Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Comparing Backstrom to Kuznetsov

REST OF SEASON VALUE

His latest projection based rank among centers is #16. As of 1/18, Nicklas Backstrom is the #14 ranked center based on ownership percentage (99%). Our projections indicate that Nicklas Backstrom is slightly overrated by the market. There are other centers with virtually the same market rank (Jack Eichel, Sean Monahan, Claude Giroux, Evgeny Kuznetsov 99% Owned) and Backstrom ranks #4 out of 5. He is projected for 106 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Nicklas Backstrom behind Monahan and above Kuznetsov but the projections rank Kuznetsov over Nicklas Backstrom.

Stream hockey games with SlingTV

Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

Lower Own%N. Backstrom ROSHigher Own%
C. Giroux (110 FP)106 FPT. Seguin (91 FP)
E. Kuznetsov (116 FP)#14 Center 
E. Pettersson (112 FP) 
 
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
106 (#16) 
Points 
39 (#16) 
Goals 
 
11 (#33)
Assists28 (#7) 
 
SOG 
 
72 (#47)
PIM 
 
14 (#48)
Blocks 
 
20 (#62)
+/- 
5 (#20) 

His rank in goals is better than his SOG rank indicating a relatively high shooting %.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among centers for the rest of week 16 is #10, which is better than his market rank of #14. When compared to other centers in week 17 these are 2 better options at lower start percentages: Ryan O'Reilly (6.1 FP) and Evgeny Kuznetsov (5.8 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 other centers starting in more leagues: Sean Monahan (3.9 FP), John Tavares (3.5 FP), and Auston Matthews (3.4 FP). Starting in 90% of leagues he is expected to produce 5.1 fantasy points (WK 17). Week 17 market expectations match his projection. He is expected to be the #7 center (projected to be #6).

Lower Start%N. Backstrom WK 17Higher Start%
R. O'Reilly (6 FP)5 FPS. Monahan (4 FP)
E. Kuznetsov (6 FP)#7 CenterJ. Tavares (4 FP)
 
 
A. Matthews (3 FP)

He is projected for 5.22 fantasy points in week 17 (#6 C) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
5.22 (#6) 
Points 
1.01 (#13) 
Goals 
 
0.28 (#28)
Assists 
0.73 (#5) 
SOG 
 
1.97 (#36)
PIM 
 
0.4 (#24)
Blocks 
 
0.57 (#43)
+/- 
 
-0.29 (#84)

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Nicklas Backstrom is valued behind McDavid and above Kuznetsov but the projections rank Kuznetsov over Nicklas Backstrom in week 17.
  • Jan 22Jan 23
    2.9 FP vs SJ2.3 FP @TOR

    Nicklas Backstrom last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/15 @NSH1 FP, 22 FD, 6 DK17 TOI, 6 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, -3 PIM
    1/14 vs STL0 FP, 5 FD, 2 DK17 TOI, 3 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM
    1/12 vs CLB2 FP, 8 FD, 2 DK19 TOI, 5 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 1 PIM
    1/10 @BOS5 FP, 14 FD, 4 DK16 TOI, 1 SOG, 1 PTS, 1 G, 0 A, 2 PIM
    1/6 @DET0 FP, 2 FD, 0 DK20 TOI, 1 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PIM

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (1/18): Projected for 15.3 FanDuel pts Nicklas Backstrom is the #13 ranked center. At $6300 he is expected to be the #14 center. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Backstrom is worth $7.1K. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Bo Horvat (15.7 FP) and Pierre-Luc Dubois (15.6 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Matt Duchene (14.3 FP), Dylan Larkin (14.8 FP), and Mathew Barzal (12.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 13.6 FPs, a value reached in 18 of 45 games (40%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Nicklas Backstrom is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 4 DK pts (#14 among centers). He is the #15 highest priced center ($6000). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Backstrom is worth $6.1K. Bo Horvat (4.3 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Matt Duchene (3.8 FP) and Mathew Barzal (3.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.9 FPs, a value reached in 17 of 45 games (38%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

    Backstrom is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.