ($6.6K)-3.3
4/5 @NYR3.2 ($6.3K)-111 ($6.5K)-2.8
4/2 BOS15.7 ($6.5K)--4 ($6.1K)--
3/31 @BUF1.6 ($6.4K)-12.60.5 ($6.1K)-3.3
3/30 @NSH19.2 ($6.4K)+55 ($6K)+1.2
3/28 MON11.2 ($6.4K)-33 ($6.1K)-0.8
3/26 NYI20.8 ($6.2K)+6.65.5 ($6K)+1.7
3/24 @VAN0 ($6.4K)-14.20 ($6K)-3.8
3/21 @EDM4.8 ($6.5K)-9.41.5 ($5.5K)-2.3
3/19 @CGY3.2 ($6.6K)-111 ($5.4K)-2.8
3/16 @BOS18.4 ($6.6K)+4.25 ($5.6K)+1.2
3/15 CAR3.2 ($6.6K)-111 ($5.7K)-2.8
3/12 BOS16.8 ($6.4K)--4.5 ($5.9K)--
3/11 @NYI9.6 ($6.6K)-4.63 ($5.7K)-0.8
3/9 PIT14.4 ($6.6K)--4 ($6.4K)--
3/7 @PIT3.2 ($6.7K)-111 ($6.7K)-2.8
3/5 @NJ3.2 ($6.7K)-111 ($6.9K)-2.8
3/3 WPG8 ($6.8K)-6.22.5 ($6.6K)-1.3
3/2 EDM4.8--1.5--
2/28 PHI11.2 ($6.9K)-33 ($7.3K)-0.8
2/26 PIT4.8 ($7K)-9.41.5 ($7.2K)-2.3
2/23 SJ22.1+7.95.5 ($6.8K)+1.7
2/22 @OTT4.8 ($7.2K)-9.41.5 ($6.7K)-2.3
2/18 @CHI19.7 ($7.2K)+5.55 ($6.7K)+1.2
2/16 @WPG29 ($7K)+14.87.5 ($6.1K)+3.7
2/14 @DET18.4 ($6.9K)+4.25 ($6.4K)+1.2
2/12 CAR1.6 ($7.1K)-12.60.5 ($6.3K)-3.3
2/9 WPG26.9--7--
2/7 ANA32 ($6.8K)+17.88.5 ($6K)+4.7
2/6 @TOR16.8 ($6.9K)--4.5 ($5.8K)--
2/2 DET6.4 ($7.1K)-7.82 ($6.4K)-1.8
2/1 @PIT20 ($7K)+5.85.5 ($6.4K)+1.7
1/22 ARI12.8 ($7K)--3.5 ($6.5K)--
1/19 @STL8 ($7.1K)-6.22.5 ($6.6K)-1.3
1/18 @CAR11.2 ($7.1K)-33 ($6.6K)-0.8
1/16 COL35.2 ($7K)+219 ($5.9K)+5.2
1/6 CAR20--5.5--
1/5 MIN15.2--4--
1/2 VAN30.1 ($6.5K)+15.98 ($6.4K)+4.2
12/31 @CLB16 ($6.5K)--4.5 ($6.5K)--
12/29 WAS6.4 ($6.5K)-7.82 ($6.2K)-1.8
12/28 @NYI14.1 ($6.5K)--3.5 ($6.5K)--
12/22 WAS1.6 ($6.5K)-12.60.5 ($6.1K)-3.3
12/21 @NJ32.5 ($6.5K)+18.38.5 ($6.8K)+4.7
12/6 MON1.6 ($6.8K)-12.60.5 ($6.3K)-3.3
12/4 @MON9.6 ($6.8K)-4.62.5 ($6.9K)-1.3
12/1 SJ0--0--
11/29 NYR23.2 ($6.6K)+96 ($6.6K)+2.2
11/27 @PHI15.2 ($6.6K)--4 ($6.4K)--
11/26 @NYR11.2 ($6.6K)-33 ($6.6K)-0.8
11/23 @DAL27.2 ($6.6K)+137.5 ($5.8K)+3.7
11/21 @MIN1.6 ($6.6K)-12.60.5 ($6.1K)-3.3
11/19 FLA42.1 ($6.4K)+27.911 ($6.5K)+7.2
11/17 PIT35.2 ($6.3K)+219 ($6.5K)+5.2
11/15 DET21.3 ($6.3K)+7.15.5 ($6.3K)+1.7
11/11 @FLA6.4 ($6K)-7.82 ($5.1K)-1.8
11/10 @TB34.9 ($6K)+20.79 ($5.3K)+5.2
11/8 LV20 ($6K)+5.85.5 ($5.7K)+1.7
11/6 NJ27.2 ($5.7K)+137 ($5.3K)+3.2
11/4 TB4.8 ($6.1K)-9.41.5 ($5.5K)-2.3
11/3 @BUF1.6--0.5--
11/1 BUF11.2 ($6K)-33 ($5.9K)-0.8
10/30 @ARI1.6 ($6K)-12.60.5 ($6.5K)-3.3
10/28 @LV16.8 ($5.8K)--4.5 ($5.3K)--
10/26 @COL27.2 ($5.7K)+137 ($5.5K)+3.2
10/23 BOS6.4 ($5.7K)-7.82 ($5.9K)-1.8
10/20 MON26.9 ($5.6K)+12.77 ($5.7K)+3.2
10/15 DAL22.4 ($5.5K)+8.26 ($4.7K)+2.2
10/13 LA19.7--5--
10/10 PHI8 ($5.6K)-6.22.5 ($5.2K)-1.3
10/8 @BOS1.6 ($5.6K)-12.60.5 ($5.1K)-3.3
10/6 @TOR16 ($5.6K)--4.5 ($4.9K)--
10/4 CHI9.6 ($5.6K)-4.62.5 ($6.2K)-1.3