NHL Power Ranking: Tampa Bay Lightning Clearcut #1 and Vegas Golden Knights Tops West at #3 Overall

1TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING 24.1% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 65% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 110 Pts

Even with the juice, the Lightning are a good betting value. Their 24.1% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #1 in the league. Current Odds are 6/1, 14.3%. The Lightning are averaging 110.5 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 108.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the East. They went 62-16-4 last season. They had a strong puck line record going 41-41 for (+1057 profit).

2TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS 10.7% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 62% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 104 Pts

They are a good bet to win the championship (10.7 percent chance). Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. The Maple Leafs are averaging 103.8 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 102.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East. They went 46-28-8 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 37-45 (-547 loss).

3VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS 7.6% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 59% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 100 Pts

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 7.6% chance is #3 in the league. Current Odds are 7/1, 12.5%. The Golden Knights are averaging 99.9 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 102.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West. They went 43-32-7 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 32-50 (-1008 loss).

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4WASHINGTON CAPITALS 7.5% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 58% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 101 Pts

They are a good bet to win the championship (7.5 percent chance). Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Capitals are averaging 101.1 points per sim which makes them a solid bet to go over 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the East. They went 48-26-8 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 38-44 (-252 loss).

5CALGARY FLAMES 7.5% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 58% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 100 Pts

They are a good bet to win the championship (7.5 percent chance). Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Flames are averaging 100 points per sim which makes them a solid bet to go over 96.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the West. They went 50-25-7 last season. They had a strong puck line record going 43-39 for (+1079 profit).

6SAN JOSE SHARKS 7.2% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 57% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 100 Pts

They are a good bet to win the championship (7.2 percent chance). Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Sharks are averaging 100 points per sim which makes them a solid bet to go over 94.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the West. They went 46-27-9 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 33-49 (-1363 loss).

7COLORADO AVALANCHE 6.5% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 57% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 98 Pts

Their simulation based win percentage (6.5%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. The Avalanche are averaging 98 points per sim which is essentially the same as their futures line of 97.5 points. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West. Their 38-30-14 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 42-40. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-1030) based on a 100 unit risk per game.

8BOSTON BRUINS 6.4% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 59% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 103 Pts

Their simulation based win percentage (6.4%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. The Bruins are averaging 103 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 100.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the East. Their 49-24-9 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 46.4-35.6. They performed solidly on the money line turning a +164 profit (100 units per).

9WINNIPEG JETS 5.3% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 56% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 98 Pts

They win the championship in 5.3% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Jets are averaging 98.2 points per sim which makes them a solid bet to go over 94.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the West. They went 47-30-5 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 33-49 (-1188 loss).

10ST. LOUIS BLUES 4.4% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 55% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 98 Pts

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 4.4% chance is #10 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. The Blues are averaging 97.6 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 96.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the West. They went 45-28-9 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 40-42 (-777 loss).

11PITTSBURGH PENGUINS 3.8% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 55% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 98 Pts

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Penguins would be a good betting value. Their 3.8% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #11 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Penguins are averaging 98.4 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 96.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East. They were expected to win 56% of their games last season so their 44-26-12 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -522 units.

12CAROLINA HURRICANES 2.1% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 53% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 95 Pts

Their 2.1% chance is #12 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Hurricanes are averaging 94.8 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to come under 95.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the East. They were expected to win 54% of their games last season so their 46-29-7 met expectations. Against the money line they turned a +52 profit. They broke even against the money line.

13NASHVILLE PREDATORS 1.7% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 52% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 94 Pts

Their 1.7% chance is #13 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Predators are averaging 94.5 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the West. They went 47-29-6 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 31-51 (-1619 loss).

14DALLAS STARS 1.1% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 50% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 93 Pts

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 1.1% chance is #14 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. The Stars are averaging 93.4 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 97.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the West. They were expected to win 50% of their games last season so their 43-32-7 met expectations. Against the money line they turned a +48 profit. They broke even against the money line.

