NHL Power Ranking: Boston Bruins Are #2 in Computer Power Projection...Behind the Lightning

1TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING 43-20-6 | Projection: 109.7 Points
Win 66% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They win the championship in 23.7% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 7/1, 12.5%. They are projected to finish with 110 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 108.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 41.4-27.6. At 43-20-6 they are in line with these expectations.

2BOSTON BRUINS 43-14-12 | Projection: 115.8 Points
Win 64% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Even with the juice, the Bruins are a good betting value. Their 14.9% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #2 in the league. Current Odds are 6/1, 14.3%. They are projected to finish with 116 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 100.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the East. After 69 games, their expected win percentage is 59% based on the money line odds. At 43-14-12 they are in line with these expectations.

3WASHINGTON CAPITALS 41-20-7 | Projection: 108.2 Points
Win 61% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are a good bet to win the championship (10.3 percent chance). Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. They are projected to finish with 108 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the East. After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 57% based on the money line odds. At 41-20-7 they are in line with these expectations.

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4COLORADO AVALANCHE 41-19-8 | Projection: 107.5 Points
Win 57% of Neutral Ice Simulations

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Avalanche would be a good betting value. Their 8.3% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #4 in the league. Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. They are projected to finish with 108 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 37.9-31.1. They are ahead of expectations with their 41-19-8 record. Their championship based ranking is much better than their #8 ranking based on our neutral field simulations.

5ST. LOUIS BLUES 41-18-10 | Projection: 109.7 Points
Win 57% of Neutral Ice Simulations

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Blues would be a good betting value. Their 8.1% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #5 in the league. Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. They are projected to finish with 110 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 96.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 38.4-31.6. At 41-18-10 they ahead of expectations. Their championship based ranking is better than their #7 ranking based on our neutral field simulations.

6PHILADELPHIA FLYERS 41-20-7 | Projection: 106 Points
Win 59% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 6.8% chance is #6 in the league. Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. They are projected to finish with 106 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 90.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the East. After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 50% based on the money line odds. They are ahead of expectations with their 41-20-7 record.

7EDMONTON OILERS 37-24-8 | Projection: 97.4 Points
Win 55% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Even with the juice, the Oilers are a good betting value. Their 5.1% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #7 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. They are projected to finish with 97 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 85.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 33.7-36.3. At 37-24-8 they are in line with these expectations. They are much worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #12 in the league.

8VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS 38-24-8 | Projection: 98.3 Points
Win 55% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Their 4.5% chance is #8 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 6/1, 14.3%. They are projected to finish with 98 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 102.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West. After 70 games, their expected win percentage is 58% based on the money line odds. At 38-24-8 they are short of expectations. Their championship based ranking is much better than their #13 ranking based on our neutral field simulations.

9VANCOUVER CANUCKS 35-27-6 | Projection: 93.3 Points
Win 55% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Even with the juice, the Canucks are a good betting value. Their 3.7% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #9 in the league. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. They are projected to finish with 93 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 88.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the West. After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 35-27-6 they are in line with these expectations. Their power ranking is better than their record would indicate.

10NEW YORK RANGERS 36-28-4 | Projection: 92.8 Points
Win 60% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Even with the juice, the Rangers are a good betting value. Their 2.2% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #10 in the league. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. They are projected to finish with 93 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 88.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 30.8-37.2. At 36-28-4 they are in line with these expectations. Their power ranking is much better than their record would indicate. If healthy on a neutral field they have a much better power ranking (#4 in the league).

11TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS 35-25-9 | Projection: 94.9 Points
Win 57% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 2% chance is #11 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. They are projected to finish with 95 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 102.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the East. After 69 games, their expected win percentage is 57% based on the money line odds. At 35-25-9 they are short of expectations. If healthy on a neutral field they have a better power ranking (#9 in the league).

12PITTSBURGH PENGUINS 39-23-6 | Projection: 100.4 Points
Win 54% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 2% chance is #12 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. They are projected to finish with 100 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East. After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 55% based on the money line odds. At 39-23-6 they are in line with these expectations. Their power ranking is worse than their record would indicate. They are worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #14 in the league.

13CAROLINA HURRICANES 37-25-5 | Projection: 96.9 Points
Win 55% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They win the championship in 1.8% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. They are projected to finish with 97 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 95.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 37-30. At 37-25-5 they are in line with these expectations. They are better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral field has them as the #11 team in the league.

14MINNESOTA WILD 35-27-7 | Projection: 91.5 Points
Win 53% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Their simulation based win percentage (1.6%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. They are projected to finish with 92 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 87.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the West. After 69 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 35-27-7 they are in line with these expectations. Their power ranking is better than their record would indicate.

