NHL Power Ranking: Florida Panthers Are #10, Behind the Maple Leafs and Ahead of Predators In Computer Projection

1TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING 37-15-5 | Projection: 113 Points
Win 68% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Even with the juice, the Lightning are a good betting value. Their 23.4% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #1 in the league. Current Odds are 6/1, 14.3%. They are projected to finish with 113 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 108.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East. After 57 games, their expected win percentage is 60% based on the money line odds. At 37-15-5 they are in line with these expectations.

2WASHINGTON CAPITALS 36-15-5 | Projection: 113.6 Points
Win 66% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They win the championship in 20.1% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. They are projected to finish with 114 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 31.9-24.1. At 36-15-5 they are in line with these expectations.

3BOSTON BRUINS 34-11-12 | Projection: 113.9 Points
Win 64% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are a good bet to win the championship (13.1 percent chance). Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. They are projected to finish with 114 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 100.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 34.4-23.6. At 34-11-12 they are in line with these expectations.

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4COLORADO AVALANCHE 33-16-6 | Projection: 106.8 Points
Win 59% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Even with the juice, the Avalanche are a good betting value. Their 10.5% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #4 in the league. Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. They are projected to finish with 107 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the West. After 55 games, their expected win percentage is 54% based on the money line odds. At 33-16-6 they ahead of expectations.

5ST. LOUIS BLUES 32-15-9 | Projection: 104.5 Points
Win 56% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 6.6% chance is #5 in the league. Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. They are projected to finish with 104 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 96.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 30.4-25.6. At 32-15-9 they ahead of expectations. They are worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #7 in the league.

6EDMONTON OILERS 30-20-6 | Projection: 95.9 Points
Win 54% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are a good bet to win the championship (4.8 percent chance). Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. They are projected to finish with 96 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 85.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West. After 56 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 30-20-6 they are in line with these expectations. Their championship based ranking is much better than their #12 ranking based on our neutral field simulations.

7PITTSBURGH PENGUINS 34-15-6 | Projection: 106.5 Points
Win 56% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 4.1% chance is #7 in the league. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. They are projected to finish with 106 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 29.4-25.6. At 34-15-6 they ahead of expectations.

8VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS 28-22-8 | Projection: 92.7 Points
Win 55% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Expect their record to get much better based on their much stronger power ranking. They are much worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #10 in the league. Their 3.7% chance is #8 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. They are projected to finish with 93 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 102.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the West. After 58 games, their expected win percentage is 57% based on the money line odds. At 28-22-8 they are short of expectations.

9TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS 30-19-8 | Projection: 99 Points
Win 59% of Neutral Ice Simulations

If healthy on a neutral field they have a much better power ranking (#4 in the league). Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 3.5% chance is #9 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. They are projected to finish with 99 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 102.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 32.8-24.2. At 30-19-8 they are short of expectations.

10FLORIDA PANTHERS 30-20-6 | Projection: 98.7 Points
Win 58% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.9% chance is #10 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. They are projected to finish with 99 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 95.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 28.8-27.2. At 30-20-6 they are in line with these expectations. If healthy on a neutral field they have a much better power ranking (#6 in the league).

11NASHVILLE PREDATORS 26-22-7 | Projection: 90.5 Points
Win 54% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Expect their record to get much better based on their much stronger power ranking. Their 1.8% chance is #11 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. They are projected to finish with 90 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West. After 55 games, their expected win percentage is 55% based on the money line odds. At 26-22-7 they are short of expectations.

12CAROLINA HURRICANES 32-21-3 | Projection: 97.8 Points
Win 56% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.3% chance is #12 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. They are projected to finish with 98 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 95.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 31.3-24.7. At 32-21-3 they are in line with these expectations. They are better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral field has them as the #9 team in the league.

13VANCOUVER CANUCKS 31-21-5 | Projection: 95.6 Points
Win 49% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 1.2% chance is #13 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. They are projected to finish with 96 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 88.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the West. After 57 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 31-21-5 they are in line with these expectations. Their championship based ranking is much better than their #19 ranking based on our neutral field simulations.

14NEW YORK ISLANDERS 33-16-6 | Projection: 103.8 Points
Win 51% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Expect them to fade in the standings because their record based ranking is much better based on their power ranking. Their championship based ranking is much better than their #16 ranking based on our neutral field simulations. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.7% chance is #14 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. They are projected to finish with 104 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 91.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 28.2-26.8. They are ahead of expectations with their 33-16-6 record.

15PHILADELPHIA FLYERS 31-19-7 | Projection: 97.4 Points
Win 53% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Their 0.7% chance is #15 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. They are projected to finish with 97 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 90.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 28.2-28.8. At 31-19-7 they are in line with these expectations. If healthy on a neutral field they have a better power ranking (#13 in the league).

