SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 30/1, 3.2% (#13). Even with the juice, the Canucks are a good betting value. Their 3.7% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #9 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the West at 15/1, 6.2%. Their sim chance is 11.1%. They are projected to finish with 93 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 88.5. Their playoff chances stand at 77.3% (7.1% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the West.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 35-27-6 they are in line with these expectations. Money line betters would be up big taking them in every game (+153 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (36-32) for a 140 profit. Their over-under record is 37-27 with 4 pushes. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the New York Islanders. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
|3/10 NYI||66%||1-2, -82||2-1|
|3/12 ARI||54%||1-3-2, -412||3-3|
|3/13 COL||44%||3-0-2, +176||3-2|
|3/15 WPG||58%||0-5, -500||1-4|
|3/18 TB||49%||1-2, +30||2-1|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is +0.15 which ranks #12 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #17. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #4 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #24 in road games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.86 (#25 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|Situation||Goals||Goal%||Shots on Goal|
|All 68 Games||3.24 (#9)||10.4% (#8)||31.2 (#17)|
|Road||2.82 (#19)||8.9% (#20)||31.9 (#10)|
|Home||3.65 (#2)||12% (#1)||30.4 (#25)|
|Last 7 Games||2.86 (#11)||8.9% (#18)||32 (#10)|
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
|Situation||Goals Allowed||Save%||Shots Against|
|All||3.09 (#20)||90.6% (#12)||33 (#28)|
|Road||3.5 (#27)||89.5% (#25||33.2 (#23)|
|Home||2.68 (#10)||91.8% (#6)||32.8 (#28)|
|Last 7 Games||3.71 (#29)||88.4% (#27)||32 (#19)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Thatcher Demko who is projected to be the #1 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Thatcher Demko||50||1||--||Ben Bishop|
|Elias Pettersson||99||9||Auston Matthews||Jack Eichel|
|J.T. Miller||98||9||Ryan Nugent-Hopkins||Blake Coleman|
|Brock Boeser||81||14||Mark Stone||Jakub Voracek|
|Bo Horvat||89||20||Ryan Strome||Ryan O'Reilly|
|Tyler Toffoli||80||16||Jakub Voracek||Matthew Tkachuk|
|Quinn Hughes||97||9||Alex Pietrangelo||Keith Yandle|
|Alexander Edler||88||12||Brent Burns||John Klingberg|
|Tanner Pearson||60||33||Alex DeBrincat||Jonathan Marchessault|
|Jake Virtanen||30||45||Nikita Gusev||Zack Kassian|