Kuznetsov FanDuel Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 16.9 FanDuel pts Evgeny Kuznetsov is the #10 ranked center. At $7300 he is expected to be the #6 center. Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Kuznetsov is worth $7.8K. Jack Eichel is also priced at $7300 and is a better option at this price. Instead of Kuznetsov consider these better options at lower salaries: Aleksander Barkov (17.9 FP), Sebastian Aho (20.1 FP), and Elias Pettersson (18.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 15.7 FPs, a value reached in 16 of 40 games (40%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

  • 1/18 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: WAS 3.5 (#3 Most Today) vs NYI 3 (#8 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 16.88 Fantasy Points (#10), 1.27 points (#6), 0.36 goals (#13), 0.91 assists (#2), 2.74 shots on goal (#13), 0.7 PIM (#7 most), 0.3 blocked shots (#52)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Evgeny Kuznetsov is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 4.4 DK pts (#10 among centers). He is the #14 highest priced center ($6100). Based on the projection, Kuznetsov is worth $6.8K. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Matt Duchene (3.8 FP), Dylan Larkin (4.1 FP), Pierre-Luc Dubois (4.2 FP), and Mathew Barzal (3.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4 FPs, a value reached in 19 of 40 games (48%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

Kuznetsov is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows substitutions during the week Evgeny Kuznetsov is someone to keep in the lineup and he is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #15 while his projection rank for the rest of week 16 is #7. When compared to other centers in week 17 Ryan O'Reilly (6.1 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. Sean Monahan (3.9 FP), Connor McDavid (5.5 FP), John Tavares (3.5 FP), Nicklas Backstrom (5.2 FP), and Auston Matthews (3.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Kuznetsov but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 89% of leagues he is expected to produce 4.6 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #8 center of week 17. He is projected to be better than that (the #4 center). His per game projected FP average is 2.9 which is better than his actual per game average (2.5).

Lower Start%E. Kuznetsov WK 17Higher Start%
R. O'Reilly (6 FP)6 FPS. Monahan (4 FP)
 
#8 CenterC. McDavid (6 FP)
 
 
J. Tavares (4 FP)
 
 
N. Backstrom (5 FP)
 
 
A. Matthews (3 FP)

He is projected for 5.78 fantasy points in week 17 (#4 C) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
5.78 (#4) 
Points 
1.08 (#11) 
Goals 
 
0.31 (#24)
Assists0.77 (#3) 
 
SOG 
 
2.64 (#15)
PIM 
0.7 (#5) 
Blocks 
 
0.35 (#81)
+/- 
 
-0.27 (#83)

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Evgeny Kuznetsov is valued behind Backstrom and above Barzal but the projections rank Evgeny Kuznetsov over Backstrom in week 17.
  • Jan 22Jan 23
    3.2 FP vs SJ2.6 FP @TOR

    Evgeny Kuznetsov last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/15 @NSH1 FP, 11 FD, 3 DK15 TOI, 2 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, -2 PIM
    1/14 vs STL-1 FP, 5 FD, 2 DK19 TOI, 3 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM
    1/12 vs CLB3 FP, 22 FD, 6 DK21 TOI, 6 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/10 @BOS2 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK20 TOI, 0 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 2 PIM
    1/8 vs PHI0 FP, 5 FD, 2 DK22 TOI, 3 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM

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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among centers is #11. Based on ownership percentage (99%), Evgeny Kuznetsov has a market rank of #15 among centers. With a lower market rank than projection rank, consider Evgeny Kuznetsov to be undervalued. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Unless someone offers an even better center value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for 116 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#13) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Evgeny Kuznetsov behind Backstrom and above Giroux but the projections rank Evgeny Kuznetsov over Backstrom.

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    116 (#11) 
    Points 
    42 (#9) 
    Goals 
     
    12 (#28)
    Assists30 (#3) 
     
    SOG 
     
    96 (#22)
    PIM 
    27 (#7) 
    Blocks 
     
    12 (#119)
    +/- 
     
    5 (#20)

    His projected shooting percentage is lower than you would like.