SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
They are one of 4 teams with 10/1, 9.1% odds to win the Cup. If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Blues would be a good betting value. Their 8.1% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #5 in the league. They are a good bet to win the West at 4/1, 20%. Their sim chance is 21.3%. They are projected to finish with 110 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 96.5. They are making the playoffs. Their chances of winning the division stand at 70.7%. They were a -240 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 36.4% at 5/1, 16.7%. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the West.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 38.4-31.6. At 41-18-10 they ahead of expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up big (+302 units). They are 33-37 against the puck line for a 61 profit. Their over-under record is 34-34-1. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Anaheim Ducks. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
|3/11 ANA||63%||3-2, -25||2-3|
|3/13 SJ||76%||7-2-2, +198||5-6|
|3/15 OTT||74%||2-1, -4||1-2|
|3/17 PHI||50%||2-0-1, +49||2-1|
|3/19 CAR||48%||2-1, +67||2-1|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.44 which ranks #5 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #3. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #5 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #12 in road games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.43 (#10 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|Situation||Goals||Goal%||Shots on Goal|
|All 70 Games||3.13 (#15)||10.2% (#10)||30.6 (#22)|
|Road||3.03 (#14)||10.2% (#9)||29.6 (#23)|
|Home||3.23 (#13)||10.2% (#12)||31.6 (#21)|
|Last 7 Games||2.86 (#11)||9.7% (#10)||29.4 (#24)|
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
|Situation||Goals Allowed||Save%||Shots Against|
|All||2.69 (#5)||90.9% (#10)||29.6 (#4)|
|Road||3 (#11)||90.6% (#13||31.8 (#11)|
|Home||2.37 (#4)||91.4% (#9)||27.4 (#1)|
|Last 7 Games||2.43 (#8)||91.5% (#14)||28.4 (#5)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jordan Binnington who is projected to be the #6 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Jordan Binnington||89||6||Igor Shesterkin||Tuukka Rask|
|Vladimir Tarasenko||84||8||Mike Hoffman||David Perron|
|David Perron||99||9||Vladimir Tarasenko||Bryan Rust|
|Ryan O'Reilly||97||21||Bo Horvat||Jean-Gabriel Pageau|
|Brayden Schenn||95||25||Mark Scheifele||Brock Nelson|
|Jaden Schwartz||91||18||Kyle Connor||Victor Olofsson|
|Alex Pietrangelo||100||8||Cale Makar||Quinn Hughes|
|Robert Thomas||30||54||Mikael Backlund||Paul Stastny|
|Zach Sanford||20||51||Jesper Bratt||Jonathan Drouin|
|Colton Parayko||75||45||Jacob Trouba||Damon Severson|