Semyon Varlamov Is (Not) a Must Start in Week 17?

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Semyon Varlamov is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #18 while his projection rank (rest of week 16) is #10. When compared to other goalies in week 17 Jordan Binnington (11.7 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. Frederik Andersen (4.9 FP), Robin Lehner (5.3 FP), Jonathan Quick (5.2 FP), Devan Dubnyk (9.7 FP), and Carey Price (5.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Varlamov but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 35% of leagues he is expected to produce 4.5 fantasy points (WK 17). It should be a very good week 17 as he is projected to be the #3 goalie. His per game projected FP average is 5.4 which is better than his actual per game average (3.1).

Lower Start%S. Varlamov WK 17Higher Start%
J. Binnington (12 FP)10 FPF. Andersen (5 FP)
 
#22 GoalieR. Lehner (5 FP)
 
 
J. Quick (5 FP)
 
 
D. Dubnyk (10 FP)
 
 
C. Price (6 FP)

He is projected for 10.42 fantasy points in week 17 (#3 G) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
10.42 (#3) 
Wins 
0.5 (#9) 
Losses 
 
0.46 (#30)
Saves 
 
27.33 (#13)
Goals Allowed 
 
2.86 (#31)
Save% 
 
90.5 (#23)

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Semyon Varlamov is valued behind Allen and above Howard but the projections rank Semyon Varlamov over Allen in week 17.
  • Jan 21Jan 23
    5.1 FP vs NSH5.3 FP vs MIN

    Semyon Varlamov last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

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    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/9 @CGY-2 FP, -7 FD, -2 DK11 SV, 4 GA, Win
    1/9 @CGY-2 FP, -7 FD, -2 DK11 SV, 4 GA, Win
    1/9 @CGY-2 FP, -7 FD, -2 DK11 SV, 4 GA, Win
    1/9 @CGY-2 FP, -7 FD, -2 DK11 SV, 4 GA, Win

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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Most already consider Semyon Varlamov to be a good starting goalie, but the projections indicate he is an elite fantasy option. Based on ownership percentage (74%), Semyon Varlamov has a market rank of #18 among goalies. He is projected to be the #6 goalie. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Unless someone offers an even better goalie value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for 152 fantasy points in 28 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#23) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Semyon Varlamov behind Lundqvist and above Markstrom but the projections rank Semyon Varlamov over Lundqvist.

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    152 (#6) 
    Wins 
    14 (#12) 
    Losses 
     
    13 (#46)
    Saves789 (#2) 
     
    Goals Allowed 
     
    82 (#54)
    Save% 
     
    90.6 (#15)

    He is projected for more wins as than you would expect based on his save percentage rank.

    Varlamov is not in the 1/18 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline FanDuel optimal lineup is Garret Sparks, and Roberto Luongo is in the DraftKings optimal lineup.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 1/16 VS OTT

    • Loss 26 SV, 4 GA, 86.7%
    • FanDuel: $7700, 4.8 FPs (-$5428 value, -11.5 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $8200, 1.2 FPs (-$6517 value, -4.5 FPs)