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Thursday, May 16, 2019
Boston Bruins vs Carolina Hurricanes
The odds favor the Bruins, but the sims are solidly on the Bruins. The projected score is Bruins 2.9 and Hurricanes 2.6, with Boston winning 57% of the latest sims. The Bruins are -120 favorites to win which has an implied probability of 55 percent. The moneyline has moved from its opening value which indicates people are wagering more money on the Bruins to win. The Bruins have been dominating this matchup recently with a 8-1 record and they have the large edge in profit at +519 to -690 units. The average moneyline for the Bruins was -92 indicating they were slightly favored, on average. In these games, the Bruins averaged 4.4 and the Hurricanes 2.6 goals.
|EXPECTATIONS||ODDS o5.5||VEGAS||PROJ||ML%||SIM%||PAST H2H|
|Boston Bruins||-120||2.8||2.9||52%||57%||4.4 (8 Wins)|
|Carolina Hurricanes||+100||2.7||2.6||48%||43%||2.6 (1 Win)|
VEGAS is the expected score based on the moneylines and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the moneylines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups
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