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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 7/1, 12.5% (#2). They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 7.5% chance is #4 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 17.7% of the time and are not a good value at 3/1, 25%. The Golden Knights are averaging 99.8 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 102.5. At -700 the Golden Knights are a good value to make the playoffs with a 91.1% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 1/1, 50%. They win the division in 30.9% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NHL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Oddsmakers expected them to win 46.5 based on their money line game odds. Their 43-32-7 record last season failed to meet expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1070 units. They were not good on puck lines going 32-50 (-1008 loss). They went over 37 times and came in under 41 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the San Jose Sharks. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
|10/2 SJ||55%||5-3-3, -109||8-3|
|10/4 SJ||45%||5-3-3, -109||8-3|
|10/8 BOS||50%||0-1-1, -200||0-2|
|10/10 ARI||57%||2-2, -44||2-2|
|10/12 CGY||54%||2-2, -60||2-2|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be better. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is +0.22 (includes playoff games) which ranks #12 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #16. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #4 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #18 in road games.
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|Situation||Goals||Goal%||Shots on Goal|
|All 89 Games||3.04 (#13)||8.9% (#21)||34.4 (#1)|
|Road||2.84 (#15)||8.7% (#21)||32.7 (#6)|
|Home||3.25 (#11)||9% (#24)||36 (#2)|
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
|Situation||Goals Allowed||Save%||Shots Against|
|All||2.82 (#11)||90.4% (#18)||29.5 (#6)|
|Road||3.27 (#20)||89.3% (#23||30.4 (#6)|
|Home||2.36 (#3)||91.7% (#5)||28.6 (#7)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Marc-Andre Fleury who is projected to be the #5 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Marc-Andre Fleury||85||5||Ben Bishop||Braden Holtby|
|Mark Stone||99||6||Mitch Marner||Alexander Radulov|
|Jonathan Marchessault||93||15||Mike Hoffman||Jeff Skinner|
|Paul Stastny||57||20||Evgeny Kuznetsov||Ryan O'Reilly|
|Reilly Smith||81||23||Evgenii Dadonov||Kyle Palmieri|
|Brandon Pirri||15||23||Jamie Benn||Andreas Athanasiou|
|Max Pacioretty||82||25||Andreas Athanasiou||James van Riemsdyk|
|Alex Tuch||71||31||Nick Shore||Pavel Buchnevich|
|William Karlsson||88||33||David Krejci||Jordan Staal|
|Shea Theodore||83||33||Anthony DeAngelo||Ryan Suter|