Wednesday, June 12, 2019
St. Louis Blues vs Boston Bruins
The Bruins are favored to win based on simulations and the current odds, and home field advantage is a big reason why. The projected score is BOS 2.9 and STL 2.7, and Boston is winning 54% of simulations. At -169 on the moneyline, Vegas gives the Bruins a 63 percent chance of winning. The moneyline has moved from its opening value which indicates people are wagering more money on the Bruins to win. They both have 5 wins head-to-head in recent seasons but the Bruins get the large edge in profit at +-107 to 49 units. The average moneyline for the Bruins was -90 indicating they were slightly favored, on average. In these games the Bruins averaged 3.1 goals per game and the Blues 2.1.
|EXPECTATIONS||ODDS o5||VEGAS||PROJ||ML%||SIM%||PAST H2H|
|St. Louis Blues||+150||2.2||2.7||39%||46%||2.1 (5 Wins)|
|Boston Bruins||-169||2.8||2.9||61%||54%||3.1 (5 Wins)|
VEGAS is the expected score based on the moneylines and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the moneylines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups
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