There is a large 7.8% gap between the Lightning and the Bruins. The Boston Bruins at 22.3% trails the Tampa Bay Lightning at 30.1%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Bruins chances are down from 90.9 percent. The playoff race should be a tight one with only 2.92 points separate the 3 teams projected for the #7, #8 and #9 best West record. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the West with just 5 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.
Visit Sportsline to get the latest game forecasts, picks against the moneyline, puck line, and totals by the computer and top Vegas handicappers. We also have the best player projections for Season Long and Daily Fantasy players.
EAST FUTURES | PROJ PTS | WIN DIV | PLAYOFF | WIN EAST ODDS | WIN EAST SIM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay Lightning | 108.1 | 2.7% | 100.0% | 7/2 (22.2%) | 30.1% |
Boston Bruins | 116.9 | 97.3% | 100.0% | 11/4 (26.7%) | 22.3% |
Washington Capitals | 107.5 | 64.8% | 99.9% | 5/1 (16.7%) | 17.4% |
Philadelphia Flyers | 104.8 | 29.2% | 99.8% | 5/1 (16.7%) | 12.2% |
Pittsburgh Penguins | 101.0 | 5.3% | 93.9% | 8/1 (11.1%) | 4.0% |
New York Rangers | 93.7 | 0.0% | 33.5% | 30/1 (3.2%) | 3.9% |
Carolina Hurricanes | 97.5 | 0.5% | 76.6% | 30/1 (3.2%) | 3.2% |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 95.3 | 0.0% | 65.2% | 10/1 (9.1%) | 3.1% |
Florida Panthers | 94.6 | 0.0% | 53.4% | 40/1 (2.4%) | 2.9% |
New York Islanders | 95.7 | 0.1% | 55.6% | 20/1 (4.8%) | 0.5% |
Columbus Blue Jackets | 92.7 | 0.0% | 22.1% | 40/1 (2.4%) | 0.2% |
Montreal Canadiens | 83.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 500/1 (0.2%) | -- |
Buffalo Sabres | 80.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
New Jersey Devils | 78.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
Ottawa Senators | 70.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
Detroit Red Wings | 44.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
There is a small 0.9% gap between West leaders. The Colorado Avalanche lead with a 21.5 percent chance of winning the West and the St. Louis Blues are at 20.6%. The gap seems to be widening. The Blues chances are down from 64.2 percent. Expect the playoff race to be tight. In simulations, the Wild average the #7 most wins and the Jets average the #9 most so the difference (0.07 points) between making and missing the playoffs is expected to be very small. There are 7 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning the West.
WEST FUTURES | PROJ PTS | WIN DIV | PLAYOFF | WIN WEST ODDS | WIN WEST SIM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colorado Avalanche | 106.8 | 36.2% | 100.0% | 4/1 (20%) | 21.5% |
St. Louis Blues | 107.9 | 63.7% | 100.0% | 4/1 (20%) | 20.6% |
Edmonton Oilers | 96.2 | 16.5% | 94.1% | 10/1 (9.1%) | 13.6% |
Vegas Golden Knights | 99.5 | 73.0% | 99.4% | 11/4 (26.7%) | 13.4% |
Vancouver Canucks | 93.9 | 8.4% | 81.2% | 15/1 (6.2%) | 12.9% |
Nashville Predators | 92.3 | 0.0% | 61.3% | 12/1 (7.7%) | 5.0% |
Minnesota Wild | 91.6 | 0.0% | 51.9% | 30/1 (3.2%) | 4.7% |
Calgary Flames | 91.8 | 2.1% | 58.7% | 15/1 (6.2%) | 3.8% |
Winnipeg Jets | 91.5 | 0.0% | 51.8% | 25/1 (3.8%) | 2.1% |
Dallas Stars | 96.3 | 0.1% | 91.7% | 8/1 (11.1%) | 2.0% |
Arizona Coyotes | 86.9 | 0.0% | 8.9% | 25/1 (3.8%) | 0.3% |
Chicago Blackhawks | 84.2 | 0.0% | 1.3% | 150/1 (0.7%) | -- |
Anaheim Ducks | 77.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
Los Angeles Kings | 75.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
San Jose Sharks | 73.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- |
All playoff teams may think they have a shot at winning the Stanley Cup, but only 11 really do with at least a two percent chance. At the top, the Lightning have a 7 percentage point lead over the Bruins. The separation between the team with the #9 highest chances vs the #11 highest is 2.2 percentage points.
CHAMP CONTENDERS | ODDS | ODDS% | SIM% | TREND |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay Lightning | 7/1 | 12.5% | 22.6% | -- |
Boston Bruins | 6/1 | 14.3% | 15.6% | DOWN |
Washington Capitals | 10/1 | 9.1% | 11.1% | DOWN |
Colorado Avalanche | 10/1 | 9.1% | 8.5% | -- |
St. Louis Blues | 10/1 | 9.1% | 8.4% | -- |
Philadelphia Flyers | 10/1 | 9.1% | 6.8% | -- |
Edmonton Oilers | 20/1 | 4.8% | 4.4% | -- |
Vegas Golden Knights | 6/1 | 14.3% | 4.3% | DOWN |
Vancouver Canucks | 30/1 | 3.2% | 4.2% | DOWN |
New York Rangers | 60/1 | 1.6% | 2.3% | DOWN |
Pittsburgh Penguins | 16/1 | 5.9% | 2.0% | DOWN |
Florida Panthers | 80/1 | 1.2% | 1.7% | DOWN |
Nashville Predators | 25/1 | 3.8% | 1.5% | DOWN |
Carolina Hurricanes | 60/1 | 1.6% | 1.5% | DOWN |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 20/1 | 4.8% | 1.5% | DOWN |
Minnesota Wild | 60/1 | 1.6% | 1.4% | DOWN |