Marc-Andre Fleury Struggles Again

SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE

Marc-Andre Fleury has been seriously struggling as of late, and he took the loss last night in Tampa Bay. He allowed three goals on 17 shots while dropping his sixth game in eight starts. He has allowed three or more goals in eight of his last 19 starts. He is now 20-13-4 with a 2.79 GAA and .907 save percentage, but the Golden Knights will need a lot more out of him if they want to go deep in the playoffs. This team isn’t nearly as good at home as it has been in the past, so they need someone to carry the load.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

According to our projection, you can expect Marc-Andre Fleury to be a bench player or a good option off the waiver wire. His 86 projected fantasy points puts him at #19 behind Devan Dubnyk and ahead of MacKenzie Blackwood. He has averaged 5.84 fantasy points in his past 103 games, which is slightly more than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 5.41 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#29) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 88%, he is the #6 most highly owned goalie. Marc-Andre Fleury is expected to come up short of this season-to-date's #10 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (G) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2019
#17 Tristan Jarry (81% OWN)87 FP, 5.8 per game23 FP, 25 gp, 0.9 per game (#146)
#18 Devan Dubnyk (46% OWN)87 FP, 5.1 per game347 FP, 67 gp, 5.18 per game (#33)
#19 Marc-Andre Fleury (88% OWN)86 FP, 5.4 per game373 FP, 61 gp, 6.11 per game (#14)
#20 MacKenzie Blackwood (65% OWN)84 FP, 4.45 per game124 FP, 23 gp, 5.38 per game (#31)
#21 John Gibson (71% OWN)83 FP, 4.38 per game320 FP, 58 gp, 5.53 per game (#30)

MARC-ANDRE FLEURY WEEK 21 AND 22 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Marc-Andre Fleury is projected for 9.21 fantasy points in 2 games the rest of the week which projects to being the #17 ranked goalie. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above John Gibson but behind Matt Murray the rest of the week. Week 22 will be better based on projected rank (#10). He is projected for 12.72 fantasy points.

2/20 TO 2/23 RANK (G)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#15 Carey Price (88% OWN)9.7 FP, 2 GP4.89 FP
#16 Matt Murray (75% OWN)9.6 FP, 2 GP5.3 FP
#17 Marc-Andre Fleury (88% OWN)9.2 FP, 2 GP5.4 FP
#18 John Gibson (71% OWN)9.1 FP, 2 GP4.38 FP
#19 Devan Dubnyk (46% OWN)8.7 FP, 2 GP5.1 FP
2/24 TO 3/1 RANK (G)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#8 David Rittich (87% OWN)13.3 FP, 3 GP4.85 FP
#9 Andrei Vasilevskiy (89% OWN)13.1 FP, 2 GP6.1 FP
#10 Marc-Andre Fleury (88% OWN)12.7 FP, 2 GP5.4 FP
#11 Tuukka Rask (89% OWN)12.7 FP, 2 GP6 FP
#12 Ilya Samsonov (67% OWN)12.5 FP, 2 GP6 FP

Marc-Andre Fleury is a Bad DFS Value on Fanduel at $8.3K and DraftKings at $7.7K on 2/20

He is projected for 13.2 FanDuel points and 11.8 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$2036 short of $8.3K on FanDuel and -$1975 short of $7.7K on DraftKings. There should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (G) 2/20 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#13 Jonathan Quick14.4 FD Points$7300
#14 Antti Raanta14.3 FD Points$8300
#15 Marc-Andre Fleury13.2 FD Points$8300
#16 Carey Price13 FD Points$8200
#17 Braden Holtby0.2 FD Points$8100
DRAFTKINGS (G) 2/20 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#14 Antti Raanta13.2 DK Points$6900
#15 Carey Price12.2 DK Points$7200
#16 Marc-Andre Fleury11.8 DK Points$7700
#17 Braden Holtby0.2 DK Points$7900
#18 Sergei Bobrovsky0.2 DK Points$7500

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

MARC-ANDRE FLEURYFPWINLOSSGASAVESSV%
Rest of '19-20868.56.643.642390.7
-- Per Game (16 Proj)5.50.540.422.7826.990.7
2/17 to 2/23 (2 Games)9.20.931.036.75589.2
2/24 to 3/1 (2 Games)12.71.290.675.15591.4
'19-20 Season2292214116110690.5
-- Per Game (42 GP)5.40.520.332.7626.390.5
'18-20 Seasons6015735268269991.0
-- Per Game (103 GP)5.80.550.342.6026.291.0