Nathan MacKinnon Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Nathan MacKinnon is projected to be the #6 rated player of 12 centers who are owned in 100% of leagues. If you sort these 12 players based on their actual fantasy production and then by their current start percentage, he is the #1 rated player. The projections expect his value to decrease. He is projected for 134 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market values Nathan MacKinnon over McDavid but the projections do not.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
134 (#6) 
Points50 (#3) 
 
Goals 
20 (#4) 
Assists30 (#3) 
 
SOG153 (#1) 
 
PIM 
 
19 (#25)
Blocks 
 
14 (#108)
+/- 
 
1 (#54)

His projected shooting percentage is lower than you would like.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Nathan MacKinnon is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #1 while his projection (rest of week 16) rank is #22. When compared to other centers in week 17 he is projected for more points than 4 other centers starting in more leagues: Sean Monahan (3.9 FP), John Tavares (3.5 FP), Auston Matthews (3.4 FP), and Sebastian Aho (5.9 FP). Starting in 92% of leagues he is expected to produce 5.5 fantasy points (WK 17). It should be a very good week 17 as he is projected to be the #1 center.

He is projected for 7.3 fantasy points in week 17 (#1 C) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
7.3 (#1) 
Points1.38 (#2) 
 
Goals 
0.57 (#6) 
Assists0.81 (#2) 
 
SOG4.22 (#1) 
 
PIM 
 
0.5 (#14)
Blocks 
 
0.39 (#76)
+/- 
 
0.03 (#41)

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Nathan MacKinnon is valued behind Rantanen and above McDavid but the projections rank McDavid over Nathan MacKinnon in week 17.
  • Jan 21Jan 23
    3.6 FP vs NSH3.7 FP vs MIN

    Nathan MacKinnon last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 @OTT5 FP, 28 FD, 8 DK23 TOI, 3 SOG, 2 PTS, 1 G, 1 A, -1 PIM
    1/14 @TOR2 FP, 6 FD, 2 DK21 TOI, 4 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 2 PIM
    1/12 @MON-1 FP, 3 FD, 1 DK24 TOI, 1 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -1 PIM
    1/9 @CGY5 FP, 22 FD, 6 DK25 TOI, 6 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 2 PIM
    1/8 @WPG3 FP, 23 FD, 6 DK22 TOI, 4 SOG, 2 PTS, 0 G, 2 A, -1 PIM

    MacKinnon is not in the 1/18 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline FanDuel optimal lineup is Elias Pettersson, and Henrik Borgstrom is in the DraftKings optimal lineup.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 1/16 VS OTT

    • 23 TOI, 1 G, 1 A, 3 SOG, 2 BS
    • FanDuel: $8600, 28.5 FPs (+$4862 value, +10.3 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $8000, 7.5 FPs (+$2896 value, +2 FPs)