NHL Outlook: Bet on the Vancouver Canucks to Win the Championship at 30/1, 3.2%...Projected to Finish Ahead of Flames

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 30/1, 3.2% (#13). Even with the juice, the Canucks are a good betting value. Their 3.7% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #9 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the West at 15/1, 6.2%. Their sim chance is 11.1%. They are projected to finish with 93 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 88.5. Their playoff chances stand at 77.3% (7.1% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the West.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NHL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 35-27-6 they are in line with these expectations. Money line betters would be up big taking them in every game (+153 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (36-32) for a 140 profit. Their over-under record is 37-27 with 4 pushes. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the New York Islanders. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/10 NYI66%1-2, -822-1
3/12 ARI54%1-3-2, -4123-3
3/13 COL44%3-0-2, +1763-2
3/15 WPG58%0-5, -5001-4
3/18 TB49%1-2, +302-1

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is +0.15 which ranks #12 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #17. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #4 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #24 in road games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.86 (#25 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationGoalsGoal%Shots on Goal
All 68 Games3.24 (#9)10.4% (#8)31.2 (#17)
Road2.82 (#19)8.9% (#20)31.9 (#10)
Home3.65 (#2)12% (#1)30.4 (#25)
Last 7 Games2.86 (#11)8.9% (#18)32 (#10)

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

SituationGoals AllowedSave%Shots Against
All3.09 (#20)90.6% (#12)33 (#28)
Road3.5 (#27)89.5% (#2533.2 (#23)
Home2.68 (#10)91.8% (#6)32.8 (#28)
Last 7 Games3.71 (#29)88.4% (#27)32 (#19)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Thatcher Demko who is projected to be the #1 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Thatcher Demko501--Ben Bishop
Elias Pettersson999Auston MatthewsJack Eichel
J.T. Miller989Ryan Nugent-HopkinsBlake Coleman
Brock Boeser8114Mark StoneJakub Voracek
Bo Horvat8920Ryan StromeRyan O'Reilly
Tyler Toffoli8016Jakub VoracekMatthew Tkachuk
Quinn Hughes979Alex PietrangeloKeith Yandle
Alexander Edler8812Brent BurnsJohn Klingberg
Tanner Pearson6033Alex DeBrincatJonathan Marchessault
Jake Virtanen3045Nikita GusevZack Kassian