Patric Hornqvist Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

REST OF SEASON VALUE

As of 1/18, Patric Hornqvist is the #26 ranked right wing based on ownership percentage (86%). Projected to be a backup right wing his value could reach market expectations if there is an injury to the starters. Owners may want to look into finding a better value at the right wing position and sell while the market value is this high. Alex Tuch has virtually the same market rank (86% Owned) and is projected for more points than Hornqvist. He is projected for 47 fantasy points in 18 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #19 highest average. The market ranks Patric Hornqvist behind Tuch and above Wilson but the projections rank Wilson over Patric Hornqvist.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
47 (#61) 
Points 
 
15 (#72)
Goals9 (#45) 
 
Assists 
 
6 (#93)
SOG 
 
60 (#76)
PIM 
 
8 (#98)
Blocks 
 
13 (#95)
+/-3 (#32) 
 

His rank in goals is better than his SOG rank indicating a relatively high shooting %.

TBD

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

DRAFTKINGS VALUE (1/18): Hornqvist is overrated on DraftKings with a projected 2.2 DK pts (#38 among right wings). At $5900 he is expected to be the #5 right wing. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Hornqvist is worth $3.3K. There are 2 other options at $5900 (Mark Stone, Evgenii Dadonov) and Hornqvist is ranked #3 among the 3. Instead of Hornqvist consider these better options at lower salaries: Brett Connolly (2.3 FP), Sam Reinhart (3.3 FP), Michael Frolik (3.1 FP), Teuvo Teravainen (4.2 FP), and Colton Sceviour (2.3 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4 FPs, a value reached in 13 of 34 games (38%). The combined 'cover percentage' for right wing priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 8 FanDuel pts Patric Hornqvist is the #70 ranked wing. He is the #26 highest priced wing ($5500). Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Hornqvist is worth $3.7K. Alex Galchenyuk is also priced at $5500 and is a better option at this price. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Anthony Duclair (9.7 FP), Brett Connolly (8.4 FP), Loui Eriksson (8.6 FP), Michael Frolik (11.1 FP), and Micheal Ferland (13.5 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 12 FPs, a value reached in 13 of 34 games (38%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

Hornqvist is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.