Owners Expect Nordstrom to Be the #140 Left Wing, Scouting Report Confirms His Value

REST OF SEASON VALUE

As of 3/25, Joakim Nordstrom is the #140 ranked left wing based on ownership percentage (under 1%) and season fantasy rankings. Our projections indicate that Joakim Nordstrom is underrated by the market. His fantasy left wing projection rank is #129. While there is value and likely a clear opportunity to acquire him via trade or waiver wire pick up it is probably not worth the roster spot at this time. Even though he is undervalued, he is not projected for more fantasy points than other left wings with a better market ranking. He is projected for 3 fantasy points in 7 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#141) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Joakim Nordstrom behind Brodzinski and above Jaskin but the projections rank Joakim Nordstrom over Brodzinski.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
3 (#129) 
Points 
1 (#124) 
Goals1 (#64) 
 
Assists 
 
0 (#152)
SOG12 (#56) 
 
PIM1 (#115) 
 
Blocks5 (#9) 
 
+/-0 (#57) 
 

He does not score as many goals as you might expect given his shots on goal projection.

TBD

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

DRAFTKINGS VALUE (3/25): Projected for 1.5 DraftKings pts Nordstrom is the #63 ranked left wing. At $2500 he is expected to be the #60 left wing. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Nordstrom is worth $2.2K. There are many other options (25) at $2500 and Nordstrom is ranked #11 among the 26. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Tyler Ennis (1.1 FP) and Zach Aston-Reese (1.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 1.7 FPs, a value reached in 21 of 63 games (33%). The combined 'cover percentage' for left wing priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 5.1 FanDuel pts Joakim Nordstrom is the #129 ranked wing. At $3200 he is expected to be the #123 wing. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Nordstrom is worth $2.5K. There are many other options (11) at $3200 and Nordstrom is ranked #7 among the 12. Instead of Nordstrom consider these better options at lower salaries: Jamie McGinn (6.6 FP), Colton Sceviour (7.7 FP), Rocco Grimaldi (5.9 FP), Ryan Callahan (6.5 FP), and Stefan Noesen (6.6 FP). Tyler Ennis (3.9 FP), Brendan Lemieux (4.9 FP), Chris Wagner (3 FP), Denis Malgin (3.4 FP), and Jack Roslovic (2.6 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Nordstrom but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.6 FPs, a value reached in 15 of 63 games (24%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

Nordstrom is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He was the #634 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #241 wing. His wing ranking drops to #287 when basing it on average fantasy points. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 0.6 FPs in his first 20 games and 0.4 FP in his final 21 games. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Nordstrom is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. Our projected ceiling for Nordstrom when he 'goes off' is 4 fantasy points (his average is 0.4FPs).

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His average Fantasy points increased by 300% this season.

SEASON TREND'18-19'17-18'16-17
Fantasy Points26625
FP Average0.40.10.3
Regular Season GP637582
PTS0.10.10.1
GOALS0.10.00.1
ASSISTS0.00.10.1
SOG1.61.31.3
BS0.80.50.5

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 1.2 fantasy points per week and had 13 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 8 weeks where he was +20% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL1.2 FP per Week813
Week 1-1 (2 games -0.5 per game)-2.2
Week 26 (2 games 3 per game)+4.8
Week 32.5 (3 games 0.8 per game)+1.3
Week 40 (3 games 0 per game)-1.2
Week 50 (2 games 0 per game)-1.2
Week 67 (4 games 1.8 per game)+5.8
Week 7-1 (3 games -0.3 per game)-2.2
Week 84 (3 games 1.3 per game)+2.8
Week 90.2 (3 games 0.1 per game)-0.9
Week 10-1.5 (4 games -0.4 per game)-2.7
Week 111.5 (3 games 0.5 per game)+0.3
Week 122 (4 games 0.5 per game)+0.8
Week 13-2 (2 games -1 per game)-3.2
Week 140 (1 games)-1.2
Week 18-1 (2 games -0.5 per game)-2.2
Week 19-1 (4 games -0.2 per game)-2.2
Week 200 (3 games 0 per game)-1.2
Week 210 (2 games 0 per game)-1.2
Week 221 (3 games 0.3 per game)
Week 23-2 (4 games -0.5 per game)-3.2
Week 244 (3 games 1.3 per game)+2.8
Week 257 (3 games 2.3 per game)+5.8

