REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 51% based on the money line odds. At 34-26-8 they are in line with these expectations. Money line backers would be down quite a bit (331 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (35-34) for a 386 profit. Their over-under record is 38-28 with 2 pushes. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Dallas Stars. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
|3/12 DAL||61%||1-2, -118||2-1|
|3/14 NJ||72%||3-1-1, +43||4-1|
|3/16 DET||71%||6-0-1, +203||4-3|
|3/17 WPG||60%||1-2, -83||1-0-2|
|3/19 BUF||65%||3-3-1, -168||3-3-1|
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NHL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 80/1, 1.2% (#21). Even with the juice, the Panthers are a good betting value. Their 1.6% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #15 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the East at 40/1, 2.4%. Their sim chance is 3.2%. They are projected to finish with 94 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 95.5. Their playoff chances stand at 52.6% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the East.
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.06 which ranks #17 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #15. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #15 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #20 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.14 which ranks them #18 over this stretch, slightly worse than the season overall.
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|Situation||Goals||Goal%||Shots on Goal|
|All 69 Games||3.3 (#7)||10.1% (#12)||32.7 (#7)|
|Road||3.18 (#6)||10% (#12)||31.6 (#12)|
|Home||3.43 (#6)||10.2% (#13)||33.7 (#7)|
|Last 7 Games||2 (#27)||6.1% (#29)||32.9 (#6)|
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
|Situation||Goals Allowed||Save%||Shots Against|
|All||3.25 (#29)||89.9% (#25)||32.2 (#22)|
|Road||3.21 (#20)||90% (#20||31.9 (#14)|
|Home||3.29 (#28)||89.9% (#22)||32.6 (#26)|
|Last 7 Games||2.14 (#4)||93% (#5)||30.4 (#15)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Sergei Bobrovsky who is projected to be the #9 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Sergei Bobrovsky||83||9||Philipp Grubauer||Carter Hart|
|Jonathan Huberdeau||100||4||Alex Ovechkin||Claude Giroux|
|Aleksander Barkov||99||12||Patrice Bergeron||Brayden Point|
|Mike Hoffman||98||7||Teuvo Teravainen||Vladimir Tarasenko|
|Evgenii Dadonov||93||21||William Nylander||Alexander Radulov|
|Keith Yandle||98||10||Quinn Hughes||Brent Burns|
|Erik Haula||25||40||William Karlsson||Vincent Trocheck|
|Aaron Ekblad||94||20||Mark Giordano||Adam Fox|
|Aleksi Saarela||1||54||Phil Kessel||Nino Niederreiter|
|Frank Vatrano||21||43||Tyler Ennis||Richard Panik|