NHL Game Forecasts, Picks and Previews with Projected Scoreboard for Feb 5

Wednesday, February 05, 2020

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers

The simulations disagree with the Vegas odds who have the Rangers as betting underdogs. They are slight favorites in simulations. The projected score is NYR 3.4 and TOR 3.3, and New York is winning 52% of simulations. At -135 on the moneyline, Vegas gives the Maple Leafs a 57 percent chance of winning. The betting public is not putting more action on one side vs the other (yet) based on the lack of line movement. Head-to-head, the Rangers are 3-2 and they have the large edge in profit at +423 to -203 units. The Maple Leafs were -240 favorites on average. Both teams have averaged 3.4 goals in these games.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o7VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Toronto Maple Leafs-1353.63.355%48%3.4 (2 Wins)
New York Rangers+1173.43.445%52%3.4 (3 Wins)

VEGAS is the expected score based on the moneylines and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the moneylines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups

Visit Sportsline to get the latest lines, updated projections, best values, and picks from some of the top Vegas handicappers. We also have the best player projections for Season Long and Daily Fantasy players.

Boston Bruins vs Chicago Blackhawks

Both the simulations and the betting lines are on the Bruins to win the game despite being on the road. The projected score is Bruins 3.4 and Blackhawks 3, and Boston is winning 57% of simulations. At -158 on the moneyline, Vegas gives the Bruins a 61 percent chance of winning. The current moneylines are holding steady compared to the opening lines which means bettors, so far, feel like these odds are fair. In their last 5 matchups the Bruins are 3-2 but the Bruins get the significant edge in profit at +-44 to 7 units. The Blackhawks were +160 underdogs on average. In these games, the Bruins averaged 4.2 and the Blackhawks 3.2 goals.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o6VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Boston Bruins-1583.23.459%57%4.2 (3 Wins)
Chicago Blackhawks+1382.83.041%43%3.2 (2 Wins)