NHL Money Line Parlay: Computer Picks Penguins at Philadelphia and Capitals at Home vs LA

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Monday, February 11, 2019

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers

The odds favor the Penguins, but the sims are solidly on the Penguins. The projected score is Penguins 3.6 and Flyers 3, with Pittsburgh winning 59% of the latest sims. The moneyline for the Penguins is -120 which translates to 55 percent (chance of winning). The betting public is not putting more action on one side vs the other (yet) based on the lack of line movement. In recent seasons this has been a lopsided matchup with the Penguins going 10-5. They have the large edge in units at +210 to -150. The Penguins were -152 favorites on average. In these games, the Penguins averaged 4.1 and the Flyers 3.1 goals.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o6.5VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Pittsburgh Penguins-1203.33.652%59%4.1 (10 Wins)
Philadelphia Flyers+1003.23.048%41%3.1 (5 Wins)

VEGAS is the expected score based on the moneylines and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the moneylines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups

Visit Sportsline to get the latest lines, updated projections, best values, and picks from some of the top Vegas handicappers. We also have the best player projections for Season Long and Daily Fantasy players.

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Los Angeles Kings vs Washington Capitals

The odds and our simulations heavily favor the Capitals over the Kings. The projected score is WAS 3.6 and LA 2.3, with Washington winning 74% of the time. The moneyline for the Capitals is -210 which translates to 68 percent (chance of winning). Bettors seem to be favoring the Kings since the moneyline is moving in their 'direction'. The Kings have the recent head-to-head edge going 3-1. They have the large edge in units at +194 to -241. The average moneyline for the Capitals was -80 indicating they were slightly favored, on average. In these games, the Kings averaged 3 and the Capitals 2.5 goals.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o5.5VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Los Angeles Kings+1702.42.335%26%3.0 (3 Wins)
Washington Capitals-2103.13.665%74%2.5 (1 Win)

Stream the Los Angeles vs Washington game with SlingTV

San Jose Sharks vs Vancouver Canucks

The odds and our simulations favor the Sharks over the Canucks despite being on the road. The projected score is Sharks 3.5 and Canucks 3, with San Jose winning 58% of the latest sims. The moneyline for the Sharks is -161 which translates to 62 percent (chance of winning). The current moneylines are holding steady compared to the opening lines which means bettors, so far, feel like these odds are fair. In recent seasons this has been a lopsided matchup with the Sharks going 10-1 and they have the large edge in profit at +381 to -875 units. The Sharks were -209 favorites on average. In these games, the Sharks averaged 3.9 and the Canucks 1.5 goals.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o6.5VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
San Jose Sharks-1613.53.560%58%3.9 (10 Wins)
Vancouver Canucks+1403.03.040%42%1.5 (1 Win)

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