Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Comparing Gustafsson to Ekman-Larsson

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (88%), Erik Gustafsson is expected to be the #33 defenseman for the rest of the season. Erik Gustafsson's projection rank is better than their market rank. His fantasy defenseman projection rank is #28. Even if he is highly owned, he is still undervalued and if you act quickly there is a clear buy low opportunity. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better defenseman option available. He is projected for 51 fantasy points in 32 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#27) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Erik Gustafsson behind Ekman-Larsson and above Morrissey but the projections rank Erik Gustafsson over Ekman-Larsson.

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Lower Own%E. Gustafsson ROSHigher Own%
A. Ekblad (53 FP)51 FPO. Ekman-Larsson (46 FP)
A. Edler (65 FP)#33 DefensemanR. Ristolainen (49 FP)
 
 
D. Doughty (48 FP)
 
 
R. Ellis (51 FP)
 
 
A. Pietrangelo (50 FP)
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
51 (#26) 
Points 
19 (#29) 
Goals6 (#13) 
 
Assists 
14 (#32) 
SOG 
 
54 (#88)
PIM 
 
10 (#166)
Blocks 
 
51 (#121)
+/- 
 
0 (#111)

He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Erik Gustafsson is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #33 while his projection (rest of week 16) rank is #88. When compared to other defensemen in week 17 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Oliver Ekman-Larsson (3.2 FP), Dougie Hamilton (2.3 FP), Alex Goligoski (2.1 FP), Alexander Edler (2.2 FP), and Nate Schmidt (2.8 FP). He is projected for more points than 2 other defensemen starting in more leagues: Drew Doughty (1.6 FP) and Jake Gardiner (1.4 FP). Starting in 75% of leagues he is expected to produce 2.2 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #25 defenseman of the week, but he is projected to be the #30 defenseman. In addition to a below average projected FP average, he also is expected to play just once in the week.

Lower Start%E. Gustafsson WK 17Higher Start%
O. Ekman-Larsson (3 FP)2 FPD. Doughty (1.6 FP)
D. Hamilton (2.3 FP)#25 DefensemanJ. Gardiner (1.4 FP)
A. Goligoski (2.1 FP) 
 
A. Edler (2.2 FP) 
 
N. Schmidt (2.8 FP) 
 

He is projected for 2 fantasy points in week 17 (#30 D) in 1 1 game.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
2 (#30) 
Points0.68 (#13) 
 
Goals0.2 (#7) 
 
Assists0.48 (#16) 
 
SOG 
 
1.69 (#52)
PIM 
 
0.3 (#95)
Blocks 
 
1.44 (#86)
+/- 
0.22 (#35) 

  • Based on 1/18 start %s the market values Pietrangelo over Erik Gustafsson but the projections do not agree for week 17.
  • Erik Gustafsson last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/17 @NYR1 FP, 10 FD, 2 DK21 TOI, 0 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, -2 PIM
    1/14 @NJ-2 FP, 2 FD, 0 DK14 TOI, 0 SOG, 0 PTS, 0 G, 0 A, -2 PIM
    1/12 vs LV7 FP, 20 FD, 5 DK25 TOI, 1 SOG, 2 PTS, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PIM
    1/9 vs NSH2 FP, 16 FD, 4 DK24 TOI, 5 SOG, 1 PTS, 0 G, 1 A, -1 PIM
    1/7 vs CGY6 FP, 21 FD, 6 DK26 TOI, 3 SOG, 2 PTS, 0 G, 2 A, -1 PIM

    Gustafsson is not in the 1/18 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline projection model optimal lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings is Alexander Edler.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 1/17 VS NYR

    • 21 TOI, 0 G, 1 A, 0 SOG, 1 BS
    • FanDuel: $5100, 10.1 FPs (+$103 value, +0.2 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $5200, 2.5 FPs (-$863 value, -0.5 FPs)