16CALGARY FLAMES 29-22-6 | Projection: 89.7 Points
Win 49% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Their championship based ranking is better than their #18 ranking based on our neutral field simulations. Their 0.6% chance is #16 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. They are projected to finish with 90 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 96.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 30.4-27.6. At 29-22-6 they are in line with these expectations.

17WINNIPEG JETS 29-24-5 | Projection: 88.9 Points
Win 48% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 0.6% chance is #17 in the league. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. They are projected to finish with 89 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 93.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 27.3-30.7. At 29-24-5 they are in line with these expectations. They are worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #20 in the league.

18ARIZONA COYOTES 28-23-8 | Projection: 89.8 Points
Win 47% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 0.5% chance is #18 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. They are projected to finish with 90 points and live up to their pre-season futures line of 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the West. After 59 games, their expected win percentage is 50% based on the money line odds. At 28-23-8 they are in line with these expectations. They are much worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #22 in the league.

19CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS 25-23-8 | Projection: 87 Points
Win 52% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 0.5% chance is #19 in the league. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. They are projected to finish with 87 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West. After 56 games, their expected win percentage is 45% based on the money line odds. At 25-23-8 they are in line with these expectations. If healthy on a neutral field they have a much better power ranking (#14 in the league).

20DALLAS STARS 32-19-5 | Projection: 96.9 Points
Win 46% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Their power ranking is much worse than their record would indicate. Their championship based ranking is much better than their #23 ranking based on our neutral field simulations. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.4% chance is #20 in the league. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. They are projected to finish with 97 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 29.6-26.4. At 32-19-5 they ahead of expectations.

21COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS 30-17-10 | Projection: 95.4 Points
Win 47% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 0.1% chance is #21 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. They are projected to finish with 95 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 84.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the East. After 57 games, their expected win percentage is 47% based on the money line odds. At 30-17-10 they are in line with these expectations. Expect them to fade in the standings because their record based ranking is much better based on their power ranking.

22MINNESOTA WILD 27-23-6 | Projection: 86.9 Points
Win 44% of Neutral Ice Simulations

Their championship based ranking is better than their #24 ranking based on our neutral field simulations. They win the championship in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. They are projected to finish with 87 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 87.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 26.5-29.5. At 27-23-6 they are in line with these expectations.

23NEW YORK RANGERS 28-23-4 | Projection: 88.8 Points
Win 51% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are much better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral field has them as the #17 team in the league. They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. They are projected to finish with 89 points and live up to their pre-season futures line of 88.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the East. After 55 games, their expected win percentage is 45% based on the money line odds. At 28-23-4 they are in line with these expectations.

24MONTREAL CANADIENS 27-24-7 | Projection: 87.2 Points
Win 52% of Neutral Ice Simulations

If healthy on a neutral field they have a much better power ranking (#15 in the league). While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the championship is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. They are projected to finish with 87 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the East. After 58 games, their expected win percentage is 51% based on the money line odds. At 27-24-7 they are in line with these expectations.

25ANAHEIM DUCKS 23-26-7 | Projection: 78.3 Points
Win 39% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 78 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 82.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the West. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 25-31. At 23-26-7 they are in line with these expectations.

26SAN JOSE SHARKS 24-28-4 | Projection: 77.8 Points
Win 43% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 78 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 94.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the West. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 26.9-29.1. At 24-28-4 they are short of expectations.

27BUFFALO SABRES 25-24-8 | Projection: 79.6 Points
Win 42% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 80 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 84.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 26-31. At 25-24-8 they are short of expectations.

28NEW JERSEY DEVILS 20-25-10 | Projection: 74.8 Points
Win 38% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 75 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 90.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the East. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a -110 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 55 games, their expected win percentage is 43% based on the money line odds. At 20-25-10 they are in line with these expectations.

29LOS ANGELES KINGS 19-33-5 | Projection: 63.2 Points
Win 32% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 63 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 74.5. In simulations they finish last in the West based on projected wins. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +425 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 57 games, their expected win percentage is 42% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 19-33-5.

30OTTAWA SENATORS 18-27-11 | Projection: 68.7 Points
Win 37% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 69 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 70.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #15 in the East. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +1500 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 56 games, their expected win percentage is 39% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 18-27-11.

31DETROIT RED WINGS 14-40-4 | Projection: 46.7 Points
Win 28% of Neutral Ice Simulations

They are projected to finish with 47 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 76.5. In simulations they finish last in the East based on projected wins. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +650 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 58 games, their expected win percentage is 36% based on the money line odds. At 14-40-4 they are coming up well short of expectations.