NHL Outlook: The Nashville Predators are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Coyotes and Behind the Jets in the West

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 25/1, 3.8% (#12). They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 1.1% chance is #16 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 3.9% of the time and are not a good value at 12/1, 7.7%. They are projected to finish with 91 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their playoff chances stand at 50.2% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 37.4-30.6. At 34-26-8 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (595 units). They are not good on puck lines (23-45) for a -1811 loss. Their over-under record is 36-31-1. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Montreal Canadiens. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/10 MON55%2-0, +1770-2
3/12 TOR44%2-1, +931-2
3/14 CLB52%1-1-1, -1373-0
3/15 MIN50%6-1, +2602-4-1
3/19 COL35%2-4, -2251-5

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.06 which ranks #21 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #17. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #10 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #26 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.43 which ranks them #20 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationGoalsGoal%Shots on Goal
All 68 Games3.06 (#16)9.2% (#19)33.1 (#4)
Road3.24 (#4)10.1% (#11)32.2 (#7)
Home2.89 (#23)8.5% (#26)34 (#5)
Last 7 Games2.29 (#26)7.1% (#27)32.3 (#8)

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

SituationGoals AllowedSave%Shots Against
All3.12 (#22)90% (#22)31.2 (#16)
Road3.15 (#18)90.4% (#1632.7 (#20)
Home3.09 (#22)89.6% (#27)29.7 (#10)
Last 7 Games2.71 (#14)92.2% (#8)34.7 (#30)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Pekka Rinne who is projected to be the #12 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Pekka Rinne7512Andrei VasilevskiyFrederik Andersen
Roman Josi1002John CarlsonAnthony DeAngelo
Filip Forsberg9720Victor OlofssonAnders Lee
Matt Duchene8132Nazem KadriKevin Hayes
Viktor Arvidsson7141Patric HornqvistMikael Granlund
Ryan Ellis9814John KlingbergMorgan Rielly
Mikael Granlund3542Viktor ArvidssonJake DeBrusk
Ryan Johansen5847Anthony CirelliDylan Strome
Nick Bonino2157Dylan LarkinNick Schmaltz
Mattias Ekholm9236Ivan ProvorovJeff Petry