SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Devils are off the betting board and have no odds to win the Stanley Cup. They are projected to finish with 80 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 90.5. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a -110 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 0.5% at 6/1, 14.3%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the East.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 43% based on the money line odds. At 28-28-12 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (283 units). They are not good on puck lines (35-33) for a -496 loss. Their over-under record is 34-34. Based on computer simulations they only have a 38% chance to beat the Penguins in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
|3/10 PIT||38%||4-2, +368||2-2-2|
|3/12 CAR||38%||3-3, +101||2-4|
|3/14 FLA||28%||2-2-1, -50||4-1|
|3/15 TB||28%||1-3-1, -217||3-2|
|3/17 TOR||25%||0-4-1, -500||4-1|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.51 which ranks #27 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #25. They are the #26 ranked team in goal differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #25 ranked team among home teams. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.71 (#5 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|Situation||Goals||Goal%||Shots on Goal|
|All 68 Games||2.69 (#25)||8.7% (#23)||30.8 (#21)|
|Road||2.43 (#25)||7.6% (#27)||31.8 (#11)|
|Home||2.97 (#21)||10% (#15)||29.8 (#27)|
|Last 7 Games||2.86 (#11)||9.5% (#13)||30 (#20)|
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
|Situation||Goals Allowed||Save%||Shots Against|
|All||3.21 (#28)||90.2% (#18)||32.6 (#26)|
|Road||3.31 (#23)||90.4% (#15||34.5 (#29)|
|Home||3.09 (#23)||89.9% (#23)||30.6 (#17)|
|Last 7 Games||2.14 (#4)||93.4% (#4)||32.6 (#24)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by MacKenzie Blackwood who is projected to be the #23 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|MacKenzie Blackwood||71||23||David Rittich||Tristan Jarry|
|Kyle Palmieri||84||25||Blake Wheeler||Ondrej Kase|
|Nikita Gusev||44||44||Jake DeBrusk||Jake Virtanen|
|Nico Hischier||56||45||Roope Hintz||Anthony Cirelli|
|Jesper Bratt||20||50||Anthony Beauvillier||Zach Sanford|
|Damon Severson||51||46||Colton Parayko||Rasmus Ristolainen|
|Pavel Zacha||6||70||Chris Tierney||Alex Kerfoot|
|Travis Zajac||4||79||Anton Blidh||Lucas Wallmark|
|Cory Schneider||12||58||Cam Talbot||Chris Driedger|
|Miles Wood||4||73||Ilya Mikheyev||Sean Kuraly|