NHL Stanley Cup and Conference Futures: Jets In Top 5

There is a large 91% gap between East leaders. The Tampa Bay Lightning lead with a 43.2 percent chance of winning the East and the Pittsburgh Penguins are at 22.7%. The gap seems to be lessening. The Lightning chances are down from 50.4 percent. A difference of 20.15 points may not sound like much but that much of a difference between the #8 best record and the #9 best record in the West is considerable. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the West with just 4 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

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EAST FUTURESPROJ PTSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN EAST ODDSWIN EAST SIM
Tampa Bay Lightning124.294.6%100.0%5/2 (28.6%)43.2%
Pittsburgh Penguins107.940.0%99.8%5/1 (16.7%)22.7%
Toronto Maple Leafs110.95.4%100.0%7/2 (22.2%)14.7%
Washington Capitals109.656.2%100.0%6/1 (14.3%)14.1%
Boston Bruins101.00.1%98.3%6/1 (14.3%)3.0%
Columbus Blue Jackets97.42.7%93.3%10/1 (9.1%)1.5%
Florida Panthers86.50.0%33.9%40/1 (2.4%)0.4%
New York Islanders95.21.1%86.9%25/1 (3.8%)0.4%
Ottawa Senators75.10.0%0.8%250/1 (0.4%)--
New Jersey Devils81.90.0%10.7%100/1 (1%)--
Buffalo Sabres87.60.0%40.0%20/1 (4.8%)--
Philadelphia Flyers75.60.0%1.1%150/1 (0.7%)--
Montreal Canadiens85.10.0%22.4%25/1 (3.8%)--
Carolina Hurricanes82.40.0%12.0%40/1 (2.4%)--
New York Rangers73.90.0%0.7%100/1 (1%)--
Detroit Red Wings71.30.0%0.2%250/1 (0.4%)--

The percentage difference at the top of the West is small at 19%. The San Jose Sharks at 21.2% trails the Winnipeg Jets at 25.2%. The difference between these teams seems to be shrinking. The Jets chances are down from 37.6 percent. A difference of 4.28 points may not sound like much but that much of a difference between the #8 best record and the #9 best record in the West is considerable. There is not a lot of parity and power is concentrated at the top of the West with just 6 teams having at least a 4% chance of winning it.

WEST FUTURES PROJ PTSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN WEST ODDSWIN WEST SIM
Winnipeg Jets107.771.5%96.4%7/2 (22.2%)25.2%
San Jose Sharks104.533.8%91.5%5/1 (16.7%)21.2%
Calgary Flames106.954.4%94.2%5/1 (16.7%)18.7%
Nashville Predators102.625.4%90.3%7/2 (22.2%)13.2%
Las Vegas Golden Knights100.411.7%87.7%3/1 (25%)12.6%
Minnesota Wild92.71.4%79.4%30/1 (3.2%)4.9%
Colorado Avalanche92.31.2%77.7%20/1 (4.8%)2.8%
Dallas Stars89.80.4%69.5%15/1 (6.2%)0.8%
Edmonton Oilers85.50.0%44.9%50/1 (2%)0.2%
Vancouver Canucks83.70.0%34.1%40/1 (2.4%)0.2%
St. Louis Blues80.20.0%16.2%150/1 (0.7%)--
Anaheim Ducks79.90.0%13.9%40/1 (2.4%)--
Arizona Coyotes74.00.0%2.5%150/1 (0.7%)--
Chicago Blackhawks73.10.0%1.5%150/1 (0.7%)--
Los Angeles Kings68.40.0%0.1%150/1 (0.7%)--

Below are the latest NHL Futures for winning the Stanley Cup. At the top, the Lightning have an significant 18 percentage point lead over the Penguins. The separation between the team with the #7 highest chances vs the #9 highest is 2.4 percentage points.

CHAMP CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Tampa Bay Lightning5/116.7%31.8%--
Pittsburgh Penguins10/19.1%14.3%UP
Winnipeg Jets8/111.1%11.1%DOWN
Toronto Maple Leafs7/112.5%8.5%DOWN
Washington Capitals12/17.7%8.0%DOWN
San Jose Sharks10/19.1%7.6%UP
Calgary Flames10/19.1%6.4%UP
Nashville Predators8/111.1%4.3%DOWN
Las Vegas Golden Knights7/112.5%4.0%DOWN
Minnesota Wild60/11.6%1.3%DOWN
Boston Bruins12/17.7%1.3%DOWN