NHL Recap from Thursday, November 07, 2019: A Solid Night for Underdogs

SUMMARY: 3 Major Upsets, 3 Slight Upsets, One Easy Expected Win

Thursday, November 07, 2019, was notable for the upset wins. The Colorado Avalanche beat the Nashville Predators 9-4 despite being +121 underdogs. The computer simulation did not pick the Avalanche to win but it did have them as being the better betting value. The Vancouver Canucks versus the Chicago Blackhawks was also an upset. Chicago won the game 5-2 and Vegas odds gave them a 44% chance of winning. There were multiple favorites, or even money teams, that won games by large margins. The Calgary Flames were -154 on the moneyline and ended up beating the New Jersey Devils by 3 goals.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Rangers vs HurricanesCAR 3.7, NYR 2.8CAR 3.6, NYR 2.6NYR 4, CAR 2 Major Upset
Capitals vs PanthersFLA 3.3, WAS 3.2FLA 3.4, WAS 3.3WAS 5, FLA 4 Slight Upset
Penguins vs IslandersPIT 3.0, NYI 3.0PIT 3.1, NYI 2.9PIT 4, NYI 3 Expected Win
Canadiens vs FlyersPHI 3.3, MON 3.2MON 3.0, PHI 2.9PHI 3, MON 2 Expected Win
Golden Knights vs Maple LeafsTOR 3.4, LV 3.1TOR 3.7, LV 3.1TOR 2, LV 1 Expected Win
Kings vs SenatorsLA 3.3, OTT 3.2OTT 2.9, LA 2.5OTT 3, LA 2 Slight Upset
Canucks vs BlackhawksVAN 3.1, CHI 2.9CHI 3.0, VAN 2.9CHI 5, VAN 2 Major Upset
Blue Jackets vs CoyotesARI 2.9, CLB 2.6ARI 2.8, CLB 2.5CLB 3, ARI 2 Slight Upset
Devils vs FlamesCGY 3.4, NJ 3.1CGY 3.9, NJ 2.4CGY 5, NJ 2 Easy Expected win
Predators vs AvalancheNSH 3.1, COL 2.9NSH 3.2, COL 2.9COL 9, NSH 4 Major Upset
Wild vs SharksSJ 2.9, MIN 2.6SJ 3.5, MIN 2.2SJ 6, MIN 5 Expected Win