Phil Kessel Computer Projections vs Fantasy Owner Expectations

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Phil Kessel is projected to be the #3 rated player of 7 right wings who are owned in 100% of leagues. If you sort these 7 players based on their actual fantasy production and then by their current start percentage, he is the #7 rated player. Based on projections, he is trending up. He is projected for 126 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Phil Kessel behind Wheeler and above Lindholm but the projections rank Phil Kessel over Wheeler.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
126 (#3) 
Points 
45 (#5) 
Goals 
16 (#8) 
Assists 
29 (#5) 
SOG 
 
106 (#14)
PIM 
 
14 (#50)
Blocks 
 
8 (#129)
+/- 
 
5 (#20)

He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

TBD

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

DRAFTKINGS VALUE (1/18): Phil Kessel is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 4.7 DK pts (#2 among right wings). At $6200 he is expected to be the #4 right wing. Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Kessel is worth $7.1K. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Elias Lindholm (4.5 FP) and Mitch Marner (4.6 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.2 FPs, a value reached in 17 of 46 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for right wing priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

Kessel is in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He is not in the FanDuel optimal lineup but Johnny Gaudreau is.

FANDUEL VALUE: Kessel is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 18.1 FD pts (#6 among wings). He is the #5 highest priced wing ($7800). Based on 1/18 salaries and projected points per dollar, Kessel is worth $8.3K. Instead of Kessel consider these better options at lower salaries: Cam Atkinson (20.5 FP) and Matthew Tkachuk (18.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 17 FPs, a value reached in 15 of 46 games (33%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.