NHL Stanley Cup and Conference Futures: Predators Moving Up

There is a 26% gap between the Lightning and the Capitals. The Washington Capitals at 24.7% trails the Tampa Bay Lightning at 31%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Capitals chances are down from 31.2 percent. The playoff race should be a tight one with only 1.46 points separate the 3 teams projected for the #8, #8 and #9 best West record. This is a top heavy conference with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

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Tampa Bay Lightning113.770.7%99.9%7/2 (22.2%)31.0%
Washington Capitals107.861.0%99.1%7/1 (12.5%)24.7%
Pittsburgh Penguins103.028.6%96.4%4/1 (20%)15.0%
Boston Bruins103.212.4%96.7%5/1 (16.7%)11.8%
Toronto Maple Leafs104.816.7%97.5%4/1 (20%)11.2%
Columbus Blue Jackets93.13.7%70.7%15/1 (6.2%)2.6%
New York Islanders94.45.2%76.5%20/1 (4.8%)2.4%
Florida Panthers88.10.2%45.1%50/1 (2%)0.7%
Philadelphia Flyers86.70.7%37.8%30/1 (3.2%)0.3%
New Jersey Devils84.80.4%29.3%20/1 (4.8%)0.2%
New York Rangers83.40.3%22.7%100/1 (1%)0.1%
Ottawa Senators79.20.0%10.3%250/1 (0.4%)--
Carolina Hurricanes75.40.0%3.8%20/1 (4.8%)--
Montreal Canadiens80.70.0%13.0%30/1 (3.2%)--
Buffalo Sabres69.90.0%0.6%30/1 (3.2%)--
Detroit Red Wings70.70.0%0.8%250/1 (0.4%)--

There is a 35% gap between West leaders. The Nashville Predators lead with a 32 percent chance of winning the West and the Winnipeg Jets are at 23.8%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Jets chances are down from 29.8 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a small difference in projected points between the teams with the #7 best record and the team with the #9 best record. This is a top heavy conference with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.

Nashville Predators113.273.9%97.8%4/1 (20%)32.0%
Winnipeg Jets104.418.1%91.6%5/1 (16.7%)23.8%
Minnesota Wild99.06.0%84.4%10/1 (9.1%)11.8%
Las Vegas Golden Knights96.328.8%77.5%7/1 (12.5%)10.8%
San Jose Sharks99.750.4%88.9%4/1 (20%)10.2%
Dallas Stars91.40.8%60.8%15/1 (6.2%)3.3%
Calgary Flames91.110.2%60.1%10/1 (9.1%)2.5%
Colorado Avalanche90.00.6%54.3%15/1 (6.2%)2.1%
St. Louis Blues88.90.5%49.2%25/1 (3.8%)1.4%
Edmonton Oilers89.17.1%50.5%10/1 (9.1%)1.1%
Anaheim Ducks84.62.2%28.9%30/1 (3.2%)0.4%
Chicago Blackhawks84.00.0%25.8%50/1 (2%)0.4%
Los Angeles Kings80.40.7%13.9%50/1 (2%)0.2%
Arizona Coyotes77.20.2%7.0%30/1 (3.2%)--
Vancouver Canucks78.60.3%9.3%40/1 (2.4%)--

There may be 16 playoff teams but there are only 10 true Stanley Cup contenders (at least a 2% chance). At the top, the Lightning have a 1 percentage point lead over the Predators. Teams are bunched together at the bottom of the contenders list with just 0.8 percentage points separating the #8 ranked team from the #10 ranked team.

Tampa Bay Lightning7/112.5%19%.0--
Nashville Predators8/111.1%17.5%UP
Washington Capitals14/16.7%14.3%DOWN
Winnipeg Jets10/19.1%12%.0DOWN
Pittsburgh Penguins8/111.1%7.7%DOWN
Toronto Maple Leafs8/111.1%5.5%DOWN
Boston Bruins10/19.1%5.5%DOWN
Minnesota Wild20/14.8%4.7%--
Las Vegas Golden Knights14/16.7%4.6%DOWN
San Jose Sharks8/111.1%3.9%DOWN
Dallas Stars30/13.2%1.1%UP
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