15MONTREAL CANADIENS 1.1% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 52% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 92 Pts

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.1% chance is #15 in the league. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. The Canadiens are averaging 92.4 points per sim which makes them a solid bet to go over 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the East. They went 44-30-8 last season. They had a strong puck line record going 48-34 for (+931 profit).

16FLORIDA PANTHERS 0.9% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 52% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 92 Pts

Their 0.9% chance is #16 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Panthers are averaging 91.6 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 95.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the East. They went 36-32-14 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 45-37 (-450 loss).

17COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS 0.7% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 51% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 88 Pts

Their 0.7% chance is #17 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Blue Jackets are averaging 88.3 points per sim which makes them a solid bet to go over 83.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the East. They went 47-31-4 last season. They had a strong puck line record going 44-38 for (+607 profit).

18NEW YORK ISLANDERS 0.4% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 49% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 90 Pts

Their 0.4% chance is #18 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Islanders are averaging 90 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to come under 91.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the East. They went 48-27-7 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 42-40 (-686 loss).

19CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS 0.3% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 48% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 89 Pts

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.3% chance is #19 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Blackhawks are averaging 88.9 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to come under 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West. They were expected to win 45% of their games last season so their 36-34-12 met expectations. Money Line bettors lost -250 on them.

20PHILADELPHIA FLYERS 0.2% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 47% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 86 Pts

Their 0.2% chance is #20 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Flyers are averaging 86.1 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the East. They were expected to win 48% of their games last season so their 37-37-8 met expectations. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-884) based on a 100 unit risk per game.

21VANCOUVER CANUCKS 0.1% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 46% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 83 Pts

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.1% chance is #21 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Canucks are averaging 83.4 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 88.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the West. They were expected to win 41% of their games last season so their 35-36-11 met expectations. Against the money line they turned a +65 profit. They broke even against the money line.

22ARIZONA COYOTES 0.1% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 44% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 84 Pts

Their 0.1% chance is #22 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Coyotes are averaging 84.1 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 89.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the West. They were expected to win 45% of their games last season so their 39-35-8 met expectations. They were very good against the money line (+364).

23MINNESOTA WILD 0.1% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 44% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 81 Pts

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the championship is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. The Wild are averaging 80.9 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 87.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the West. They went 37-36-9 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 35-47 (-2391 loss).

24EDMONTON OILERS 0.1% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 44% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 82 Pts

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the championship is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. The Oilers are averaging 81.9 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 85.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West. Their 35-38-9 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 39-43. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1167 units.

25NEW JERSEY DEVILS 0% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 41% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 84 Pts

They win the championship in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Devils are averaging 83.9 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 90.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the East. They went 31-41-10 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 44-38 (-335 loss).

26NEW YORK RANGERS 0% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 43% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 84 Pts

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the championship is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Rangers are averaging 84.3 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 88.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the East. They were expected to win 42% of their games last season so their 32-36-14 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -600 units.

27DETROIT RED WINGS 0% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 43% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 78 Pts

They win the championship in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 200/1, 0.5%. The Red Wings are averaging 78.5 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 76.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #15 in the East. They went 32-40-10 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 49-33 (-389 loss).

28BUFFALO SABRES 0% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 40% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 79 Pts

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. The Sabres are averaging 79.4 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 83.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the East. They went 33-39-10 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 44-38 (-683 loss).

29ANAHEIM DUCKS 0% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 38% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 76 Pts

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 200/1, 0.5%. The Ducks are averaging 76 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 81.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the West. They went 35-37-10 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 41-41 (-1729 loss).

30OTTAWA SENATORS 0% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 41% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 73 Pts

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 500/1, 0.2%. The Senators are averaging 72.9 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 70.5. In simulations they finish last in the East based on projected wins. They were expected to win 37% of their games last season so their 29-47-6 met expectations. Money Line bettors lost -633 on them.

31LOS ANGELES KINGS 0% Chance of Winning Stanley Cup
Win 34% of Neutral Ice Sims and Projected for 67 Pts

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 200/1, 0.5%. The Kings are averaging 66.8 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 74.5. In simulations they finish last in the West based on projected wins. They went 31-42-9 last season. They were not good on puck lines going 42-40 (-1623 loss).