NHL Game Forecasts, Picks and Previews with Projected Scoreboard for Dec 15

Sunday, December 15, 2019

Philadelphia Flyers vs Winnipeg Jets

The simulations have this as an even matchup, while the Vegas odds strongly favor the Jets. The projected score is WPG 3 and PHI 2.8, and Winnipeg is winning 53% of simulations. At -149 on the moneyline, Vegas gives the Jets a 60 percent chance of winning. The moneyline has not moved significantly which indicates that the betting public agrees with the implied betting line probabilities. They both have 2 wins head-to-head in recent seasons. The Jets actually have the significant edge in profit at +-73 to 11 units. In these games the Jets averaged 3 goals per game and the Flyers 2.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o6VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Philadelphia Flyers+1312.82.842%47%2.0 (2 Wins)
Winnipeg Jets-1493.23.058%53%3.0 (2 Wins)

VEGAS is the expected score based on the moneylines and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the moneylines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups

Visit Sportsline to get the latest lines, updated projections, best values, and picks from some of the top Vegas handicappers. We also have the best player projections for Season Long and Daily Fantasy players.

Minnesota Wild vs Chicago Blackhawks

The odds favor the Blackhawks, but the sims are solidly on the Blackhawks. The projected score is CHI 3 and MIN 2.7, with Chicago winning 55% of the time. At -112 on the moneyline, Vegas gives the Blackhawks a 53 percent chance of winning. The current moneylines are holding steady compared to the opening lines which means bettors, so far, feel like these odds are fair. Head-to-head, the Blackhawks are 5-4. They have the large edge in units at +137 to -157 units. The average moneyline for the Blackhawks was +13 indicating they were slight underdogs, on average. In these games the Blackhawks averaged 2.7 goals per game and the Wild 2.3.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o5.5VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Minnesota Wild-1062.72.749%45%2.3 (4 Wins)
Chicago Blackhawks-1122.83.051%55%2.7 (5 Wins)

Los Angeles Kings vs Detroit Red Wings

The odds favor the Kings, but the sims are solidly on the Kings. The projected score is Kings 2.7 and Red Wings 2.4, and Los Angeles is winning 55% of simulations. The moneyline for the Kings is -124 which translates to 55 percent (chance of winning). The moneyline has not moved significantly which indicates that the betting public agrees with the implied betting line probabilities. The Kings have been dominating this matchup recently with a 4-1 record. They have the large edge in units at +149 to -317. The Kings were -121 favorites on average. In these games, the Kings averaged 3.2 and the Red Wings 1.8 goals.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o5.5VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Los Angeles Kings-1242.82.753%55%3.2 (4 Wins)
Detroit Red Wings+1072.72.447%45%1.8 (1 Win)

Vancouver Canucks vs Vegas Golden Knights

The Golden Knights are favored to win based on simulations and the current odds. The projected score is LV 3.2 and VAN 2.6, with Vegas winning 63% of the time. The Golden Knights are -195 favorites to win which has an implied probability of 66 percent. The moneyline has not moved significantly which indicates that the betting public agrees with the implied betting line probabilities. The Golden Knights have been dominating this matchup recently with a 7-1 record and they have the large edge in profit at +320 to -460 units. In these games the Golden Knights averaged 4.4 goals per game and the Canucks 2.2.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o5.5VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Vancouver Canucks+1692.42.636%37%2.2 (1 Win)
Vegas Golden Knights-1953.13.264%63%4.4 (7 Wins)