NHL Outlook: The Panthers are A Great Team in Puck Line Bets

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 51% based on the money line odds. At 34-26-8 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (331 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (35-34) for a 386 profit. Their over-under record is 38-28 with 2 pushes. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Dallas Stars. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/12 DAL61%1-2, -1182-1
3/14 NJ72%3-1-1, +434-1
3/16 DET71%6-0-1, +2034-3
3/17 WPG60%1-2, -831-0-2
3/19 BUF65%3-3-1, -1683-3-1

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 80/1, 1.2% (#21). Even with the juice, the Panthers are a good betting value. Their 1.6% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #15 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the East at 40/1, 2.4%. Their sim chance is 3.2%. They are projected to finish with 94 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 95.5. Their playoff chances stand at 52.6% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the East.

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.06 which ranks #17 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #15. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #15 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #20 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.14 which ranks them #18 over this stretch, slightly worse than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationGoalsGoal%Shots on Goal
All 69 Games3.3 (#7)10.1% (#12)32.7 (#7)
Road3.18 (#6)10% (#12)31.6 (#12)
Home3.43 (#6)10.2% (#13)33.7 (#7)
Last 7 Games2 (#27)6.1% (#29)32.9 (#6)

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

SituationGoals AllowedSave%Shots Against
All3.25 (#29)89.9% (#25)32.2 (#22)
Road3.21 (#20)90% (#2031.9 (#14)
Home3.29 (#28)89.9% (#22)32.6 (#26)
Last 7 Games2.14 (#4)93% (#5)30.4 (#15)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Sergei Bobrovsky who is projected to be the #9 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Sergei Bobrovsky839Philipp GrubauerCarter Hart
Jonathan Huberdeau1004Alex OvechkinClaude Giroux
Aleksander Barkov9912Patrice BergeronBrayden Point
Mike Hoffman987Teuvo TeravainenVladimir Tarasenko
Evgenii Dadonov9321William NylanderAlexander Radulov
Keith Yandle9810Quinn HughesBrent Burns
Erik Haula2540William KarlssonVincent Trocheck
Aaron Ekblad9420Mark GiordanoAdam Fox
Aleksi Saarela154Phil KesselNino Niederreiter
Frank Vatrano2143Tyler EnnisRichard Panik