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 5.5 FD points and 1.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 3.5 and 12.8 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All5.5 ($3.2K)14 G, 30 B1.6 ($2.9K)18 G, 30 B
3/23 @FLA1.6 ($3.2K)-3.90.5 ($2.7K)-1.1
3/21 @NJ1.6 ($3.2K)-3.90.5 ($2.7K)-1.1
3/19 @NYI12.8 ($3.2K)+7.33.5 ($2.5K)+1.9
3/16 CLB0 ($3.2K)-5.50 ($2.6K)-1.6
3/14 @WPG16.8 ($3.1K)+11.34.5 ($2.5K)+2.9
3/12 @CLB3.2 ($3.1K)-2.31 ($2.5K)-0.6
3/10 @PIT1.6 ($3.1K)-3.90.5 ($2.5K)-1.1
3/9 OTT3.2 ($3.1K)-2.31 ($2.7K)-0.6
3/7 FLA1.6 ($3.1K)-3.90.5 ($2.5K)-1.1
3/5 CAR4.8 ($3.1K)--1.5 ($2.5K)--
3/2 NJ6.4 ($3.1K)--2 ($2.5K)+0.4
2/28 TB4.8 ($3.1K)--1.5 ($2.5K)--
2/26 SJ1.6 ($3.1K)-3.90.5 ($2.5K)-1.1
2/20 @LV0 ($3.1K)-5.50 ($2.5K)-1.6
2/18 @SJ0 ($3.1K)-5.50 ($2.6K)-1.6
2/16 @LA3.2 ($3.1K)-2.31 ($2.6K)-0.6
2/15 @ANA1.6 ($3.1K)-3.90.5 ($2.7K)-1.1
2/12 CHI3.2 ($3.2K)-2.31 ($2.8K)-0.6
2/10 COL1.6 ($3.2K)-3.90.5 ($2.8K)-1.1
2/9 LA1.6--0.5--
2/6 @NYR0 ($3.2K)-5.50 ($2.5K)-1.6
2/5 NYI6.4 ($3.2K)--2 ($2.7K)+0.4
2/3 @WAS4.8 ($3.3K)--1.5 ($2.5K)--
1/31 PHI6.4 ($3.3K)--2 ($2.6K)+0.4
1/1 @CHI8--2.5--
12/29 @BUF3.2 ($3.4K)-2.31 ($3K)-0.6
12/27 NJ8 ($3.4K)+2.52.5 ($3K)+0.9
12/23 @CAR0--0--
12/22 NSH0--0--
12/20 ANA3.2 ($3.4K)-2.31 ($3.1K)-0.6
12/17 @MON21.6 ($3.4K)+16.16 ($2.9K)+4.4
12/16 BUF8 ($3.4K)+2.52+0.4
12/14 @PIT1.6 ($3.4K)-3.90.5 ($2.8K)-1.1
12/11 ARI4.8 ($3.4K)--1.5 ($2.9K)--
12/9 @OTT4.8--1.5--
12/8 TOR3.2 ($3.4K)-2.31 ($3K)-0.6
12/6 @TB6.4 ($3.4K)--2 ($3K)+0.4
12/4 @FLA1.6 ($3.4K)-3.90.5 ($3.3K)-1.1
12/1 DET1.6 ($3.4K)-3.90.5 ($3.2K)-1.1
11/29 NYI0 ($3.4K)-5.50 ($3.7K)-1.6
11/26 @TOR3.2 ($3.4K)-2.31 ($3.5K)-0.6
11/24 @MON8 ($3.4K)+2.52.5 ($3.5K)+0.9
11/23 PIT20 ($3.4K)+14.55.5 ($3.5K)+3.9
11/21 @DET0 ($3K)-5.50 ($3.7K)-1.6
11/17 @ARI3.2 ($3K)-2.31 ($3.5K)-0.6
11/16 @DAL9.6 ($3K)+4.13 ($3.2K)+1.4
11/14 @COL3.2 ($3K)-2.31 ($3.6K)-0.6
11/11 LV1.6 ($3K)-3.90.5 ($3.3K)-1.1
11/10 TOR21.6 ($3K)+16.16 ($3.2K)+4.4
11/8 VAN11.2 ($3K)+5.73 ($3.3K)+1.4
11/5 DAL8 ($3K)+2.52.5 ($2.9K)+0.9
11/3 @NSH6.4 ($3K)--2 ($3K)+0.4
10/30 @CAR4.8 ($3K)--1.5 ($3K)--
10/27 MON4.8 ($3K)--1.5 ($3.1K)--
10/25 PHI1.6 ($3K)-3.90.5 ($3.1K)-1.1
10/23 @OTT8 ($3K)+2.52.5 ($3.3K)+0.9
10/20 @VAN16.8 ($3K)+11.34.5 ($2.7K)+2.9
10/18 @EDM3.2 ($3K)-2.31 ($3.1K)-0.6
10/17 @CGY4.8 ($3K)--1.5 ($3.3K)--
10/13 DET6.4--2--
10/11 EDM15.2 ($3K)+9.74 ($2.5K)+2.4
10/4 @BUF1.6 ($3K)-3.90.5 ($2.6K)-1.1
10/3 @WAS4.8 ($3K)--1.5 ($2.6K)--