NHL Futures: Capitals Moving Up

There is a large 8.4% gap between the Lightning and the Capitals. The Washington Capitals at 25.6% trails the Tampa Bay Lightning at 34%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Capitals chances are down from 33.9 percent. There is a 6.22 difference in projected points between the #8 best record and the #9 best record in the West. This is a pretty significant difference even if it does not seem to be at first glance. This is a very top heavy conference with just 4 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

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EAST FUTURESPROJ PTSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN EAST ODDSWIN EAST SIM
Tampa Bay Lightning115.453.3%100.0%9/4 (30.8%)34.0%
Washington Capitals111.162.7%99.9%6/1 (14.3%)25.6%
Boston Bruins115.346.7%100.0%7/2 (22.2%)16.8%
Pittsburgh Penguins108.335.3%99.5%5/1 (16.7%)8.6%
Toronto Maple Leafs96.50.0%62.8%10/1 (9.1%)3.8%
Carolina Hurricanes98.20.7%72.3%20/1 (4.8%)3.5%
Florida Panthers97.20.0%70.0%40/1 (2.4%)3.4%
Philadelphia Flyers97.50.4%68.5%20/1 (4.8%)2.3%
New York Rangers91.20.0%18.1%50/1 (2%)1.1%
New York Islanders98.80.7%77.1%15/1 (6.2%)0.8%
Columbus Blue Jackets93.40.1%29.8%25/1 (3.8%)0.2%
Montreal Canadiens84.80.0%1.0%150/1 (0.7%)--
Buffalo Sabres83.70.0%0.9%250/1 (0.4%)--
New Jersey Devils75.80.0%0.0%----
Ottawa Senators70.20.0%0.0%----
Detroit Red Wings44.60.0%0.0%----

There is a 3% gap between West leaders. The Colorado Avalanche lead with a 21.5 percent chance of winning the West and the St. Louis Blues are at 18.5%. The gap seems to be widening. The Blues chances are down from 27.2 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected points between the teams with the #8 best record and the team with the #9 best record. This is a top heavy conference with just 6 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

WEST FUTURES PROJ PTSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN WEST ODDSWIN WEST SIM
Colorado Avalanche103.334.2%99.7%7/2 (22.2%)21.5%
St. Louis Blues104.654.2%99.8%9/2 (18.2%)18.5%
Vegas Golden Knights95.628.8%90.9%9/2 (18.2%)16.3%
Edmonton Oilers97.643.9%95.1%10/1 (9.1%)15.3%
Nashville Predators93.51.0%77.3%15/1 (6.2%)10.8%
Vancouver Canucks95.122.3%86.9%10/1 (9.1%)7.2%
Dallas Stars99.110.5%97.3%9/2 (18.2%)3.0%
Calgary Flames89.62.5%45.5%20/1 (4.8%)2.5%
Arizona Coyotes89.62.4%45.1%20/1 (4.8%)1.9%
Winnipeg Jets88.70.1%36.9%30/1 (3.2%)1.6%
Chicago Blackhawks85.20.0%11.1%50/1 (2%)1.2%
Minnesota Wild85.40.0%13.4%50/1 (2%)0.3%
San Jose Sharks79.50.0%1.0%150/1 (0.7%)--
Anaheim Ducks77.70.0%0.4%500/1 (0.2%)--
Los Angeles Kings66.80.0%0.0%----

Below are the latest NHL Futures for winning the Stanley Cup. At the top, the Lightning have an 8 percentage point lead over the Capitals. At the bottom of the contenders list, 2.5 percentage points separate the Penguins from the Maple Leafs.

CHAMP CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Tampa Bay Lightning9/218.2%26.5%UP
Washington Capitals12/17.7%19.0%DOWN
Boston Bruins7/112.5%12.0%--
Colorado Avalanche8/111.1%7.4%DOWN
St. Louis Blues10/19.1%6.1%DOWN
Vegas Golden Knights10/19.1%5.1%UP
Edmonton Oilers20/14.8%4.7%--
Pittsburgh Penguins10/19.1%4.5%UP
Nashville Predators30/13.2%3.3%DOWN
Toronto Maple Leafs20/14.8%2.1%DOWN
Carolina Hurricanes40/12.4%1.9%DOWN
Florida Panthers80/11.2%1.9%DOWN
Vancouver Canucks20/14.8%1.6%--
Philadelphia Flyers50/12.0%1.1%DOWN