SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Sharks are off the betting board and have no odds to win the Stanley Cup. They are projected to finish with 75 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 94.5. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a -200 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Their preseason chances to win the division were 51.3% at 5/1, 16.7%. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the West.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 32.4-36.6. They are coming up short of expectations at 29-35-5. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (978 units). They are not good on puck lines (33-36) for a -466 loss. Their under-over record is 38-28 with 3 pushes. Based on computer simulations they only have a 45% chance to beat the Blackhawks in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
|3/11 CHI||45%||4-1, +145||3-1-1|
|3/13 STL||24%||4-7, -373||5-6|
|3/14 DAL||41%||2-2, -44||1-3|
|3/17 COL||29%||7-4-1, +43||7-4-1|
|3/19 MON||44%||3-0, +257||1-2|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.64 which ranks #29 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #28. They are the #29 ranked team in goal differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #28 ranked team among home teams. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.29 (#12 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|Situation||Goals||Goal%||Shots on Goal|
|All 69 Games||2.54 (#28)||8.6% (#25)||29.4 (#27)|
|Road||2.27 (#30)||7.8% (#25)||29 (#26)|
|Home||2.78 (#25)||9.3% (#20)||29.8 (#28)|
|Last 7 Games||2.71 (#18)||8.9% (#19)||30.4 (#18)|
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
|Situation||Goals Allowed||Save%||Shots Against|
|All||3.17 (#25)||89.5% (#30)||30.3 (#10)|
|Road||3.3 (#21)||89.6% (#23||31.8 (#12)|
|Home||3.06 (#21)||89.5% (#29)||29 (#6)|
|Last 7 Games||2.43 (#8)||91.4% (#15)||28.1 (#3)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Martin Jones who is projected to be the #28 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Martin Jones||52||28||Joonas Korpisalo||John Gibson|
|Evander Kane||95||12||Nick Ritchie||Taylor Hall|
|Logan Couture||82||34||Kevin Hayes||Max Domi|
|Brent Burns||100||11||Keith Yandle||Alexander Edler|
|Timo Meier||81||31||Dominik Kubalik||Alex DeBrincat|
|Aaron Dell||19||35||Ryan Miller||James Reimer|
|Kevin Labanc||34||73||Matt Calvert||Jason Spezza|
|Joe Thornton||10||72||Alex Kerfoot||Filip Chytil|
|Stefan Noesen||0||101||Leo Komarov||Julien Gauthier|
|Alex True||2||103||Troy Brouwer||Boone Jenner|