15FLORIDA PANTHERS 34-26-8 | Projection: 94 Points
Win 57% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are much better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral field has them as the #6 team in the league. Even with the juice, the Panthers are a good betting value. Their 1.6% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #15 in the league. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. They are projected to finish with 94 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 95.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the East. After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 51% based on the money line odds. At 34-26-8 they are in line with these expectations.

16NASHVILLE PREDATORS 34-26-8 | Projection: 91 Points
Win 52% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 1.1% chance is #16 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. They are projected to finish with 91 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 37.4-30.6. At 34-26-8 they are in line with these expectations. Their power ranking is better than their record would indicate.

17CALGARY FLAMES 36-27-7 | Projection: 92 Points
Win 50% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 1.1% chance is #17 in the league. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. They are projected to finish with 92 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 96.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 36.6-33.4. At 36-27-7 they are in line with these expectations.

18DALLAS STARS 37-23-8 | Projection: 97.3 Points
Win 45% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.4% chance is #18 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. They are projected to finish with 97 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 35.9-32.1. At 37-23-8 they are in line with these expectations. Expect them to fade in the standings because their record based ranking is much better based on their power ranking. Their championship based ranking is much better than their #23 ranking based on our neutral field simulations.

19WINNIPEG JETS 35-28-6 | Projection: 89.7 Points
Win 48% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Their 0.3% chance is #19 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. They are projected to finish with 90 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 93.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West. After 69 games, their expected win percentage is 48% based on the money line odds. At 35-28-6 they are in line with these expectations.

20ARIZONA COYOTES 33-28-8 | Projection: 88.7 Points
Win 47% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.3% chance is #20 in the league. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. They are projected to finish with 89 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the West. After 69 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 33-28-8 they are in line with these expectations.

21NEW YORK ISLANDERS 35-23-9 | Projection: 95.1 Points
Win 46% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Expect them to fade in the standings because their record based ranking is much better based on their power ranking. They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 0.1% chance is #21 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. They are projected to finish with 95 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 91.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 34.4-32.6. At 35-23-9 they are in line with these expectations.

22COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS 33-22-15 | Projection: 92.6 Points
Win 46% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They win the championship in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. They are projected to finish with 93 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 84.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the East. After 70 games, their expected win percentage is 48% based on the money line odds. At 33-22-15 they are in line with these expectations. Their power ranking is worse than their record would indicate.

23CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS 31-30-8 | Projection: 83.4 Points
Win 42% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They win the championship in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. They are projected to finish with 83 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 31.1-37.9. At 31-30-8 they are short of expectations.

24MONTREAL CANADIENS 31-30-9 | Projection: 84.5 Points
Win 49% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 84 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 35.3-34.7. At 31-30-9 they are short of expectations. If healthy on a neutral field they have a much better power ranking (#18 in the league).

25BUFFALO SABRES 29-31-8 | Projection: 79.3 Points
Win 44% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 79 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 84.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the East. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +350 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 30.8-38.2. At 29-31-8 they are in line with these expectations.

26SAN JOSE SHARKS 29-35-5 | Projection: 75.1 Points
Win 43% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 75 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 94.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the West. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a -200 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 32.4-36.6. They are coming up short of expectations at 29-35-5.

27ANAHEIM DUCKS 28-32-9 | Projection: 76.6 Points
Win 36% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 77 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 82.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the West. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +300 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 69 games, their expected win percentage is 44% based on the money line odds. At 28-32-9 they are in line with these expectations.

28NEW JERSEY DEVILS 28-28-12 | Projection: 79.6 Points
Win 38% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 80 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 90.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the East. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a -110 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 43% based on the money line odds. At 28-28-12 they are in line with these expectations.

29LOS ANGELES KINGS 27-35-6 | Projection: 72.9 Points
Win 36% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 73 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 74.5. In simulations they finish last in the West based on projected wins. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +425 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 68 games, their expected win percentage is 42% based on the money line odds. At 27-35-6 they are in line with these expectations.

30OTTAWA SENATORS 25-32-12 | Projection: 72.5 Points
Win 39% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 72 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 70.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #15 in the East. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +1500 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 27-42. At 25-32-12 they are in line with these expectations.

31DETROIT RED WINGS 17-48-5 | Projection: 44.9 Points
Win 25% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 45 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 76.5. In simulations they finish last in the East based on projected wins. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +650 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 24.7-45.3. They are coming up well short of expectations with their 17-48-5 record.