NHL Outlook: The Rangers are A Great Team in Puck Line Bets

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 30.8-37.2. At 36-28-4 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up big (+1143 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (42-26) for a 433 profit. Their over-under record is 34-31 with 3 pushes. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Dallas Stars. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/10 DAL63%1-2, -1051-2
3/11 COL35%2-1, +1462-1
3/14 ARI64%0-1-2, -3001-2
3/16 CGY63%0-3, -3001-1-1
3/18 PIT48%2-3, +664-1

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their championship odds are 60/1, 1.6% (#18 best). Even with the juice, the Rangers are a good betting value. Their 2.2% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #10 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the East at 30/1, 3.2%. Their sim chance is 3.6%. They are projected to finish with 93 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 88.5. Their playoff chances stand at 32.2% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the East.

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is +0.18 which ranks #11 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #17. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #6 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #19 in home games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.57 (#23 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationGoalsGoal%Shots on Goal
All 68 Games3.34 (#5)10.7% (#2)31.1 (#19)
Road3.25 (#3)10.9% (#3)29.9 (#19)
Home3.42 (#7)10.6% (#7)32.2 (#16)
Last 7 Games3.57 (#3)11.5% (#3)31 (#16)

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

SituationGoals AllowedSave%Shots Against
All3.16 (#24)90.7% (#11)34.1 (#30)
Road3.09 (#17)91.3% (#835.4 (#30)
Home3.22 (#27)90.2% (#21)32.9 (#29)
Last 7 Games4.14 (#31)87.4% (#29)32.9 (#26)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Igor Shesterkin who is projected to be the #5 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Igor Shesterkin595Petr MrazekJordan Binnington
Mika Zibanejad1003Connor McDavidEvgeni Malkin
Artemi Panarin1001--Brad Marchand
Ryan Strome8519Nicklas BackstromBo Horvat
Anthony DeAngelo983Roman JosiVictor Hedman
Pavel Buchnevich5623Alexander RadulovBlake Wheeler
Adam Fox8621Aaron EkbladTyson Barrie
Jacob Trouba8244Erik GustafssonColton Parayko
Henrik Lundqvist4045Mikko KoskinenLaurent Brossoit
Brendan Lemieux1555Sonny MilanoJames Neal