Nate Schmidt is a Solid Contributor in Fantasy

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Nate Schmidt is not a fantasy star but was worth starting most weeks. He is the number #43 ranked defender and the #202 ranked skater overall. His value would have been slightly higher if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he is the #31 defender. Schmidt did not show a clear upward or downward trend as the season progressed. He averaged 2.3 FPs in his first 20 games, 2 in the middle of his season and 2.1 in his final 2.1 games. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Schmidt can be considered a consistent fantasy player. Our projected ceiling for Schmidt when he 'goes off' is 15 fantasy points (his average is 2.2FPs).

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

He has improved his fantasy point average for the past two seasons. His three season trend show an increase of 57% in fantasy points per game.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points13414183
FP Average2.21.91.4
Regular Season GP627660
PTS0.50.50.3
GOALS0.10.10.0
ASSISTS0.40.40.2
SOG1.81.41.0
BS1.61.60.6

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 6.4 fantasy points per week and had 10 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 8 weeks where he was +20% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL6.4 FP per Week810
Week 71 (1 games)-5.4
Week 80 (4 games 0 per game)-6.4
Week 96 (3 games 2 per game)
Week 1017 (4 games 4.2 per game)+10.6
Week 112 (3 games 0.7 per game)-4.4
Week 1216 (4 games 4 per game)+9.6
Week 1315 (3 games 5 per game)+8.6
Week 1410 (3 games 3.3 per game)+3.6
Week 158 (3 games 2.7 per game)+1.6
Week 161 (2 games 0.5 per game)-5.4
Week 170 (2 games 0 per game)-6.4
Week 180 (2 games 0 per game)-6.4
Week 1912 (3 games 4 per game)+5.6
Week 202 (3 games 0.7 per game)-4.4
Week 216.5 (3 games 2.2 per game)
Week 2218 (4 games 4.5 per game)+11.6
Week 237 (3 games 2.3 per game)
Week 243.5 (2 games 1.8 per game)-2.9
Week 258 (3 games 2.7 per game)+1.6
Week 260 (4 games 0 per game)-6.4
Week 272 (2 games 1 per game)-4.4

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 10.5 FD points and 3 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On Draftkings it was 4 and on FanDuel it was 17.6 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All10.5 ($4.3K)19 G, 27 B3 ($4.6K)14 G, 24 B
4/4 ARI3.2 ($4.3K)-7.31 ($4.4K)-2
4/1 EDM4.8 ($4.4K)-5.71.5 ($4.6K)-1.5
3/30 @SJ3.2 ($4.6K)-7.31 ($4.7K)-2
3/29 MIN3.2 ($4.6K)-7.31 ($4.7K)-2
3/27 @COL3.2 ($4.5K)-7.31 ($4.7K)-2
3/25 @STL1.6 ($4.5K)-8.90.5 ($4.6K)-2.5
3/23 DET9.6 ($4.5K)--2.5 ($5.4K)--
3/21 WPG3.2 ($4.7K)-7.31 ($5.3K)-2
3/18 @SJ21.3 ($4.7K)+10.85.5 ($5.3K)+2.5
3/17 EDM1.6 ($4.7K)-8.90.5 ($5.7K)-2.5
3/15 @DAL9.6 ($5.1K)--3 ($5.5K)--
3/10 @CGY3.2 ($5.1K)-7.31 ($5.6K)-2
3/9 @VAN18.4 ($5.1K)+7.95 ($5.7K)+2
3/6 CGY12.8 ($5K)+2.34 ($5.5K)+1
3/3 VAN20.8--6--
3/1 @ANA4.8 ($4.7K)-5.71.5 ($5.3K)-1.5
2/28 FLA17.6 ($4.6K)+7.15 ($5.2K)+2
2/26 DAL33.3 ($4.5K)+22.89 ($5K)+6
2/22 WPG4.8 ($4.6K)-5.71.5 ($4.9K)-1.5
2/20 BOS18.4 ($4.3K)+7.95 ($4.9K)+2
2/18 @COL3.2 ($4.3K)-7.31 ($4.8K)-2
2/16 NSH9.6 ($4.3K)--3 ($4.6K)--
2/14 TOR12.8 ($4.4K)+2.34 ($4.6K)+1
2/12 ARI23.2 ($4.3K)+12.76.5 ($4.4K)+3.5
2/9 CLB18.4 ($4.2K)+7.95 ($4.1K)+2
2/7 @DET12.8 ($4.2K)+2.33.5 ($4.4K)--
2/5 @TB6.4 ($4.6K)-4.12 ($4.4K)-1
2/2 @FLA8 ($4.6K)-2.52.5 ($4.5K)--
2/1 @CAR10.1 ($4.6K)--2.5 ($4.4K)--
1/23 NSH3.2 ($4.6K)-7.31 ($4.4K)-2
1/21 MIN6.4 ($4.7K)-4.12 ($5.2K)-1
1/19 PIT13.3 ($4.7K)+2.83.5 ($5.1K)--
1/15 @WPG3.2 ($4.7K)-7.31 ($5.4K)-2
1/12 @CHI11.2 ($4.6K)--3 ($5.5K)--
1/10 SJ6.4 ($4.5K)-4.12 ($5.5K)-1
1/8 NYR14.9 ($4.6K)+4.44 ($5.4K)+1
1/6 NJ4.8--1.5--
1/4 @ANA18.4 ($4.9K)+7.95 ($5.3K)+2
1/1 LA11.7 ($4.9K)--3 ($5.5K)--
12/30 @ARI4.8--1.5--
12/29 @LA22.4--6--
12/27 COL14.4 ($4.3K)+3.94 ($5K)+1
12/23 LA13.3 ($4.1K)+2.83.5 ($5K)--
12/22 MON4.8--1.5--
12/20 NYI39.7 ($3.9K)+29.210.5 ($4.2K)+7.5
12/17 @CLB3.2 ($3.9K)-7.31 ($4.1K)-2
12/16 @NYR6.4--2--
12/14 @NJ12.8 ($3.9K)+2.33.5 ($4.1K)--
12/12 @NYI8 ($3.8K)-2.52.5 ($3.7K)--
12/9 DAL12.8 ($3.8K)+2.33.5 ($4K)--
12/8 @LA1.6--0.5--
12/6 CHI8 ($3.8K)-2.52.5 ($4.1K)--
12/4 WAS40.5 ($3.7K)+3010.5 ($3.2K)+7.5
12/1 @EDM3.2 ($3.5K)-7.31 ($3.3K)-2
11/29 @VAN4.8 ($3.5K)-5.71.5 ($3.4K)-1.5
11/27 @CHI11.2 ($3.5K)--3 ($3.3K)--
11/24 SJ6.4 ($3.5K)-4.12 ($3.3K)-1
11/23 CGY3.2--1--
11/21 @ARI3.2 ($3.5K)-7.31 ($3.3K)-2
11/19 @CGY3.2 ($3.5K)-7.31 ($3.2K)-2
11/18 @EDM3.2 ($3.5K)-7.31 ($3.6K)-2